Source Rock Royalties Ltd (SRR) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$45.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +2.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.5100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range C$0.4789 – C$1.04 · fair‑value band C$0.3000 – C$0.5100 · the C$0.9900 price screens above the C$0.4100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Source Rock Royalties Ltd (SRR) currently trades at C$0.9900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.4100, implying the stock looks roughly 58.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Source Rock Royalties Ltd generated revenue of C$5.7M at a net margin of 23.3%. Revenue declined 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 33.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.3000 (bear case) to C$0.5100 (bull case); at C$0.9900, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -59%, SRR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$0.8500) versus Economic Profit (C$0.2400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Source Rock Royalties Ltd. engages as an oil and gas royalty company in Canada. The company is also involved in acquiring and managing oil and gas royalties and mineral title interests. It has an oil-focused portfolio of royalty interests concentrated in S.E. Saskatchewan, central Alberta, and west-central Saskatchewan. Source Rock Royalties Ltd.
Full company description
Source Rock Royalties Ltd. engages as an oil and gas royalty company in Canada. The company is also involved in acquiring and managing oil and gas royalties and mineral title interests. It has an oil-focused portfolio of royalty interests concentrated in S.E. Saskatchewan, central Alberta, and west-central Saskatchewan. Source Rock Royalties Ltd. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Source Rock Royalties Ltd reported revenue of C$6.0M in FY2025 versus C$4.3M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was C$1.3M in FY2025, compounding +65.4%/yr from FY2021.
SRR screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $56.46 | $47.20 | -16% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.38 | $12.03 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $37.99 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$97.79 | C$42.00 | -57% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.54 | $11.12 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $19.91 | $17.69 | -11% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $93.52 | $64.05 | -32% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $273.35 | $79.61 | -71% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.17 | $37.05 | -35% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $255.83 | $211.18 | -17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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