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SysGroup PLC (SYS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SysGroup PLC stock £0.22, price £0.36, that is 38.9% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology GB · ISIN GB00BYT18182

SP SysGroup PLC logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

SysGroup PLC

SYS · LSE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 39% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Revenue last quarter +17% vs. a year ago.
Quality 44/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.0 %/yr in GBP)
Fair value £0.2200 · Strongly overvalued
Loss-making · -8.5% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 15/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£0.4940 £0.1350 Fair Value £0.2200 Mar 2019 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.1350 – £0.4940 · fair‑value band £0.1300 – £0.4000 · the £0.3600 price screens above the £0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

SysGroup plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides managed information technology services specializing in the delivery of cloud, data, and security services to power AI and ML transformation in the United Kingdom and internationally.

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It operates in two segments, Managed IT Services and Value-Added Resale.

The company offers analytics solutions, including AI and machine learning, data strategy and governance, data management, and ML model implementation and support; connectivity solutions, such as managed connectivity, business internet and leased lines, and WAN, SD-WAN, SASE/ZTNA, as well as 5G and unified communications.

It also provides cyber security solutions; hosting-infrastructure solutions comprising cloud infrastructure, on-premises and hybrid solutions, networking and connectivity, and storage and data management; cloud solutions consisting of Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services, SysCloud, and Microsoft 365; and protection solutions, including data backup and disaster recovery managed services.

In addition, the company offers consulting services, such as AI strategy, cloud optimization, automation, cybersecurity, and data analytics; professional services comprising AI integration, cloud deployment, automation, security frameworks, and data modernization; and managed and support services, as well as sells IT hardware products and licenses from supplier partners.

It serves education, financial services, government, healthcare, hospitality, media and publishing, manufacturing, non-profits, professional services, retail, and technology industries. The company was formerly known as Daily Internet plc and changed its name to SysGroup plc in July 2016.

SysGroup plc was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Manchester, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

SysGroup PLC (SYS) currently trades at £0.3600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.2200, 39% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of £0.2400 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the £0.3600 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at £0.1250, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: £0.1300 (bear) to £0.4000 (bull), the price of £0.3600 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

SysGroup PLC reported revenue of £22.1M in FY2026 versus £14.7M in FY2022, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was −£1.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap £30.8M Micro · P/S ratio 1.35 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0200 · Net margin −8.5% · Return on equity −8.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1.2% · Revenue (TTM) £22.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 167% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −39%, SYS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.1300 Fair Value £0.2200 Bull £0.4000
Price £0.3600 · Downside -38.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF £0.1300 £0.2200 £0.4300 76
Growth DCF £0.1300 £0.2400 £0.4100 76
5Y EBITDA Exit £0.1500 £0.2600 £0.4000 74
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.1300 £0.2200 £0.4300 76
Owner Earnings £0.1200 £0.2100 £0.3900 73
5Y Revenue Exit £0.0800 £0.1100 £0.1500 73
5Y EBITDA Exit £0.1500 £0.2600 £0.4000 74
10Y Revenue Exit £0.1000 £0.1300 £0.1800 67
10Y EBITDA Exit £0.1400 £0.2400 £0.4200 66
Multiples
EV/EBITDA £0.1500 £0.1900 £0.2300 67
EV/Revenue £0.0500 £0.0600 £0.0700 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.1300 £0.2400 £0.4100 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 16
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 27
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 72
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 98
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 60
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 90
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 94
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 25
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.6% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+65.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.7% (2021) → −5.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+44.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +41.7% a year for the price.

SYS screens overvalued: fair value 39% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 346 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −38.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −8.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −1.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 17.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.22× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.38× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 1.40× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 150.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)87 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $530.61 $583.67 +10% vs SYS
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $118.84 $130.72 +10% vs SYS
Oracle Corporation ORCL $116.10 $111.97 −4% vs SYS
NetApp, Inc NTAP $169.19 $156.80 −7% vs SYS
Block, Inc XYZ $85.48 $76.43 −11% vs SYS
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $450.46 $288.23 −36% vs SYS
Zscaler, Inc ZS $197.66 $101.45 −49% vs SYS
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $160.38 $42.20 −74% vs SYS
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $216.90 $37.97 −82% vs SYS
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $313.84 $39.54 −87% vs SYS

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SysGroup PLC: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SysGroup PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SYS

Frequently asked questions

Is SysGroup PLC (SYS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.2200 versus a price of £0.3600, about 39% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SYS?
Our model-based fair value for SysGroup PLC is £0.2200 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.3600.
What is the quality score of SYS?
SysGroup PLC has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.2200 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.1300, optimistic scenario £0.4000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SysGroup PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.2200, about 39% lower versus a price of £0.3600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.1300, optimistic scenario £0.4000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
SysGroup PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £22.1M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SysGroup PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +44.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.0 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SYS use?
Our models discount SysGroup PLC at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.41, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SysGroup PLC that is +44.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SysGroup PLC (SYS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SysGroup PLC grew +4.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +44.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SysGroup PLC (SYS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SysGroup PLC (+44.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.67 %: that much free cash flow SysGroup PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SysGroup PLC it is £0.2200 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of £0.3600. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).
Is SysGroup PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, SYS trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.3600, fair value £0.2200, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SYS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.3600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.2200). For SysGroup PLC the two are £0.1400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SysGroup PLC worth?
The market values SysGroup PLC at about £30.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is £0.3600; our models calculate a fair value of £0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SYS?
Our models span a range for SysGroup PLC: cautious scenario £0.1300, base £0.2200, optimistic £0.4000 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price £0.3600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
Balance-sheet figures for SysGroup PLC (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −8.2%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SYS from its 52-week high?
SysGroup PLC trades at £0.3600, about 8% below its 52-week high of £0.3900 and 167% above the low of £0.1350 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SysGroup PLC?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SysGroup PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price £0.3600, calculated fair value £0.2200 (−39%), Quality Score 44/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SYS calculated?
We run SysGroup PLC through 9 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £0.2200 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. SysGroup PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £0.3600. Our model-based fair value is £0.2200, about 39% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SysGroup PLC right now?
Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (£0.1300 to £0.4000). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of SysGroup PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
The market capitalisation of SysGroup PLC is £30.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SysGroup PLC is 1.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
Earnings per share at SysGroup PLC are £−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
The net margin of SysGroup PLC is −8.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SysGroup PLC is −8.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SysGroup PLC is −5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
The operating margin of SysGroup PLC is −1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
Revenue at SysGroup PLC is growing +17.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SysGroup PLC (SYS)?
Earnings per share at SysGroup PLC are growing −68.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does SysGroup PLC (SYS) hold?
SysGroup PLC holds more cash than debt, £2.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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