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Sono Group (SSM) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.7M

SG Sono Group logo Sono Group SSM · US
Price$3.59
Fair Value$3.96
Upside+10.3%
Quality31/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/6)
Evidence: Medium Range $2.77 – $5.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $129.96 to $3.96 (−97.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −12.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 10% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($2.77 to $5.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $2.77 (bear) to $5.15 (bull), base $3.96. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 31/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2,865 $0.0750 Fair Value $3.96 Nov 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range $0.0750 – $2,865 · fair‑value band $2.77 – $5.15 · the $3.59 price screens below the $3.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Sono Group (SSM) currently trades at $3.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.96, implying the stock looks roughly 10.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $172K. Net debt stands at $313M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.77 (bear case) to $5.15 (bull case); at $3.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 10%, SSM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $2.77 $3.96 $5.15 68
P/E Multiple $1.51 $2.02 $2.52 63
P/S Multiple $0.0055 $0.0072 $0.0089 58
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $5.27 $6.31 $8.11 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.6528 $4.55 $6.39 54
Lynch FV $2.07 $2.95 $3.84 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.07 $2.95 $3.84 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.51 $2.02 $2.52 63
P/S Multiple $0.0055 $0.0072 $0.0089 58
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.77 $3.96 $5.15 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($6.31) versus Multiples ($0.0072). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $172K
Free cash flow −$6.2M FY2025
Operating margin -5,252%
EPS (TTM) $-3.85
Net debt $313M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 48
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sono Group N.V. provides solar-powered mobility solutions and solar integration products for the commercial vehicle and automotive industry. The company offers a range of solar integration solutions, such as Solar Bus Kit and solar kits for trucks, vans, RVs, refrigeration trailers, and other applications.

Full company description

Sono Group N.V. provides solar-powered mobility solutions and solar integration products for the commercial vehicle and automotive industry. The company offers a range of solar integration solutions, such as Solar Bus Kit and solar kits for trucks, vans, RVs, refrigeration trailers, and other applications. It also provides complete solar solutions comprising solar panels, telematics and dashboard services, and electrical interfaces and custom integration concepts; solar charge controller (MCU), such as high voltage system and low voltage system; solar modules; and data services and engineering services, such as data service and dashboard integration, electrical interface creation, testing and validation, and custom engineering services. Sono Group N.V. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sono Group reported revenue of $149K in FY2025 versus $16.0K in FY2021, a compound +74.7%/yr. Reported net income was $4.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 10/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$149K
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−15.3%
Revenue +74.7%/yr
FY21 $16.0K
FY22 $246K
FY23 $42.0K
FY24 $0
FY25 $149K
Net income
FY21 −$64.0M
FY22 −$197M
FY23 −$45.7M
FY24 $65.0M
FY25 $4.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sono Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SSM

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 32.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 33
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $179.76 $224.63 +25%
BYD Company 81211 HK$80.55 HK$50.85 -37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 425,000 KRW 616,918 KRW +45%
General Motors Company GM $77.72 $56.93 -27%
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N 1,909 MXN 2,944 MXN +54%
Ferrari N.V RACE $376.64 $228.05 -39%
Ford Motor Company F C$11.86 C$4.00 -66%
Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ C$20.44 C$35.15 +72%
Volkswagen AG VOW 2,149 CZK 7,191 CZK +235%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹13,803 ₹8,236 -40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sono Group (SSM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.96 versus a price of $3.59, about +10% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SSM?
Our model-based fair value for Sono Group is $3.96 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.59.
What is the quality score of SSM?
Sono Group has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sono Group (SSM)?
Sono Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $172K (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SSM?
The net profit margin of Sono Group is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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