Sunlands Technology Group (STG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $60.5M
Sunlands Technology Group
STG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $268.08 to $4.35 (−98.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.0% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 28% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (81/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The model range is unusually wide ($3.01 to $9.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.16 – $14.90 · fair‑value band $3.01 – $9.10 · the $3.40 price screens below the $4.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Sunlands Technology Group (STG) currently trades at $3.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.35, implying the stock looks roughly 28.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sunlands Technology Group generated revenue of $2.0B at a net margin of 18.6%. Revenue declined 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 44.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $438M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.01 (bear case) to $9.10 (bull case); at $3.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 28%, STG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($8.03) versus Asset-Based ($0.7057). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sunlands Technology Group provides adult online education services and adult personal interest learning courses through online and mobile platforms in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
Sunlands Technology Group provides adult online education services and adult personal interest learning courses through online and mobile platforms in the People's Republic of China. It offers adult online education and adult personal interest learning education through courses and educational content offerings, including interest, professional skills and professional certification preparation courses, and degree- or diploma-oriented post-secondary courses. The company also provides professional assistance and counseling services to help students make decisions that suit their learning needs and to formulate study plans throughout their enrollment in courses and exam preparation courses for exam-taking students. In addition, the company offers professional skills and interest courses, such as wealth management, voice acting, Chinese painting, and calligraphy; degree- or diploma-oriented post-secondary courses that consist of preparation courses for a state-administered exam for learners pursuing associate diplomas or bachelor's degrees, and other degree- or diploma-oriented post-secondary entrance exams, covering majors such as administrative management, Chinese language and literature, business management, law, public administration, computer information management, pre-school education, marketing, and English. Further, it provides professional certification preparation courses covering various industries and professions, such as accounting, human resources, and teaching, as well as technical and consultation services. The company was formerly known as Sunlands Online Education Group and changed its name to Sunlands Technology Group in August 2018. Sunlands Technology Group was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sunlands Technology Group reported revenue of $2.0B in FY2025 versus $2.5B in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $366M in FY2025, compounding +13.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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