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Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP-A) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $7.7B

MC Molson Coors Beverage Company logo Molson Coors Beverage Company TAP-A · US
Price$41.00
Fair Value$43.32
Upside+5.7%
Quality43/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $22.04 – $64.60 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −9.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$54.82 $40.31 Fair Value $43.32 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $40.31 – $54.82 · fair‑value band $22.04 – $64.60 · the $41.00 price screens below the $43.32 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP-A) currently trades at $41.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.32, implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Molson Coors Beverage Company generated revenue of $11.2B at a net margin of -18.9%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.1%. Net debt stands at $5.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $22.04 (bear case) to $64.60 (bull case); at $41.00, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 6%, TAP-A screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $11.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.0%
Net margin -18.9%
Return on equity -18.1%
Free cash flow $1.1B FY2025
Operating margin 12.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-10.55
Dividend yield 4.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.6%
Net debt $5.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Molson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beer and other malt beverage products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers flavored malt beverages including hard seltzers, craft, spirits, and ready to drink beverages. The company also provides non-alcoholic beverages including premium mixers and energy drinks. It offers its products under Arnold Palmer Spiked, Aspall Cider, Blue Moon, Beck's, Blue Run Spirits, Cobra, Corona Extra, Coors Original, Fever-Tree, Heineken, Hidra, Leinenkugel's, Madri, Miller Genuine Draft, Molson Ultra, Peroni Nastro Azurro, Pilsner Urquell, Redd's, Rekorderlig, Sharp's, Simply Spiked, Staropramen, Stella Artois, Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, ZOA Energy, and Vizzy Hard Seltzer above premium brands; Bergenbier, Borsodi, Burgasko, Carling, Coors Banquet, Coors Light, Jelen, Miller Lite, Molson Canadian brands, Niksicko, and O"ujsko under the premium brands; and Branik, Icehouse, Keystone, …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Molson Coors Beverage Company reported revenue of $11.1B in FY2025 versus $10.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.1B in FY2025.

Revenue +2.0%/yr
FY21 $10.3B
FY22 $10.7B
FY23 $11.7B
FY24 $11.6B
FY25 $11.1B
Net income
FY21 $1.0B
FY22 −$175M
FY23 $949M
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 −$2.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Molson Coors Beverage Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TAP-A

Recent news

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Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ambev S.A ABEV 14,120 ARS 5,678 ARS -60%
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA BUDFF $79.94 $74.38 -7%
1NBA 1NBA €71.18 €62.02 -13%
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Heineken Holding HEIO €64.25 €99.51 +55%
Kirin Holdings KNBWF $18.56 $16.71 -10%
Asahi Group ASBRF $9.75 $17.77 +82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP-A) undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $43.32 versus a price of $41.00, about +6% (fairly valued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TAP-A?
Our model-based fair value for Molson Coors Beverage Company is $43.32 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $41.00.
What is the quality score of TAP-A?
Molson Coors Beverage Company has a Quality Score of 43/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP-A)?
Molson Coors Beverage Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TAP-A?
The net profit margin of Molson Coors Beverage Company is about -18.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Molson Coors Beverage Company pay a dividend?
Molson Coors Beverage Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.22% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.