Serica Energy plc (SQZZF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $1.3B
Serica Energy plc
SQZZF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated yesterday
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.30 – $3.66 · fair‑value band $0.4715 – $1.80 · the $2.84 price screens above the $1.14 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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Serica Energy plc (SQZZF) currently trades at $2.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.14, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Serica Energy plc generated revenue of $601M at a net margin of -8.6%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.1%. Net debt stands at $196M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4715 (bear case) to $1.80 (bull case); at $2.84, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at -60%, SQZZF screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Serica Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in identifying, acquiring, exploring, and exploiting of oil and gas reserves in the United Kingdom. It produces and sale gas, oil, and natural gas liquids. The company is headquartered in Aberdeen, the United Kingdom.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Serica Energy plc reported revenue of $614M in FY2025 versus $514M in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$52.9M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥34.05 | ¥27.78 | -18% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | 2,022 MXN | 1,552 MXN | -23% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $41.79 | $69.05 | +65% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.61 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $56.93 | $21.36 | -62% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $46.60 | $27.06 | -42% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc F1AN34 | R$478.77 | R$279.12 | -42% |
| Woodside Energy Group WOPEF | $19.61 | $20.68 | +5% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $51.84 | $48.58 | -6% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $375.18 | $91.33 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.