Surefire Resources NL, (SRN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$4.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −8.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0180 – A$1.10 · fair‑value band A$0.0180 – A$0.0230 · the A$0.0220 price screens above the A$0.0170 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Surefire Resources NL, (SRN) currently trades at A$0.0220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 22.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$5.6K. It earns a return on equity of -53.6%. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0180 (bear case) to A$0.0230 (bull case); at A$0.0220, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -23%, SRN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when SRN reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Surefire Resources NL, together with its subsidiaries, explores for and reviews mineral tenement holdings in Western Australia. The company explores for critical mineral, gold, titanium, aluminium, copper, lead, silver, vanadium, iron ore, nickel, and platinum group element deposits.
Full company description
Surefire Resources NL, together with its subsidiaries, explores for and reviews mineral tenement holdings in Western Australia. The company explores for critical mineral, gold, titanium, aluminium, copper, lead, silver, vanadium, iron ore, nickel, and platinum group element deposits. Its flagship project is the Victory Bore vanadium-titanium-iron project, which consists of the Victory Bore and Unaly Hill deposits located in the mid-west of Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Black Ridge Mining NL and changed its name to Surefire Resources NL in December 2016. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in South Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Surefire Resources NL, reported revenue of A$439K in FY2025 versus A$267 in FY2021, a compound +536.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$694K in FY2025.
SRN screens 23% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
Compare Surefire Resources NL, with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Surefire Resources NL, (SRN) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of SRN?
What is the quality score of SRN?
What is the revenue of Surefire Resources NL, (SRN)?
What is the net profit margin of SRN?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Surefire Resources NL, and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.