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Skyworth Group (SWDHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Skyworth Group is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN BMG8181C1001

SG Skyworth Group logo Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Skyworth Group

SWDHF · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $0.8400 · Undervalued (+42%)
!Quality 50/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.9200 $0.1368 Fair Value $0.8400 Oct 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1368 – $0.9200 · fair‑value band $0.7500 – $0.8400 · the $0.5900 price screens below the $0.8400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Skyworth Group Limited researches, develops, manufactures, sells, and trades in consumer electronic products in Mainland China, Asia, Europe, the Americas, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Smart Household Appliances Business, Smart Systems Technology Business, New Energy Business, and Modern Services Business and Others segments.

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Skyworth Group Limited researches, develops, manufactures, sells, and trades in consumer electronic products in Mainland China, Asia, Europe, the Americas, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Smart Household Appliances Business, Smart Systems Technology Business, New Energy Business, and Modern Services Business and Others segments. The Smart Household Appliances Business segment offers smart TVs; smart white appliances; smart air conditioners, smart refrigerators, smart washing machines, and smart kitchen appliances; personal care appliances and tablet computers; and internet value-added services. Its Smart Systems Technology Business segment provides home access systems, such as set-top boxes; broadband network communication connection equipment; XR/AI glasses; integration systems for automotive displays; industrial control display modules; Internet of Things products; intelligent manufacturing, including LCD modules; automotive electronic systems; and other electronic products. The New Energy Business segment engages in the sale and installation of distributed photovoltaic power stations for residential, commercial, and industrial applications; and provision of intelligent operation and maintenance services to distributed photovoltaic power stations. Its Modern Services Business and Others segment engages in the leasing and sale of properties, loan financing, maintenance and repair of home appliances, macro-logistics services, construction development, financial leasing, and property operation for industrial parks. It also engages in the sale and distribution of reception facilities for digital televisions; trading of photovoltaic products; development and holding of properties; and advertising services through online platforms. The company was formerly known as Skyworth Digital Holdings Limited and changed its name to Skyworth Group Limited in June 2019. Skyworth Group Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Skyworth Group (SWDHF) currently trades at $0.5900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8400, implying the stock looks roughly 29.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $7.45 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.5900 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.42, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.7500 (bear) to $0.8400 (bull), the price of $0.5900 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Skyworth Group reported revenue of 68.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 50.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 347M CNY in FY2025, compounding −32.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.3B · P/E ratio 19.7 · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin 0.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 42%, SWDHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.7500 Fair Value $0.8400 Bull $0.8400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0211 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $5.13 $5.84 $6.82 82
Growth DCF $5.13 $5.74 $6.51 80
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.97 $11.43 $15.57 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.13 $5.84 $6.82 82
5Y Revenue Exit $6.21 $8.07 $10.50 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.97 $11.43 $15.57 76
5Y P/E Exit $5.89 $7.45 $9.13 72
10Y Revenue Exit $5.66 $7.15 $9.26 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.78 $9.31 $12.87 69
10Y P/E Exit $5.56 $6.76 $8.29 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.25 $4.31 $5.79 64
Lynch FV $1.00 $1.42 $1.85 61
PEG = 1.0 $1.00 $1.42 $1.85 57
EPV $5.18 $5.38 $5.55 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.13 $2.04 $2.81 68
DDM Multi-Stage $1.13 $1.85 $2.18 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.03 $4.04 $5.05 63
P/S Multiple $2.34 $3.12 $3.90 58
P/B Multiple $2.34 $3.12 $3.90 55
EV/EBIT $8.71 $10.38 $12.06 66
EV/EBITDA $10.57 $12.87 $15.16 67
EV/Revenue $7.07 $8.52 $9.97 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.63 $6.21 $9.26 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.13 $5.74 $6.51 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.18 $5.86 $4.30 76
ROIC Compounder $5.18 $5.38 $5.55 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.59 $3.69 $4.80 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19% vs −12%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consumer Electronics · 128 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 21.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.30× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.7× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.6× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Skyworth Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SWDHF

Frequently asked questions

Is Skyworth Group (SWDHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8400 versus a price of $0.5900, about +42% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SWDHF?
Our model-based fair value for Skyworth Group is $0.8400 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5900.
What is the quality score of SWDHF?
Skyworth Group has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8400 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.7500, optimistic scenario $0.8400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Skyworth Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8400, about +42% upside versus a price of $0.5900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.7500, optimistic scenario $0.8400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
Skyworth Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $70.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Skyworth Group would have to grow free cash flow by +13.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SWDHF use?
Our models discount Skyworth Group at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.11, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Skyworth Group that is +13.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Skyworth Group (SWDHF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Skyworth Group grew +11.3 % a year. The price currently implies +13.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Skyworth Group (SWDHF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Skyworth Group (+13.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.93 %: that much free cash flow Skyworth Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Skyworth Group it is $0.8400 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.5900. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Skyworth Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, SWDHF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.5900, fair value $0.8400, a gap of about +42% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SWDHF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8400). For Skyworth Group the two are $0.2500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Skyworth Group worth?
The market values Skyworth Group at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.5900; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SWDHF?
Our models span a range for Skyworth Group: cautious scenario $0.7500, base $0.8400, optimistic $0.8400 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $0.5900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SWDHF?
Skyworth Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.7 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.8400 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Skyworth Group (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 3.6%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SWDHF from its 52-week high?
Skyworth Group trades at $0.5900, about 36% below its 52-week high of $0.9200 and 51% above the low of $0.3900 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Skyworth Group?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Samsung Electronics Co, Sony Group, Xiaomi Corporation, LG Electronics Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Skyworth Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.5900, calculated fair value $0.8400 (+42%), Quality Score 50/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SWDHF calculated?
We run Skyworth Group through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Skyworth Group currently trades 42 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Skyworth Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.7500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band ($0.7500 to $0.8400), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of Skyworth Group (SWDHF) come from?
Earnings per share at Skyworth Group grew −8.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.4 %, EBIT margin −10.0 %, tax rate −3.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Skyworth Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
The market capitalisation of Skyworth Group is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Skyworth Group is 0.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
Earnings per share at Skyworth Group are $0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
The net margin of Skyworth Group is 0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Skyworth Group is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Skyworth Group is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
The operating margin of Skyworth Group is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
Revenue at Skyworth Group is growing −2.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Skyworth Group (SWDHF)?
Earnings per share at Skyworth Group are growing +58.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Skyworth Group (SWDHF) carry?
The net debt of Skyworth Group is $6.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 21.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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