Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $7.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −9.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $40.31 – $54.82 · fair‑value band $22.04 – $64.60 · the $41.00 price screens below the $43.32 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP-A) currently trades at $41.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.32, implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Molson Coors Beverage Company generated revenue of $11.2B at a net margin of -18.9%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.1%. Net debt stands at $5.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $22.04 (bear case) to $64.60 (bull case); at $41.00, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 6%, TAP-A screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Molson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beer and other malt beverage products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers flavored malt beverages including hard seltzers, craft, spirits, and ready to drink beverages. The company also provides non-alcoholic beverages including premium mixers and energy drinks. It offers its products under Arnold Palmer Spiked, Aspall Cider, Blue Moon, Beck's, Blue Run Spirits, Cobra, Corona Extra, Coors Original, Fever-Tree, Heineken, Hidra, Leinenkugel's, Madri, Miller Genuine Draft, Molson Ultra, Peroni Nastro Azurro, Pilsner Urquell, Redd's, Rekorderlig, Sharp's, Simply Spiked, Staropramen, Stella Artois, Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, ZOA Energy, and Vizzy Hard Seltzer above premium brands; Bergenbier, Borsodi, Burgasko, Carling, Coors Banquet, Coors Light, Jelen, Miller Lite, Molson Canadian brands, Niksicko, and O"ujsko under the premium brands; and Branik, Icehouse, Keystone, …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Molson Coors Beverage Company reported revenue of $11.1B in FY2025 versus $10.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.1B in FY2025.
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Recent news
- Portfolio Diversification and Premiumization Fuel Molson Coors' Outlook
- Molson Coors Beverage Company Announces Regular Quarterly Dividend
- 1 Value Stock to Consider Right Now and 2 We Find Risky
- Investors Hoped for a World Cup Bump. Instead, They Got a Slump.
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 5,678 ARS | -60% |
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA BUDFF | $79.94 | $74.38 | -7% |
| 1NBA 1NBA | €71.18 | €62.02 | -13% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 213.28 MXN | 329.85 MXN | +55% |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €71.00 | €64.89 | -9% |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $143.38 | $177.43 | +24% |
| Carlsberg A/S CARLA | kr 1,075 | kr 1,131 | +5% |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €64.25 | €99.51 | +55% |
| Kirin Holdings KNBWF | $18.56 | $16.71 | -10% |
| Asahi Group ASBRF | $9.75 | $17.77 | +82% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.