Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation
Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free
Discover now →
Serica Energy plc (SQZZF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Serica Energy plc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
- Add to watchlist
SE
Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Serica Energy plc
SQZZF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $0.5300 · Strongly overvalued (−84%)
!Quality 16/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +37.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·6.42% dividend yield
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Serica Energy plc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.
Watch for free
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7056 – $4.96 · fair‑value band $0.2200 – $0.8400 · the $3.35 price screens above the $0.5300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Serica Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in identifying, acquiring, exploring, and exploiting of oil and gas reserves in the United Kingdom. It produces and sale gas, oil, and natural gas liquids. The company is headquartered in Aberdeen, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Serica Energy plc (SQZZF) currently trades at $3.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5300, implying the stock looks roughly 532.1% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $2.84 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $3.35 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.5500, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2200 (bear) to $0.8400 (bull), the price of $3.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Serica Energy plc reported revenue of $614M in FY2025 versus $514M in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$52.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.3B · P/S ratio 2.17 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1300 · Dividend yield 6.4% · Net margin −8.6% · Return on equity −7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 25.0% · Operating margin −1.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 158% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −84%, SQZZF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2200
Fair Value $0.5300
Bull $0.8400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM
$1.72
$3.10
$4.27
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$1.72
$2.84
$3.32
67
EV/EBITDA
$1.82
$2.59
$3.36
67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$1.72
$3.10
$4.27
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$1.72
$2.84
$3.32
67
Multiples
EV/EBIT
$0.1100
$0.3100
$0.5100
61
EV/EBITDA
$1.82
$2.59
$3.36
67
EV/Revenue
$0.2400
$0.5500
$0.8600
51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.8600
$1.15
$1.71
54
Notify me when SQZZF reaches fair value
Put SQZZF on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
16/100
Of which business quality 21 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Profitability
6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
4
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
49
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
22/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.3%
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.8%
’12
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−14.9% (2020) → 5.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
SQZZF screens 532% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Compare Serica Energy plc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 302 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥33.91 | ¥37.30 | +10% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $137.35 | $90.15 | −34% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | C$69.32 | C$76.25 | +10% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $147.36 | $165.02 | +12% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $61.46 | $30.06 | −51% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $204.97 | $242.64 | +18% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $50.23 | $55.25 | +10% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$32.86 | A$21.75 | −34% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $54.07 | $59.48 | +10% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $369.10 | $318.08 | −14% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
All undervalued stocks
TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
🥇 Backtested Best
🏆 Big Names
⭐ Top Rated
💎 Quality on Sale
🚀 Profitable Growth
🧊 Quality Compounders
💵 Dividend Stars
📈 Strong Momentum
📉 Fallen Angels
⚖️ Deeply Undervalued
🔍 Small-Cap Gems
🏰 Moat at a Fair Price
💼 Insider Buying
🎩 Buffett-Style Quality
📚 Peter Lynch GARP
🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula
🛡️ Graham Defensive
Discover tools
Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector
Compare toolTwo stocks side by side
Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark
Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
Frequently asked questions
Is Serica Energy plc (SQZZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5300 versus a price of $3.35, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SQZZF?
Our model-based fair value for Serica Energy plc is $0.5300 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.35.
What is the quality score of SQZZF?
Serica Energy plc has a Quality Score of 16/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5300 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2200, optimistic scenario $0.8400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Serica Energy plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5300, about −84% upside versus a price of $3.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2200, optimistic scenario $0.8400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
Serica Energy plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $601M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Serica Energy plc pay a dividend?
Serica Energy plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.42% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Serica Energy plc it is $0.5300 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $3.35. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Serica Energy plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, SQZZF trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.35, fair value $0.5300, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SQZZF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5300). For Serica Energy plc the two are $2.82 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Serica Energy plc worth?
The market values Serica Energy plc at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $3.35; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SQZZF?
Our models span a range for Serica Energy plc: cautious scenario $0.2200, base $0.5300, optimistic $0.8400 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $3.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Serica Energy plc (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −7.1%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 16/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SQZZF from its 52-week high?
Serica Energy plc trades at $3.35, about 8% below its 52-week high of $3.66 and 158% above the low of $1.30 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Serica Energy plc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Serica Energy plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $3.35, calculated fair value $0.5300 (−84%), Quality Score 16/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SQZZF calculated?
We run Serica Energy plc through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Serica Energy plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Serica Energy plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (16/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.2200 to $0.8400). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Serica Energy plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
The market capitalisation of Serica Energy plc is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Serica Energy plc is 2.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
Earnings per share at Serica Energy plc are $−0.1300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
The dividend yield of Serica Energy plc is 6.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
The net margin of Serica Energy plc is −8.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Serica Energy plc is −7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Serica Energy plc is 25.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
The operating margin of Serica Energy plc is −1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
Revenue at Serica Energy plc is growing +11.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Serica Energy plc (SQZZF)?
Earnings per share at Serica Energy plc are growing −65.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Serica Energy plc (SQZZF) generate?
The free cash flow of Serica Energy plc is −$21.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Serica Energy plc (SQZZF) carry?
The net debt of Serica Energy plc is $196M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Serica Energy plc in the live analysis
One click puts Serica Energy plc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.