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Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company (SPI) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TH · Market cap 42.8B THB

SP Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company SPI · BK
Price32.25 THB
Fair Value13.68 THB
Upside-57.6%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 23.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.79% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range 10.26 THB – 17.09 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +0.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (17.09 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

36.50 THB 23.71 THB Fair Value 13.68 THB Dec 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 23.71 THB – 36.50 THB · fair‑value band 10.26 THB – 17.09 THB · the 32.25 THB price screens above the 13.68 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company (SPI) currently trades at 32.25 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.68 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 57.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company generated revenue of 6.4B THB at a net margin of 23.4%. Revenue declined 32.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. Net debt stands at 19.1B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 10.26 THB (bear case) to 17.09 THB (bull case); at 32.25 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -58%, SPI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 29.02 THB 28.96 THB 26.92 THB 76
Gordon GGM 2.10 THB 2.94 THB 3.79 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.10 THB 2.94 THB 3.91 THB 61
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.10 THB 2.94 THB 3.79 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.10 THB 2.94 THB 3.91 THB 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple 12.07 THB 16.09 THB 20.11 THB 58
P/B Multiple 22.63 THB 30.17 THB 37.71 THB 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 19.21 THB 25.74 THB 38.42 THB 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 29.02 THB 28.96 THB 26.92 THB 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (28.96 THB) versus Dividend Discount (2.94 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.4B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -32.6%
Net margin 23.4%
Return on equity 3.0%
Free cash flow 486M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 27.4
More key figures
Operating margin 43.5%
EPS (TTM) 1.17 THB
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -58.6%
Net debt 19.1B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company Limited engages in the investment and development of industrial parks in Thailand. The company operates through three segments: Investment in Consumer Goods Business; Investment in Food and Beverage Business; and Industrial Park Development and Investment in Other Businesses.

Full company description

Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company Limited engages in the investment and development of industrial parks in Thailand. The company operates through three segments: Investment in Consumer Goods Business; Investment in Food and Beverage Business; and Industrial Park Development and Investment in Other Businesses. It engages in the development of land for industrial use; rental of land and building, basic utilities, and infrastructure; and sale of land to customers, as well as fitness center services, and manufacturing and distributing ready-made clothes. The company invests in consumer products, such as textile and fashion, household, beauty and cosmetics, and other consumer products; and food and beverages, which include instant noodles and semi-finished food products, as well as engages in the production and distribution of bread and bakery products. In addition, it is involved in the management of real estate investment trusts; and investment, trading, and exchange of digital assets, cryptocurrency, and digital tokens, as well as leasing of office spaces, including serviced office, flexible workspace, co-working space, and related services. The company was formerly known as Saha Pathana Investment Company Limited. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company reported revenue of 3.2B THB in FY2025 versus 2.8B THB in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.3B THB in FY2025, compounding −10.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.2B THB
Latest YoY
−15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+3.8%
Revenue +3.5%/yr
FY21 2.8B THB
FY22 4.3B THB
FY23 4.4B THB
FY24 3.8B THB
FY25 3.2B THB
Net income −10.7%/yr
FY21 3.6B THB
FY22 3.4B THB
FY23 3.1B THB
FY24 3.3B THB
FY25 2.3B THB

SPI screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPI

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 521 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −58% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 44% · Above median
Revenue growth -33% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.26× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.87× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 12 · sector 16
HEALTH 87 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 36 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company (SPI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.68 THB versus a price of 32.25 THB, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPI?
Our model-based fair value for Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company is 13.68 THB (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 32.25 THB.
What is the quality score of SPI?
Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company (SPI)?
Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.4B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPI?
The net profit margin of Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company is about 23.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company pay a dividend?
Saha Pathana Inter-Holding Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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