Saferoads Holdings (SRH) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$4.2M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 19 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from A$0.4200 to A$0.2888 (−31.2%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 201% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.2222). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0245 – A$0.1659 · fair‑value band A$0.2222 – A$0.3604 · the A$0.0960 price screens below the A$0.2888 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Saferoads Holdings (SRH) currently trades at A$0.0960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2888, implying the stock looks roughly 200.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Saferoads Holdings generated revenue of A$9.4M at a net margin of 51.6%. Revenue grew 104.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.2222 (bear case) to A$0.3604 (bull case); at A$0.0960, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at 201%, SRH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 19 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$2.10) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saferoads Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides road safety products and solutions in Australia, Europe, Asia, New Zealand, and the United States.
Full company description
Saferoads Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides road safety products and solutions in Australia, Europe, Asia, New Zealand, and the United States. It offers flexible guideposts and signage products; rubber-based traffic calming products, including separation kerbing and wheel stops; variable messaging sign boards; permanent and temporary public solar lighting poles; and permanent and temporary crash cushions including bollards and safety barriers. The company serves state government departments, local councils, road and civil construction sectors. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Pakenham, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saferoads Holdings reported revenue of A$5.9M in FY2025 versus A$13.3M in FY2021, a compound −18.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$4.3M in FY2025, compounding +68.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 107 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,305 | $613.88 | -53% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $52.22 | $20.64 | -60% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $245.18 | $148.98 | -39% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $364.60 | $213.01 | -42% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $309.41 | $268.10 | -13% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$218.77 | C$127.90 | -42% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $352.29 | $191.65 | -46% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$93.86 | C$76.38 | -19% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 344.00 | kr 156.35 | -55% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $46.63 | $49.47 | +6% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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