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SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ ₹8.40, price ₹25.69, upside -67.3%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Oct 3, 2026
SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$
SRINACHA · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
Generates free cash flow
Fair value ₹8.40 · Strongly overvalued (−67.3%)
Quality 34/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −16.4 %/yr in INR)
Loss-making · -14.7% net margin (TTM)
High debt
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹16.39 – ₹66.95 · fair‑value band ₹8.40 – ₹31.43 · the ₹25.69 price screens above the ₹8.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Company profile
Sri Nachammai Cotton Mills Limited engages in the textiles business in India. It manufactures and sells combed, carded, and compact cotton hosiery and hank yarns that are used by manufacturers to convert into fabrics or garments for dyeing and export. The company was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Salem, India.
Stock analysis
SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA) currently trades at ₹25.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹8.40, 67.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹35.74 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the ₹25.69 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹19.14, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹8.40 (bear) to ₹31.43 (bull), the price of ₹25.69 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ reported revenue of ₹645M in FY2026 versus ₹2.0B in FY2022, a compound −25.0%/yr. Reported net income was −₹38.0M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹110M (≈ $1.1M) · P/S ratio 0.18 · EPS (TTM) ₹−21.76 · Net margin −5.9% · Return on equity −26.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% · Operating margin 6.4% · Revenue (TTM) ₹635M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −67%, SRINACHA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹8.40
Fair Value ₹8.40
Bull ₹31.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF
₹11.54
₹35.74
₹75.81
72
FCF DCF
₹8.64
₹33.75
₹78.81
71
NCAV (Graham)
₹14.29
₹19.14
₹28.57
54
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹8.64
₹33.75
₹78.81
71
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹14.29
₹19.14
₹28.57
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹11.54
₹35.74
₹75.81
72
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
34/100
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Profitability
13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
12/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.5% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.1% (2021) → −5.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+59.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +53.2% a year for the price.
SRINACHA screens overvalued: fair value 67% below the price. Compare with Tongkun Group →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 334 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$34.08 | HK$71.99 | +111% | vs SRINACHA |
| Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 | 58.30 TWD | 106.63 TWD | +83% | vs SRINACHA |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.80 | ¥14.35 | +12% | vs SRINACHA |
| Sasa Polyester Sanayi A.S. SASA | 1.93 TRY | 1.96 TRY | +2% | vs SRINACHA |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 28.15 TWD | 24.92 TWD | −11% | vs SRINACHA |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,106 | ₹901.34 | −19% | vs SRINACHA |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.26 | ¥14.53 | −38% | vs SRINACHA |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥4.65 | ¥2.40 | −48% | vs SRINACHA |
| Albany International Corp AIN | $59.61 | $25.00 | −58% | vs SRINACHA |
| Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV | ₹239.17 | ₹47.77 | −80% | vs SRINACHA |
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Frequently asked questions
Is SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹8.40 versus a price of ₹25.69, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SRINACHA?
Our model-based fair value for SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ is ₹8.40 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹25.69.
What is the quality score of SRINACHA?
SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹8.40 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹8.40, optimistic scenario ₹31.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹8.40, about −67% upside versus a price of ₹25.69 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹8.40, optimistic scenario ₹31.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹635M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ would have to grow free cash flow by +59.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -16.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SRINACHA use?
Our models discount SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ that is +59.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ grew -16.4 % a year. The price currently implies +59.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (+59.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.48 %: that much free cash flow SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ it is ₹8.40 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹25.69. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SRINACHA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹25.69, fair value ₹8.40, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SRINACHA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹25.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹8.40). For SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ the two are ₹17.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ worth?
The market values SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ at about ₹110M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹25.69; our models calculate a fair value of ₹8.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SRINACHA?
Our models span a range for SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$: cautious scenario ₹8.40, base ₹8.40, optimistic ₹31.43 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹25.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
Balance-sheet figures for SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −26.8%, debt of 2.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SRINACHA from its 52-week high?
SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ trades at ₹25.69, about 32% below its 52-week high of ₹37.98 and 3% above the low of ₹25.04 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹8.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹25.69, calculated fair value ₹8.40 (−67%), Quality Score 34/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SRINACHA calculated?
We run SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹8.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.6 % above its aggregate fair value. SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was ₹25.69. Our model-based fair value is ₹8.40, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ right now?
Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹8.40 to ₹31.43). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$
How large is the market capitalisation of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
The market capitalisation of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ is ₹110M (≈ $1.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ is 0.18 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
Earnings per share at SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ are ₹−21.76. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
The net margin of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ is −5.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ is −26.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
The operating margin of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA)?
Revenue at SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ is growing −7.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ (SRINACHA) carry?
The net debt of SRI NACHAMMAI COTTON MILLS LTD.-$ is ₹489M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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