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Grupo Sports World, S.A. (SPORTS) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · MX · Market cap 1.9B MXN

GS Grupo Sports World, S.A. SPORTS · MX
Price7.90 MXN
Fair Value16.37 MXN
Upside+107.2%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range 10.15 MXN – 18.30 MXN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 18.99 MXN to 16.37 MXN (−13.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −10.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 107% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (10.15 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (10.15 MXN to 18.30 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

10.40 MXN 2.12 MXN Fair Value 16.37 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.12 MXN – 10.40 MXN · fair‑value band 10.15 MXN – 18.30 MXN · the 7.90 MXN price screens below the 16.37 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Grupo Sports World, S.A. (SPORTS) currently trades at 7.90 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.37 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 107.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Sports World, S.A. generated revenue of 2.3B MXN at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 14.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. Net debt stands at 64.5M MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 10.15 MXN (bear case) to 18.30 MXN (bull case); at 7.90 MXN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 107%, SPORTS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 29.04 MXN 48.13 MXN 76.44 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 15.41 MXN 23.24 MXN 33.71 MXN 74
ROIC Compounder 13.68 MXN 16.87 MXN 20.38 MXN 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 29.72 MXN 52.06 MXN 87.74 MXN 38
Owner Earnings 17.98 MXN 31.56 MXN 53.24 MXN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 15.41 MXN 23.03 MXN 32.69 MXN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 28.88 MXN 51.64 MXN 80.59 MXN 41
5Y P/E Exit 16.58 MXN 25.51 MXN 35.46 MXN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 20.28 MXN 29.20 MXN 41.87 MXN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 28.78 MXN 48.69 MXN 79.57 MXN 37
10Y P/E Exit 21.22 MXN 30.89 MXN 44.05 MXN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.18 MXN 21.49 MXN 29.71 MXN 54
Lynch FV 5.86 MXN 8.38 MXN 10.89 MXN 50
PEG = 1.0 5.86 MXN 8.38 MXN 10.89 MXN 46
EPV 12.56 MXN 14.30 MXN 15.75 MXN 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 10.15 MXN 13.53 MXN 16.91 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 7.84 MXN 10.46 MXN 13.07 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 7.84 MXN 10.46 MXN 13.07 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 23.73 MXN 31.72 MXN 39.70 MXN 53
EV/EBITDA 30.87 MXN 41.24 MXN 51.60 MXN 54
EV/Revenue 7.40 MXN 10.66 MXN 13.93 MXN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.34 MXN 1.80 MXN 2.69 MXN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 29.04 MXN 48.13 MXN 76.44 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 15.41 MXN 23.24 MXN 33.71 MXN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.48 MXN 4.66 MXN 17.86 MXN 61
ROIC Compounder 13.68 MXN 16.87 MXN 20.38 MXN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 9.04 MXN 12.92 MXN 16.79 MXN 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (30.89 MXN) versus Asset-Based (1.80 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.3B MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.1%
Net margin 6.3%
Return on equity 18.0%
Free cash flow 655M MXN FY2025
P/E ratio 12.3
More key figures
Operating margin 18.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.6400 MXN
EPS growth (YoY) -16.2%
Net debt 64.5M MXN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 94
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Grupo Sports World, S.A.B. de C.V. operates sports clubs primarily in Mexico. It offers a range of sports activities and programs, as well as training, health, and nutrition services. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grupo Sports World, S.A. reported revenue of 2.2B MXN in FY2025 versus 649M MXN in FY2021, a compound +35.5%/yr. Reported net income was 148M MXN in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2B MXN
Latest YoY
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.2%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.9%
Revenue +35.5%/yr
FY21 649M MXN
FY22 1.2B MXN
FY23 1.8B MXN
FY24 2.1B MXN
FY25 2.2B MXN
Net income
FY21 −597M MXN
FY22 −296M MXN
FY23 125M MXN
FY24 286M MXN
FY25 148M MXN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Sports World, S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPORTS

Peer Group

Entertainment · 265 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +107% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.61× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.96× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 6
FUTURE 71 · sector 10
PAST 72 · sector 0
HEALTH 70 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Sports World, S.A. (SPORTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.37 MXN versus a price of 7.90 MXN, about +107% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SPORTS?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Sports World, S.A. is 16.37 MXN (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 7.90 MXN.
What is the quality score of SPORTS?
Grupo Sports World, S.A. has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grupo Sports World, S.A. (SPORTS)?
Grupo Sports World, S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B MXN (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPORTS?
The net profit margin of Grupo Sports World, S.A. is about 6.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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