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Tarczynski S.A. (TAR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tarczynski S.A. stock PLN 194, price PLN 115, upside +69.2%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive PL · ISIN PLTRCZN00016

TS Tarczynski S.A. logo Broad data Nov 5, 2026

Tarczynski S.A.

TAR · WAR
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 41% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 193.74 PLN · Strongly undervalued
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Broad data
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 23% above the price (141.25 PLN).
Quality 42/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +17.0 %/yr in PLN)
Thin margins · 5.2% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
2.9% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Moderate moat 47/100 · thin data
Negative free cash flow
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

145.46 PLN 32.23 PLN Fair Value 193.74 PLN Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 32.23 PLN – 145.46 PLN · fair‑value band 141.25 PLN – 264.57 PLN · the 114.50 PLN price screens below the 193.74 PLN fair value. As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Tarczynski S.A. processes, produces, distributes, and sells meat products in Poland.

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It offers Kabanos, a meat snacks; Tarczynski Naturally, a meat without preservatives; sausage products under the FRANKFURTERS name; Beef Jerky and Strips under the Protein name; meat snacks for children under the Gryzzale name; plant-based sausages; and cure meat products.

The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Trzebnica, Poland.

Stock analysis

Tarczynski S.A. (TAR) currently trades at 114.50 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 193.74 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 41% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 250.70 PLN per share, and 9 of the 16 models we run sit above the 114.50 PLN price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 30.80 PLN, and 7 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 141.25 PLN (bear) to 264.57 PLN (bull), the price of 114.50 PLN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Tarczynski S.A. reported revenue of 2.2B PLN in FY2025 versus 1.2B PLN in FY2021, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was 126M PLN in FY2025, compounding +7.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.3B PLN (≈ $332M) Small · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 0.57 · EPS (TTM) 10.55 PLN · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 16.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.5% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 69%, TAR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 141.25 PLN Fair Value 193.74 PLN Bull 264.57 PLN
Price 114.50 PLN · Upside +69.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (6.22 PLN per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 61.60 PLN 78.83 PLN 118.54 PLN 75
EPV 69.12 PLN 82.79 PLN 93.96 PLN 74
ROIC Compounder 71.74 PLN 101.01 PLN 133.55 PLN 71
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 75.33 PLN 417.26 PLN 579.17 PLN 63
Lynch FV 116.40 PLN 166.29 PLN 216.18 PLN 61
PEG = 1.0 116.40 PLN 166.29 PLN 216.18 PLN 57
EPV 69.12 PLN 82.79 PLN 93.96 PLN 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 18.62 PLN 31.74 PLN 41.76 PLN 68
DDM Multi-Stage 18.62 PLN 29.85 PLN 34.10 PLN 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 174.49 PLN 232.65 PLN 290.81 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 141.25 PLN 188.34 PLN 235.42 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 46.83 PLN 62.44 PLN 78.05 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 122.91 PLN 193.74 PLN 264.57 PLN 64
EV/EBITDA 153.79 PLN 234.91 PLN 316.03 PLN 66
EV/Revenue 62.08 PLN 127.08 PLN 192.07 PLN 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 27.93 PLN 37.42 PLN 55.85 PLN 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 61.60 PLN 78.83 PLN 118.54 PLN 75
ROIC Compounder 71.74 PLN 101.01 PLN 133.55 PLN 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 175.49 PLN 250.70 PLN 325.91 PLN 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 54
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 34
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 34
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 18
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 94
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 36
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 28
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.3% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.6% vs 26.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 8%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Compare Tarczynski S.A. with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +69.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 16.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 5.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 6.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.70× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 10.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.79× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.57× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)1 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)67 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)65 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)58 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.97 SGD 4.93 SGD +66% vs TAR
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.45 ¥41.84 +33% vs TAR
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.61 $29.20 +19% vs TAR
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.78 ¥39.22 +10% vs TAR
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.51 $35.30 −1% vs TAR
Danone S.A BN €67.12 €50.65 −25% vs TAR
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 85.85 CHF 59.51 −31% vs TAR
Kerry Group KRZ €98.00 €60.33 −38% vs TAR
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,282 ₹724.74 −43% vs TAR
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥26.21 ¥12.21 −53% vs TAR

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Tarczynski S.A.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tarczynski S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TAR

Frequently asked questions

Is Tarczynski S.A. (TAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 193.74 PLN versus a price of 114.50 PLN, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TAR?
Our model-based fair value for Tarczynski S.A. is 193.74 PLN (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 114.50 PLN.
What is the quality score of TAR?
Tarczynski S.A. has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 193.74 PLN (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 141.25 PLN, optimistic scenario 264.57 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tarczynski S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 193.74 PLN, about +69% upside versus a price of 114.50 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 141.25 PLN, optimistic scenario 264.57 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
Tarczynski S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B PLN (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Tarczynski S.A. pay a dividend?
Tarczynski S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Tarczynski S.A. pays a dividend of 3.30 PLN per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 9, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2021. The payout ratio is 31.3% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tarczynski S.A. it is 193.74 PLN per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 114.50 PLN. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Tarczynski S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, TAR trades below its calculated fair value: price 114.50 PLN, fair value 193.74 PLN, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TAR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (114.50 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (193.74 PLN). For Tarczynski S.A. the two are 79.24 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tarczynski S.A. worth?
The market values Tarczynski S.A. at about 1.3B PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 114.50 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 193.74 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TAR?
Our models span a range for Tarczynski S.A.: cautious scenario 141.25 PLN, base 193.74 PLN, optimistic 264.57 PLN per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 114.50 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TAR?
Tarczynski S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 193.74 PLN is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 6.2. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tarczynski S.A. (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 16.7%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TAR from its 52-week high?
Tarczynski S.A. trades at 114.50 PLN, about 8% below its 52-week high of 124.11 PLN and 3% above the low of 110.97 PLN (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 193.74 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tarczynski S.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tarczynski S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 114.50 PLN, calculated fair value 193.74 PLN (+69%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TAR calculated?
We run Tarczynski S.A. through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 193.74 PLN builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Tarczynski S.A. currently trades 41% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 114.50 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 193.74 PLN, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tarczynski S.A. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (141.25 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (141.25 PLN to 264.57 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR) come from?
Earnings per share at Tarczynski S.A. grew +27.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.6 %, EBIT margin +7.8 %, tax rate +2.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Tarczynski S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
The market capitalisation of Tarczynski S.A. is 1.3B PLN (≈ $332M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tarczynski S.A. is 0.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
Earnings per share at Tarczynski S.A. are 10.55 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
The dividend yield of Tarczynski S.A. is 2.9% (payout 31.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
The net margin of Tarczynski S.A. is 5.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tarczynski S.A. is 16.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tarczynski S.A. is 10.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
The operating margin of Tarczynski S.A. is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
Revenue at Tarczynski S.A. is growing +0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tarczynski S.A. (TAR)?
Earnings per share at Tarczynski S.A. are growing −73.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tarczynski S.A. (TAR) generate?
The free cash flow of Tarczynski S.A. is −137M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tarczynski S.A. (TAR) carry?
The net debt of Tarczynski S.A. is 1.0B PLN (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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