SysGroup plc (SYS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · GB · Market cap 23.4M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from £0.1900 to £0.1500 (−21.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +40.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.1800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.1219 – £0.4462 · fair‑value band £0.1200 – £0.1800 · the £0.2800 price screens above the £0.1500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
SysGroup plc (SYS) currently trades at £0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.1500, implying the stock looks roughly 46.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, SysGroup plc generated revenue of £20.3M at a net margin of -10.8%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £2.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.1200 (bear case) to £0.1800 (bull case); at £0.2800, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -46%, SYS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (£0.1800) versus Multiples (£0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SysGroup plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides managed information technology services specializing in the delivery of cloud, data, and security services to power AI and ML transformation in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates in two segments, Managed IT Services and Value-Added Resale.
Full company description
SysGroup plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides managed information technology services specializing in the delivery of cloud, data, and security services to power AI and ML transformation in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates in two segments, Managed IT Services and Value-Added Resale. The company offers analytics solutions, including AI and machine learning, data strategy and governance, data management, and ML model implementation and support; connectivity solutions, such as managed connectivity, business internet and leased lines, and WAN, SD-WAN, SASE/ZTNA, as well as 5G and unified communications. It also provides cyber security solutions; hosting-infrastructure solutions comprising cloud infrastructure, on-premises and hybrid solutions, networking and connectivity, and storage and data management; cloud solutions consisting of Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services, SysCloud, and Microsoft 365; and protection solutions, including data backup and disaster recovery managed services. In addition, the company offers consulting services, such as AI strategy, cloud optimization, automation, cybersecurity, and data analytics; professional services comprising AI integration, cloud deployment, automation, security frameworks, and data modernization; and managed and support services, as well as sells IT hardware products and licenses from supplier partners. It serves education, financial services, government, healthcare, hospitality, media and publishing, manufacturing, non-profits, professional services, retail, and technology industries. The company was formerly known as Daily Internet plc and changed its name to SysGroup plc in July 2016. SysGroup plc was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Manchester, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
SysGroup plc reported revenue of £22.1M in FY2026 versus £14.7M in FY2022, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was −£1.9M in FY2026.
SYS screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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