Spinnova Oyj (SPINN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · FI · Market cap €21.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +0.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.3600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (€0.1900 to €0.3600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.3500 – €17.00 · fair‑value band €0.1900 – €0.3600 · the €0.4160 price screens above the €0.2900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Spinnova Oyj (SPINN) currently trades at €0.4160, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2900, implying the stock looks roughly 30.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €344K. Revenue declined 39.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -80.0%. Net debt stands at €33.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.1900 (bear case) to €0.3600 (bull case); at €0.4160, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -30%, SPINN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Spinnova Oyj produces and sells natural fibre materials in Finland and internationally. The company produces Spinnova textile fibres, which is made from a range of raw materials, including wood to leather, textile, agricultural, food industry and beverage waste. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Jyväskylä, Finland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Spinnova Oyj reported revenue of €344K in FY2025 versus €6.1M in FY2021, a compound −51.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€40.7M in FY2025.
SPINN screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥91.75 | ¥12.85 | -86% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 | ¥16.75 | ¥6.42 | -62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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