GameStop Corp. (GME) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what GameStop Corp. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.01 – $61.89 · fair‑value band $10.09 – $15.56 · the $22.64 price screens above the $12.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
GameStop Corp., a specialty retailer, provides games, collectibles, and entertainment products through its stores and e-commerce platforms in United States, Australia and Europe.
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GameStop Corp., a specialty retailer, provides games, collectibles, and entertainment products through its stores and e-commerce platforms in United States, Australia and Europe. The company sells new and pre-owned gaming platforms; accessories, such as controllers, gaming headsets, and other peripheral devices; new and pre-owned gaming software; and in-game digital currency, digital downloadable content, and full-game downloads. It also sells collectibles comprising apparel, toys, trading cards, gadgets, and other retail products for pop culture and technology enthusiasts. The company operates stores and e-commerce sites under the GameStop, EB Games, and Micromania brands; and pop culture themed stores that sell collectibles, apparel, gadgets, electronics, toys, and other retail products under the Zing Pop Culture brand. The company was formerly known as GSC Holdings Corp. GameStop Corp. was founded in 1996 and is based in Grapevine, Texas.
Stock analysis
GameStop Corp. (GME) currently trades at $22.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.88, implying the stock looks roughly 75.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $16.47 per share, and 1 of the 22 models we run sit above the $22.64 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $7.75, and 21 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $10.09 (bear) to $15.56 (bull), the price of $22.64 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
GameStop Corp. reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2026 versus $6.0B in FY2022, a compound −11.8%/yr. Reported net income was $418M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $12.4B · P/E ratio 16.9 · P/S ratio 1.95 · EPS (TTM) $1.34 · Net margin 11.5% · Return on equity 14.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.9% · Operating margin 16.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −43%, GME screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.09Fair Value $12.88Bull $15.56
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.8554 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.5%
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.7% (2021) → 7.9% (2026)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 229 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−33% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.77× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)16.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.81× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.64× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF16.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA18.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.31× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)71· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)56· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)62· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 62
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GameStop Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GME
Frequently asked questions
Is GameStop Corp. (GME) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.88 versus a price of $22.64, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GME?
Our model-based fair value for GameStop Corp. is $12.88 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.64.
What is the quality score of GME?
GameStop Corp. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GameStop Corp. (GME)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.88 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.09, optimistic scenario $15.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GameStop Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.88, about −43% upside versus a price of $22.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.09, optimistic scenario $15.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
GameStop Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into GameStop Corp. (GME)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GameStop Corp. would have to grow free cash flow by +4.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -6.5 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GME use?
Our models discount GameStop Corp. at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.76, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GameStop Corp. that is +4.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GameStop Corp. (GME) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GameStop Corp. grew -6.5 % a year. The price currently implies +4.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GameStop Corp. (GME) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GameStop Corp. (+4.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.80 %: that much free cash flow GameStop Corp. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GameStop Corp. it is $12.88 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $22.64. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GameStop Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, GME trades above its calculated fair value: price $22.64, fair value $12.88, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GME?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($22.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.88). For GameStop Corp. the two are $9.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GameStop Corp. worth?
The market values GameStop Corp. at about $12.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $22.64; our models calculate a fair value of $12.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GME?
Our models span a range for GameStop Corp.: cautious scenario $10.09, base $12.88, optimistic $15.56 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $22.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GME?
GameStop Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.9 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.88 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 1.8, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 18.7.
What is the PEG ratio of GME?
The PEG ratio of GameStop Corp. is 0.31 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
Balance-sheet figures for GameStop Corp. (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 14.1%, debt of 0.77 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GME from its 52-week high?
GameStop Corp. trades at $22.64, about 26% below its 52-week high of $30.60 and 14% above the low of $19.93 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GameStop Corp.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GameStop Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $22.64, calculated fair value $12.88 (−43%), Quality Score 46/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GME calculated?
We run GameStop Corp. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.88, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. GameStop Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $22.64. Our model-based fair value is $12.88, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GameStop Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($15.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of GameStop Corp.
How large is the market capitalisation of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
The market capitalisation of GameStop Corp. is $12.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GameStop Corp. is 1.95 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
Earnings per share at GameStop Corp. are $1.34 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
The net margin of GameStop Corp. is 11.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GameStop Corp. is 14.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GameStop Corp. is −3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GameStop Corp. (GME)?
The operating margin of GameStop Corp. is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GameStop Corp. (GME)?
Revenue at GameStop Corp. is growing +14.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GameStop Corp. (GME)?
Earnings per share at GameStop Corp. are growing +633% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does GameStop Corp. (GME) hold?
GameStop Corp. holds more cash than debt, $1.9B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Sep 18, 2026