Südzucker AG (SZU) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · DE · Market cap €2.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +0.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (€4.67 to €19.98). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €8.53 – €16.51 · fair‑value band €4.67 – €19.98 · the €11.94 price screens above the €11.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Südzucker AG (SZU) currently trades at €11.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €11.73, implying the stock looks roughly 1.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Südzucker AG generated revenue of €8.6B at a net margin of -1.9%. Revenue declined 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.3%. Net debt stands at €2.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €4.67 (bear case) to €19.98 (bull case); at €11.94, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -2%, SZU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€19.89) versus Dividend Discount (€2.11). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Südzucker AG produces and sells sugar products in Germany and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Sugar, Special Products, CropEnergies, Starch, and Fruit.
Full company description
Südzucker AG produces and sells sugar products in Germany and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Sugar, Special Products, CropEnergies, Starch, and Fruit. The Sugar segment produces and sells sugar, sugar specialty products, glucose syrup, and animal feed to food industry, retailers, and agriculture markets, as well as offers by-products of sugar. The Special Products segment produces functional ingredients, including dietary fibers, sugar substitutes, sugar, and vegetable texturates for food, animal feed, non-food, and pharmaceutical industries. This segment also offers frozen and chilled pizzas, frozen pasta, snacks, dressings, sauces, baguettes, breadsnacks, portion packed articles, and non-food products to hotels, caterers, food retailers, and restaurants. The CropEnergies segment produces fuel-grade ethanol, neutral alcohol, protein-based food and animal feed, and liquid CO2 to oil companies and traders, food and animal feed producers, beverage, cosmetics, and industrial and pharmaceutical companies. The Starch segment offers starches, saccharification products, ethanol, and byproducts, which include animal feed and fertilizers to food, paper, textiles, industrial chemicals, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, petroleum, and animal feed industries. The Fruit segment produces fruit preparations for the dairy, ice cream, baked goods, and food service industries; and fruit juice concentrates, not-from- concentrate juices, fruit wines, natural aromas, and beverage bases for beverage industry. The company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Mannheim, Germany. Südzucker AG is a subsidiary of Süddeutsche Zuckerrübenverwertungs-Genossenschaft eG.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Südzucker AG reported revenue of €8.4B in FY2026 versus €7.6B in FY2022, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −€362M in FY2026.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 652 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,507 | ₹362.37 | -76% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,646 | ₹1,870 | -67% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,062 | ₹327.27 | -69% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 7,550 IDR | 12,864 IDR | +70% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,219,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -17% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹352.60 | ₹144.77 | -59% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 61,600 VND | 52,858 VND | -14% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,665 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +62% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,630 IDR | 4,350 IDR | -6% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 389,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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