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Spinnova Oy (SPINN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Spinnova Oy stock €0.29, price €0.41, that is 29.7% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical FI · ISIN FI4000507595

SO Spinnova Oy logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Spinnova Oy

SPINN · HE
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 30% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Fair value €0.2900 · Overvalued
Quality 30/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −75.8 %/yr in EUR)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 20/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€17.00 €0.3500 Fair Value €0.2900 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.3500 – €17.00 · fair‑value band €0.1900 – €0.3600 · the €0.4125 price screens above the €0.2900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Spinnova Oyj produces and sells natural fibre materials in Finland and internationally. The company produces Spinnova textile fibres, which is made from a range of raw materials, including wood to leather, textile, agricultural, food industry and beverage waste.

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The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Jyväskylä, Finland.

Stock analysis

Spinnova Oy (SPINN) currently trades at €0.4125, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2900, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: €0.1900 (bear) to €0.3600 (bull), the price of €0.4125 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Spinnova Oy reported revenue of €344K in FY2025 versus €6.1M in FY2021, a compound −51.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€40.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €21.6M Micro · P/S ratio 42.0 · EPS (TTM) €−0.4200 · Return on equity −62.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −16.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2,360% · Revenue (TTM) €530K · Revenue growth (YoY) +186%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −30%, SPINN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.1900 Fair Value €0.2900 Bull €0.3600
Price €0.4125 · Downside -29.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) €0.1900 €0.2900 €0.3600 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.1900 €0.2900 €0.3600 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 48
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 28
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 10
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 80
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−54.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−75.8%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,154.7% (2020) → −3,971.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SPINN screens overvalued: fair value 30% below the price. Compare with Tongkun Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 338 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −29.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −64.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 186.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.31× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.71× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 40.71× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$42.12 HK$72.40 +72% vs SPINN
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,164 ₹1,604 +38% vs SPINN
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥14.81 ¥16.12 +9% vs SPINN
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.25 TWD 27.89 TWD +2% vs SPINN
Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 53.10 TWD 48.61 TWD −8% vs SPINN
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.37 ¥14.51 −38% vs SPINN
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥4.34 ¥2.40 −45% vs SPINN
Albany International Corp AIN $67.28 $24.93 −63% vs SPINN
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥44.18 ¥14.96 −66% vs SPINN
Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV ₹241.30 ₹47.77 −80% vs SPINN

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Spinnova Oy: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spinnova Oy Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPINN

Frequently asked questions

Is Spinnova Oy (SPINN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2900 versus a price of €0.4125, about 30% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPINN?
Our model-based fair value for Spinnova Oy is €0.2900 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.4125.
What is the quality score of SPINN?
Spinnova Oy has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.2900 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.1900, optimistic scenario €0.3600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Spinnova Oy stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.2900, about 30% lower versus a price of €0.4125 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.1900, optimistic scenario €0.3600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Spinnova Oy reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €530K (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Spinnova Oy it is €0.2900 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of €0.4125. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Spinnova Oy stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, SPINN trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.4125, fair value €0.2900, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPINN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.4125); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.2900). For Spinnova Oy the two are €0.1225 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Spinnova Oy worth?
The market values Spinnova Oy at about €21.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is €0.4125; our models calculate a fair value of €0.2900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPINN?
Our models span a range for Spinnova Oy: cautious scenario €0.1900, base €0.2900, optimistic €0.3600 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price €0.4125). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Spinnova Oy (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −62.2%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPINN from its 52-week high?
Spinnova Oy trades at €0.4125, about 30% below its 52-week high of €0.5870 and 6% above the low of €0.3900 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.2900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Spinnova Oy?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Spinnova Oy stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price €0.4125, calculated fair value €0.2900 (−30%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPINN calculated?
We run Spinnova Oy through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €0.2900 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Spinnova Oy itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €0.4125. Our model-based fair value is €0.2900, about 30% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Spinnova Oy right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.3600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (€0.1900 to €0.3600) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Spinnova Oy

How large is the market capitalisation of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
The market capitalisation of Spinnova Oy is €21.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Spinnova Oy is 42.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Earnings per share at Spinnova Oy are €−0.4200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Spinnova Oy is −62.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Spinnova Oy is −16.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
The operating margin of Spinnova Oy is −2,360% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Spinnova Oy (SPINN)?
Revenue at Spinnova Oy is growing +186% versus a year earlier (3y avg −75.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Spinnova Oy (SPINN) generate?
The free cash flow of Spinnova Oy is −€12.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Spinnova Oy (SPINN) carry?
The net debt of Spinnova Oy is €33.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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