Spinnova Oy (SPINN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Spinnova Oy €0.29, price €0.48, upside -39.5%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.3500 – €17.00 · fair‑value band €0.1900 – €0.3600 · the €0.4795 price screens above the €0.2900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Spinnova Oyj produces and sells natural fibre materials in Finland and internationally. The company produces Spinnova textile fibres, which is made from a range of raw materials, including wood to leather, textile, agricultural, food industry and beverage waste. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Jyväskylä, Finland.
Stock analysis
Spinnova Oy (SPINN) currently trades at €0.4795, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2900, implying the stock looks roughly 65.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: €0.1900 (bear) to €0.3600 (bull), the price of €0.4795 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Spinnova Oy reported revenue of €344K in FY2025 versus €6.1M in FY2021, a compound −51.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€40.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €25.1M · P/S ratio 62.4 · EPS (TTM) €−0.7800 · Return on equity −80.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −16.3% · Operating margin −5,913% · Revenue (TTM) €344K · Revenue growth (YoY) −39.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −40%, SPINN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.1900Fair Value €0.2900Bull €0.3600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−54.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−75.8%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,154.7% (2020) → −3,971.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (5 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 344 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−40% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−18% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−39% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.93× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)82.96× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spinnova Oy Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPINN
Frequently asked questions
Is Spinnova Oy (SPINN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2900 versus a price of €0.4795, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPINN?
Our model-based fair value for Spinnova Oy is €0.2900 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.4795.
What is the quality score of SPINN?
Spinnova Oy has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.2900 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.1900, optimistic scenario €0.3600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Spinnova Oy stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.2900, about −40% upside versus a price of €0.4795 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.1900, optimistic scenario €0.3600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Spinnova Oy reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €344K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Spinnova Oy it is €0.2900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.4795. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Spinnova Oy stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SPINN trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.4795, fair value €0.2900, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPINN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.4795); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.2900). For Spinnova Oy the two are €0.1895 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Spinnova Oy worth?
The market values Spinnova Oy at about €25.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.4795; our models calculate a fair value of €0.2900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPINN?
Our models span a range for Spinnova Oy: cautious scenario €0.1900, base €0.2900, optimistic €0.3600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.4795). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Spinnova Oy (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −80.0%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPINN from its 52-week high?
Spinnova Oy trades at €0.4795, about 24% below its 52-week high of €0.6340 and 23% above the low of €0.3900 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.2900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Spinnova Oy?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Spinnova Oy stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.4795, calculated fair value €0.2900 (−40%), Quality Score 31/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPINN calculated?
We run Spinnova Oy through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.2900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Spinnova Oy itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €0.4795. Our model-based fair value is €0.2900, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Spinnova Oy right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.3600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€0.1900 to €0.3600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Spinnova Oy
How large is the market capitalisation of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
The market capitalisation of Spinnova Oy is €25.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Spinnova Oy is 62.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Earnings per share at Spinnova Oy are €−0.7800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Spinnova Oy is −80.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Spinnova Oy is −16.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
The operating margin of Spinnova Oy is −5,913% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Revenue at Spinnova Oy is growing −39.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −75.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Spinnova Oy (SPINN) generate?
The free cash flow of Spinnova Oy is −€12.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Spinnova Oy (SPINN) carry?
The net debt of Spinnova Oy is €33.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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