Dino Polska S.A (DNP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · PL · Market cap 27.3B PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 27.09 PLN to 27.02 PLN (−0.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +16.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (12.03 PLN to 33.78 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 24.34 PLN – 55.62 PLN · fair‑value band 12.03 PLN – 33.78 PLN · the 32.44 PLN price screens above the 27.02 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Dino Polska S.A (DNP) currently trades at 32.44 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 27.02 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dino Polska S.A generated revenue of 34.7B PLN at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue grew 14.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. Net debt stands at 196M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.03 PLN (bear case) to 33.78 PLN (bull case); at 32.44 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -17%, DNP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (2,189 PLN) versus Asset-Based (0.3916 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dino Polska S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates a network of medium-sized grocery supermarkets under the Dino brand in Poland.
Full company description
Dino Polska S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates a network of medium-sized grocery supermarkets under the Dino brand in Poland. The company stores offer fresh food products, such as meat, poultry, cold cuts, fruits and vegetables, dairy products, and bread; other groceries, including children's food, breakfast products, ready to eat meals, beverages, candies, snacks, frozen goods, processed goods, oils, grain and bulk products, condiments, and alcohol and cigarettes; and non-grocery products comprising flowers, cleaning agents, sanitary articles, pet food, seasonal products, and small household appliances. It also produces meat products; rents and operates owned and leased real estate; purchases and sells real estate properties; and manufactures and processes refined petroleum products, as well as offers other financial services. In addition, it engages in the retail sale of automotive fuel in specialized stores; operation of warehousing and storage facilities; retail sales run by mail order houses or the internet; and advertising agency activities. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Krotoszyn, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dino Polska S.A reported revenue of 33.6B PLN in FY2025 versus 13.4B PLN in FY2021, a compound +26.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B PLN in FY2025, compounding +17.9%/yr from FY2021.
DNP screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Loblaw Companies Limited →
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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