Tarczynski S.A (TAR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · PL · Market cap 1.4B PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 221.71 PLN to 53.74 PLN (−75.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (67.18 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 20.30 PLN – 145.46 PLN · fair‑value band 39.58 PLN – 67.18 PLN · the 123.50 PLN price screens above the 53.74 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Tarczynski S.A (TAR) currently trades at 123.50 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 53.74 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 56.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tarczynski S.A generated revenue of 2.2B PLN at a net margin of 5.9%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. Net debt stands at 1.0B PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 39.58 PLN (bear case) to 67.18 PLN (bull case); at 123.50 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -56%, TAR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (250.70 PLN) versus Asset-Based (42.77 PLN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tarczynski S.A. processes, produces, distributes, and sells meat products in Poland. It offers Kabanos, a meat snacks; Tarczynski Naturally, a meat without preservatives; sausage products under the FRANKFURTERS name; Beef Jerky and Strips under the Protein name; meat snacks for children under the Gryzzale name; plant-based sausages; and cure meat products.
Full company description
Tarczynski S.A. processes, produces, distributes, and sells meat products in Poland. It offers Kabanos, a meat snacks; Tarczynski Naturally, a meat without preservatives; sausage products under the FRANKFURTERS name; Beef Jerky and Strips under the Protein name; meat snacks for children under the Gryzzale name; plant-based sausages; and cure meat products. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Trzebnica, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tarczynski S.A reported revenue of 2.2B PLN in FY2025 versus 1.2B PLN in FY2021, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was 126M PLN in FY2025, compounding +7.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +15.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TAR screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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