Sunlands Technology Group (STG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $60.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026 — revised from $268.08 to $4.35 (−98.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $2.82 – $15.23 · fair‑value band $3.01 – $9.10 · the $4.06 price screens below the $4.35 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.
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Sunlands Technology Group (STG) currently trades at $4.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.35 — implying the stock looks roughly 7.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sunlands Technology Group generated revenue of $2.0B at a net margin of 18.6%. Revenue declined 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 44.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $438M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.01 (bear case) to $9.10 (bull case); at $4.06, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside — at 7%, STG screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Sunlands Technology Group provides adult online education services and adult personal interest learning courses through online and mobile platforms in the People's Republic of China. It offers adult online education and adult personal interest learning education through courses and educational content offerings, including interest, professional skills and professional certification preparation courses, and degree- or diploma-oriented post-secondary courses. The company also provides professional assistance and counseling services to help students make decisions that suit their learning needs and to formulate study plans throughout their enrollment in courses and exam preparation courses for exam-taking students. In addition, the company offers professional skills and interest courses, such as wealth management, voice acting, Chinese painting, and calligraphy; degree- or diploma-oriented post-secondary courses that consist of preparation courses for a state-administered exam for …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sunlands Technology Group reported revenue of $2.0B in FY2025 versus $2.5B in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $366M in FY2025, compounding +13.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 895.77 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group T1AL34 | R$4.89 | R$0.9200 | -81% |
| Graham Holdings GHC | $1,149 | $1,253 | +9% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.49 | $39.86 | +9% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $119.28 | $137.46 | +15% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $99.84 | $139.45 | +40% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹130.16 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $152.57 | $112.68 | -26% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $43.57 | $22.42 | -49% |
| McGraw Hill, Inc MH | $11.44 | $23.49 | +105% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.