Sriwahana (SWAT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 48.3B IDR (≈ $4.8M) · ISIN ID1000143704
What is Sriwahana really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 75% above our fair value of 9.12 IDR.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.61 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (6.80 IDR to 13.61 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.00 IDR – 210.00 IDR · fair‑value band 6.80 IDR – 13.61 IDR · the 16.00 IDR price screens above the 9.12 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Sriwahana (SWAT) currently trades at 16.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.12 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sriwahana generated revenue of 182B IDR at a net margin of −6.5%. Revenue declined 24.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −5.9%. Net debt stands at 372B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 6.80 IDR (bear case) to 13.61 IDR (bull case); at 16.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −43%, SWAT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when SWAT reaches fair value
Put SWAT on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Sriwahana Adityakarta Tbk manufactures and sells corrugated carton packaging solutions in Indonesia. It operates through Corrugated, Paper Tube, Paper Cone, and Paper Roll segments. The company offers corrugated carton sheets and boxes, paper cones, and paper tubes made from recycled paper. It also engages in industry and general trade activities.
Full company description
PT Sriwahana Adityakarta Tbk manufactures and sells corrugated carton packaging solutions in Indonesia. It operates through Corrugated, Paper Tube, Paper Cone, and Paper Roll segments. The company offers corrugated carton sheets and boxes, paper cones, and paper tubes made from recycled paper. It also engages in industry and general trade activities. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Boyolali, Indonesia. PT Sriwahana Adityakarta Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Pt Sumber Makmur Lumintu.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years
Sriwahana reported revenue of 244B IDR in FY2023 versus 266B IDR in FY2019, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −7.1B IDR in FY2023.
SWAT screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $49.25 | $22.66 | −54% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $233.94 | $122.63 | −48% |
| International Paper Company IP | $36.46 | $21.44 | −41% |
| Amcor plc AMCR | $46.52 | $18.79 | −60% |
| Ball Corporation BALL | $61.67 | $36.57 | −41% |
| Crown Holdings CCK | $119.08 | $118.59 | +0% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation AVY | $173.07 | $113.05 | −35% |
| CCL Industries Inc CCLA | C$93.99 | C$77.64 | −17% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STEAV | €9.74 | €11.42 | +17% |
| SIG Group SIGN | CHF 13.66 | CHF 8.32 | −39% |
Compare Sriwahana with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Sriwahana (SWAT) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of SWAT?
What is the quality score of SWAT?
What is the revenue of Sriwahana (SWAT)?
What is the net profit margin of SWAT?
Watch Sriwahana in the live analysis
One click puts Sriwahana on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.