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Data-driven stock valuation

Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR (SVNDY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $26.7B · ISIN US81783H1059

At a glance

SI Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR logo Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR SVNDY · US
Price$13.15
Fair Value$16.03
Upside+21.9%
Quality62/100

A solid business, trading 18% below our fair value of $16.03.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR is $16.03 per share against a price of $13.15, so the fair value sits 22% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +13.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.76% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $9.90 to $22.57

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $15.53 to $16.03 (+3.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +4.3% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($9.90 to $22.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.93 $10.78 Fair Value $16.03 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.78 – $16.93 · fair‑value band $9.90 – $22.57 · the $13.15 price screens below the $16.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR (SVNDY) currently trades at $13.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.03, implying the stock looks roughly 18.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $15.53 per share, and 17 of the 23 models we run sit above the $13.15 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $6.03, and 6 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR generated revenue of ¥10.4T at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue declined 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at ¥3.4T. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $9.90 (bear) to $22.57 (bull), the price of $13.15 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 22%, SVNDY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $10.00 $16.08 $24.80 79
Growth DCF $10.38 $16.02 $23.74 78
Owner Earnings $11.78 $18.67 $28.54 75
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.00 $16.08 $24.80 79
Owner Earnings $11.78 $18.67 $28.54 75
5Y Revenue Exit $8.26 $14.08 $21.23 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $16.71 $29.15 $43.14 74
5Y P/E Exit $9.07 $15.53 $21.95 70
10Y Revenue Exit $8.46 $13.79 $20.35 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $14.07 $23.99 $36.37 67
10Y P/E Exit $9.30 $14.77 $20.88 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.93 $14.21 $18.33 65
PEG = 1.0 $2.49 $3.56 $4.63 57
EPV $4.67 $6.03 $7.22 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.74 $18.32 $22.90 63
P/S Multiple $11.12 $14.83 $18.54 58
P/B Multiple $11.12 $14.83 $18.54 55
EV/EBIT $12.58 $17.94 $23.29 65
EV/EBITDA $23.90 $33.03 $42.16 67
EV/Revenue $7.98 $12.89 $17.81 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.18 $6.94 $10.36 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.38 $16.02 $23.74 78
Rev-Margin DCF $8.26 $14.24 $20.69 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.73 $9.43 $11.60 71
ROIC Compounder $4.67 $6.03 $7.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.46 $14.94 $19.42 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.53) versus Earnings-Based ($6.03). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.8
P/S ratio 0.50 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.7400 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.8
Dividend yield 2.8% payout 49.0%
Net margin 2.8% FY2026
Return on equity 7.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 2.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥10.4T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −13.7% 3y avg −2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −6.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥442B FY2026
Net debt ¥3.4T FY2026 · ≈ 7.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. operates convenience stores in Japan, North America, and internationally. It operates through Domestic Convenience Store Business, Overseas Convenience Store Business, Superstore Business, Financial-Related, and Others segments.

Full company description

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. operates convenience stores in Japan, North America, and internationally. It operates through Domestic Convenience Store Business, Overseas Convenience Store Business, Superstore Business, Financial-Related, and Others segments. The company is also involved in operating seven-eleven; online food shopping and internet shopping business; provision of multi-copy services, such as tickets; franchising and/or licensing activities; leasing, non-life insurance, life insurance, and credit card businesses. In addition, it engages in system development business; and printing and shiitake mushroom production. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥10.9T in FY2026 versus ¥8.7T in FY2022, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥306B in FY2026, compounding +9.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$10.9T
Latest YoY
−9.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+4.1%
Dividend yield2.8%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 9.3% vs 10Y 7.3%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6.4% (2021) → 4.1% (2026) · falling
Worst earnings drop66% (2010) · in USD
Revenue +5.6%/yr
FY22 ¥8.7T
FY23 ¥11.8T
FY24 ¥11.5T
FY25 ¥12.0T
FY26 ¥10.9T
Net income +9.7%/yr
FY22 ¥211B
FY23 ¥281B
FY24 ¥225B
FY25 ¥173B
FY26 ¥306B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +5.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.8 %

of which total revenue +7.5 % · buybacks/dilution +0.3 %

EBIT margin −4.1 %
Tax rate +3.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SVNDY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Grocery Stores · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +18% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.45× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.8× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 3.02× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+0.8 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+13.6 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+3.0 %
FCF yield on price8.88 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.1 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE63 · sector 37
FUTURE0 · sector 17
PAST30 · sector 51
HEALTH77 · sector 92
DIVIDEND55 · sector 52

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Loblaw Companies Limited L C$60.79 C$44.44 −27%
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD €31.10 €53.50 +72%
The Kroger Co KR $58.59 $28.19 −52%
Woolworths Group WOW A$40.32 A$8.33 −79%
George Weston Limited WN C$98.50 C$147.70 +50%
Coles Group COL A$23.68 A$15.86 −33%
Metro Inc MRU C$90.05 C$94.01 +4%
Carrefour SA CA €16.27 €11.19 −31%
CP ALL Public Company TCPD 1.78 SGD 2.35 SGD +32%
BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS 418.25 TRY 267.12 TRY −36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR (SVNDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.03 versus a price of $13.15, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SVNDY?
Our model-based fair value for Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR is $16.03 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.15.
What is the quality score of SVNDY?
Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR (SVNDY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.03 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.90, optimistic scenario $22.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.03, about +22% upside versus a price of $13.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $9.90, optimistic scenario $22.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR (SVNDY)?
Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥10.4T (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SVNDY?
The net profit margin of Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR (SVNDY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +0.8 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.6 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SVNDY use?
Our models discount Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd ADR at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.07, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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