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Stantec Inc (STN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $7.9B

SI Stantec Inc logo Stantec Inc STN · US
Price$73.51
Fair Value$55.53
Upside-24.5%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.31% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range $38.19 – $80.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $88.19 to $55.53 (−37.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($38.19 to $80.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$112.99 $39.58 Fair Value $55.53 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $39.58 – $112.99 · fair‑value band $38.19 – $80.03 · the $73.51 price screens above the $55.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Stantec Inc (STN) currently trades at $73.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $55.53, implying the stock looks roughly 24.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Stantec Inc generated revenue of $6.6B at a net margin of 7.4%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.3%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $38.19 (bear case) to $80.03 (bull case); at $73.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -24%, STN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $78.97 $151.50 $274.57 80
Residual Income $27.79 $36.05 $97.01 76
Rev-Margin DCF $59.98 $112.91 $185.26 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $81.14 $159.78 $316.27 38
Owner Earnings $77.48 $158.13 $303.16 31
5Y Revenue Exit $59.98 $114.49 $190.18 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $79.20 $156.26 $256.49 41
5Y P/E Exit $61.41 $117.59 $183.98 38
10Y Revenue Exit $64.23 $119.21 $207.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $79.05 $150.06 $264.82 37
10Y P/E Exit $67.26 $121.50 $202.35 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $28.56 $157.18 $218.10 54
Lynch FV $43.77 $62.53 $81.29 50
PEG = 1.0 $43.77 $62.53 $81.29 46
EPV $38.74 $46.42 $53.04 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.77 $15.48 $23.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.77 $13.38 $16.34 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $66.14 $88.19 $110.23 63
P/S Multiple $53.54 $71.39 $89.24 58
P/B Multiple $53.54 $71.39 $89.24 55
EV/EBIT $73.67 $101.53 $129.39 53
EV/EBITDA $84.04 $115.36 $146.68 54
EV/Revenue $49.75 $75.31 $100.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.19 $19.02 $28.38 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $78.97 $151.50 $274.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF $59.98 $112.91 $185.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $27.79 $36.05 $97.01 76
ROIC Compounder $44.05 $64.67 $87.34 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $63.56 $90.80 $118.04 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($121.50) versus Dividend Discount ($13.38). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net margin 7.4%
Return on equity 15.3%
Free cash flow $790M FY2025
P/E ratio 24.1
More key figures
Operating margin 10.9%
EPS (TTM) $3.11
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +10.5%
Net debt $2.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Stantec Inc. provides professional services in the areas of infrastructure and facilities to private and public sectors in Canada, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Stantec Inc. provides professional services in the areas of infrastructure and facilities to private and public sectors in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers evaluation, planning, and designing infrastructure solutions; various permitting, conservation, ecosystem restoration, health sciences, and environmental, social, and governance strategy services; solutions for sustainable water resources, planning, management, and infrastructure; integrated architecture, engineering, interior design, and planning solutions for buildings; and energy and resources solutions. It also provides consulting services in engineering, architecture, interior design, landscape architecture, surveying, environmental sciences, project management, and project economics. In addition, the company provides fire engineering, electrical, mechanical, hydraulics, buildings sustainability, and civil expertise services; services in mission critical, academic, civic, cultural, aviation, science and technology, commercial, industrial, and workplace; and delivers services to local authorities, government departments, private clients, and utility companies. Further, the company is involved in the planning, design, construction administration, commissioning, maintenance, decommissioning, and remediation services. Additionally, it offers infrastructure planning, inspection, project management, and construction management services; transportation, buildings, and environmental services; and energy and sustainability, fire safety, civil and structural, and mechanical, electrical and plumbing (MEP) engineering, transport, environmental, and geotechnical services. The company was formerly known as Stanley Technology Group Inc. and changed its name to Stantec Inc. in October 1998. Stantec Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Edmonton, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Stantec Inc reported revenue of $8.1B in FY2025 versus $4.6B in FY2021, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was $479M in FY2025, compounding +24.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$8.1B
Latest YoY
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.0%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+15.8%
Revenue +15.5%/yr
FY21 $4.6B
FY22 $5.7B
FY23 $6.5B
FY24 $7.5B
FY25 $8.1B
Net income +24.3%/yr
FY21 $201M
FY22 $247M
FY23 $317M
FY24 $362M
FY25 $479M

STN screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stantec Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.47× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.45× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.20× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.38× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 1 · sector 16
FUTURE 46 · sector 18
PAST 61 · sector 26
HEALTH 76 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 26 · sector 33

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Stantec Inc (STN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $55.53 versus a price of $73.51, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of STN?
Our model-based fair value for Stantec Inc is $55.53 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $73.51.
What is the quality score of STN?
Stantec Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Stantec Inc (STN)?
Stantec Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STN?
The net profit margin of Stantec Inc is about 7.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Stantec Inc pay a dividend?
Stantec Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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