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Stecon Group (STECON) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 27.5B THB

SG Stecon Group STECON · BK
Price18.00 THB
Fair Value21.80 THB
Upside+21.1%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.07% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Medium Range 16.35 THB – 27.25 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +3.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from 16.35 THB (bear) to 27.25 THB (bull), base 21.80 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (21 months)

19.80 THB 3.28 THB Fair Value 21.80 THB Oct 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range 3.28 THB – 19.80 THB · fair‑value band 16.35 THB – 27.25 THB · the 18.00 THB price screens below the 21.80 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Stecon Group (STECON) currently trades at 18.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.80 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 21.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Stecon Group generated revenue of 33.6B THB at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 38.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at 4.4B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 16.35 THB (bear case) to 27.25 THB (bull case); at 18.00 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 259% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 21%, STECON screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 19.37 THB 30.48 THB 48.44 THB 80
Residual Income 10.03 THB 11.98 THB 27.93 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 15.89 THB 24.36 THB 34.74 THB 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 19.28 THB 30.83 THB 49.67 THB 38
5Y Revenue Exit 15.89 THB 24.40 THB 35.50 THB 39
5Y P/E Exit 20.17 THB 32.82 THB 46.68 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 16.53 THB 24.80 THB 36.52 THB 36
10Y P/E Exit 19.71 THB 30.80 THB 45.46 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.72 THB 33.88 THB 45.95 THB 54
Lynch FV 8.31 THB 11.88 THB 15.44 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 8.31 THB 11.88 THB 15.44 THB 46
EPV 12.43 THB 14.12 THB 15.59 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0400 THB 0.0800 THB 0.1200 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0400 THB 0.0600 THB 0.0800 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 20.20 THB 26.93 THB 33.66 THB 63
P/S Multiple 16.35 THB 21.80 THB 27.25 THB 58
P/B Multiple 16.35 THB 21.80 THB 27.25 THB 55
EV/EBIT 19.46 THB 25.17 THB 30.88 THB 53
EV/Revenue 14.55 THB 19.79 THB 25.03 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.48 THB 7.34 THB 10.95 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 19.37 THB 30.48 THB 48.44 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 15.89 THB 24.36 THB 34.74 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10.03 THB 11.98 THB 27.93 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 12.98 THB 16.44 THB 21.18 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 14.92 THB 21.32 THB 27.71 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (30.80 THB) versus Dividend Discount (0.0600 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 33.6B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +38.2%
Net margin 5.8%
Return on equity 11.2%
Free cash flow 2.1B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 13.8
More key figures
Operating margin 10.9%
EPS (TTM) 1.31 THB
EPS growth (YoY) +2,014%
Net debt 4.4B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Stecon Group Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the engineering and construction, utilities and power, infrastructure related to logistics, transportation, and other businesses in Thailand.

Full company description

Stecon Group Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the engineering and construction, utilities and power, infrastructure related to logistics, transportation, and other businesses in Thailand. The company undertakes construction works, such as public utilities, building, energy, industrial, environmental construction, and other projects activities. It also engages in the sale and rental of construction machinery and spare parts; contracting services; production and transportation of precast concrete parts, such as precast boxes, concrete beams, columns, and crossbeams for infrastructure and public utilities, and building projects; production and services for piles driving; and provision of consulting services on precast concrete products. In addition, the company is involved in the data center business; water supply and distribution for household and industrial use through the water supply system; and management and provision of expressways, electric railways, and airports. Further, it engages in the office building rental; distribution and rental of machinery and construction equipment; investment in utilities and power businesses; investment in other companies; investment in transportation infrastructure; property development; provision of document storage service; and production and distribution of electricity. The company was founded in 1962 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Stecon Group reported revenue of 33.5B THB in FY2025 versus 29.6B THB in FY2023, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9B THB in FY2025, compounding +92.5%/yr from FY2023.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
33.5B THB
Latest YoY
+11.6%
Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY23 29.6B THB
FY24 30.0B THB
FY25 33.5B THB
Net income +92.5%/yr
FY23 526M THB
FY24 −2.4B THB
FY25 1.9B THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stecon Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STECON

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +21% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.01× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 61 · sector 16
FUTURE 59 · sector 18
PAST 42 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 61 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Stecon Group (STECON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.80 THB versus a price of 18.00 THB, about +21% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STECON?
Our model-based fair value for Stecon Group is 21.80 THB (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 18.00 THB.
What is the quality score of STECON?
Stecon Group has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Stecon Group (STECON)?
Stecon Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 33.6B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STECON?
The net profit margin of Stecon Group is about 5.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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