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Strickland Metals Ltd (STK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Strickland Metals Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.07, upside -54.8%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000100901

SM Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Strickland Metals Ltd

STK · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0294 · Strongly overvalued (−55%)
!Quality 37/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +738.8 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -8.8% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2024 4.6%
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 10 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2450 A$0.0320 Fair Value A$0.0294 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0320 – A$0.2450 · the A$0.0650 price screens above the A$0.0294 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Strickland Metals Limited engages in the exploration of mineral resources in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, base metal, zinc, lead, silver, and copper deposits.

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Strickland Metals Limited engages in the exploration of mineral resources in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, base metal, zinc, lead, silver, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interest in Rogozna Project comprising four exploration licences covering an area of approximately 184 square kilometres located in the Ra"ka, Southern Republic of Serbia; and the Bryah Basin Project comprises five early-stage exploration licences covering an area of 260 square kilometres, located in the Gascoyne,Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Alloy Resources Limited and changed its name to Strickland Metals Limited in August 2020. Strickland Metals Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Strickland Metals Ltd (STK) currently trades at A$0.0650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0294, implying the stock looks roughly 121.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.0300 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the A$0.0650 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Strickland Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$9.1M in FY2024 versus A$10 in FY2020, a compound +2,991.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$418K in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap A$230M (≈ $162M) · P/S ratio 24.1 · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% · Operating margin −139% · Revenue (TTM) A$9.5M · Revenue growth (YoY) +82.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −55%, STK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0294 Fair Value A$0.0294 Bull A$0.0294
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 70
ROIC Compounder A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 68
Residual Income A$0.0300 A$0.0200 A$0.0100 65
All 11 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 63
Lynch FV n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 57
PEG = 1.0 n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 53
EPV A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 70
Multiples
EV/EBIT A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 63
EV/EBITDA A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 64
EV/Revenue A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0500 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.0300 A$0.0200 A$0.0100 65
ROIC Compounder A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 96
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 48
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+875.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+236.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+738.8%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+125.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−333,344.1% (2019) → 17.2% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

STK screens 121% overvalued. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −139% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 83% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.30× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 16.94× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 68.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 94
PAST (return on equity)10 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 4,870 IDR 871.64 IDR −82%
Hecla Mining Company HL $18.27 $16.28 −11%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $34.70 $28.79 −17%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $11.41 $15.10 +32%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$40.80 C$44.88 +10%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$41.59 C$15.84 −62%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $33.73 $32.40 −4%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $24.76 $6.07 −75%
PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. MBMA 525.00 IDR 73.59 IDR −86%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥18.58 ¥2.01 −89%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Strickland Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STK

Frequently asked questions

Is Strickland Metals Ltd (STK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0294 versus a price of A$0.0650, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of STK?
Our model-based fair value for Strickland Metals Ltd is A$0.0294 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0650.
What is the quality score of STK?
Strickland Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0294 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Strickland Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0294, about −55% upside versus a price of A$0.0650 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
Strickland Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$9.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Strickland Metals Ltd it is A$0.0294 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0650. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Strickland Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, STK trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0650, fair value A$0.0294, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0294). For Strickland Metals Ltd the two are A$0.0356 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Strickland Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Strickland Metals Ltd at about A$230M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0650; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0294 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Strickland Metals Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STK from its 52-week high?
Strickland Metals Ltd trades at A$0.0650, about 73% below its 52-week high of A$0.2450 and 2% above the low of A$0.0640 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0294 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Strickland Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Strickland Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0650, calculated fair value A$0.0294 (−55%), Quality Score 37/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STK calculated?
We run Strickland Metals Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0294, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Strickland Metals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0650. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0294, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Strickland Metals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0294). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Strickland Metals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
The market capitalisation of Strickland Metals Ltd is A$230M (≈ $162M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Strickland Metals Ltd is 24.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
The net margin of Strickland Metals Ltd is 4.6% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Strickland Metals Ltd is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Strickland Metals Ltd is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
The operating margin of Strickland Metals Ltd is −139% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
Revenue at Strickland Metals Ltd is growing +82.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +236%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Strickland Metals Ltd (STK)?
Earnings per share at Strickland Metals Ltd are growing +195% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Strickland Metals Ltd (STK) generate?
The free cash flow of Strickland Metals Ltd is −A$28.8M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Strickland Metals Ltd (STK) hold?
Strickland Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$23.6M net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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