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Tipco Asphalt Public Company (TASCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TH · Market cap 22.6B THB

TA Tipco Asphalt Public Company TASCO · BK
Price15.20 THB
Fair Value17.55 THB
Upside+15.5%
Quality63/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.94% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range 13.16 THB – 21.93 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 12.24 THB to 17.55 THB (+43.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 13.16 THB (bear) to 21.93 THB (bull), base 17.55 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

17.59 THB 11.83 THB Fair Value 17.55 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 11.83 THB – 17.59 THB · fair‑value band 13.16 THB – 21.93 THB · the 15.20 THB price screens below the 17.55 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Tipco Asphalt Public Company (TASCO) currently trades at 15.20 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.55 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 15.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tipco Asphalt Public Company generated revenue of 27.5B THB at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at 2.2B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 13.16 THB (bear case) to 21.93 THB (bull case); at 15.20 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 15%, TASCO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 17.95 THB 24.20 THB 32.76 THB 80
Residual Income 7.36 THB 7.95 THB 9.22 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 10.27 THB 13.37 THB 16.77 THB 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 17.40 THB 23.99 THB 33.37 THB 38
Owner Earnings 10.07 THB 13.70 THB 18.87 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 10.27 THB 13.07 THB 16.39 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 12.12 THB 16.30 THB 20.88 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 12.15 THB 16.35 THB 20.46 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 12.68 THB 15.62 THB 18.91 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 13.98 THB 17.78 THB 22.11 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 14.00 THB 17.81 THB 21.81 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.90 THB 10.08 THB 12.73 THB 54
EPV 4.84 THB 5.46 THB 6.01 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 15.60 THB 23.04 THB 30.85 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 15.60 THB 22.15 THB 29.67 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 9.18 THB 12.24 THB 15.30 THB 63
P/S Multiple 9.18 THB 12.24 THB 15.30 THB 58
P/B Multiple 9.18 THB 12.24 THB 15.30 THB 55
EV/EBIT 7.30 THB 9.36 THB 11.43 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 10.23 THB 13.27 THB 16.32 THB 54
EV/Revenue 6.47 THB 8.77 THB 11.08 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.34 THB 5.82 THB 8.68 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 17.95 THB 24.20 THB 32.76 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 10.27 THB 13.37 THB 16.77 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7.36 THB 7.95 THB 9.22 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 4.84 THB 5.46 THB 6.01 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6.79 THB 9.70 THB 12.61 THB 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (22.15 THB) versus Earnings-Based (5.46 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 27.5B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.5%
Net margin 4.2%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow 2.5B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 18.8
More key figures
Operating margin 6.9%
EPS (TTM) 0.7300 THB
Dividend yield 7.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.4%
Net debt 2.2B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tipco Asphalt Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes asphalt and petroleum products in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Manufacturing and Trading; and Construction Business segments.

Full company description

Tipco Asphalt Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes asphalt and petroleum products in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Manufacturing and Trading; and Construction Business segments. The company engages in manufacturing and trading of asphalt, petroleum oil, and asphalt concrete products; marine logistics; and construction services related to highway construction and road rehabilitation. It is also involved in the distribution of machines, materials, and tools for road construction; ship management and agency; marine transportation; sale of construction materials; storage; and tank rental activities. In addition, the company offers asphalt cement and emulsion, cutback asphalt, modified asphalt emulsion, polymer modified asphalt, and premium asphalt; premix, joint sealer, and coating applications; technical services; and research and development services. It serves contractors, traders, terminal owners, and distributors. Tipco Asphalt Public Company Limited was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tipco Asphalt Public Company reported revenue of 27.0B THB in FY2025 versus 27.1B THB in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B THB in FY2025, compounding −15.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
27.0B THB
Latest YoY
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+7.2%
Revenue −0.1%/yr
FY21 27.1B THB
FY22 33.4B THB
FY23 31.1B THB
FY24 28.0B THB
FY25 27.0B THB
Net income −15.4%/yr
FY21 2.2B THB
FY22 2.4B THB
FY23 2.3B THB
FY24 1.4B THB
FY25 1.1B THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tipco Asphalt Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TASCO

Peer Group

Building Materials · 254 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.82× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 54 · sector 28
FUTURE 23 · sector 2
PAST 30 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tipco Asphalt Public Company (TASCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 17.55 THB versus a price of 15.20 THB, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TASCO?
Our model-based fair value for Tipco Asphalt Public Company is 17.55 THB (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 15.20 THB.
What is the quality score of TASCO?
Tipco Asphalt Public Company has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tipco Asphalt Public Company (TASCO)?
Tipco Asphalt Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.5B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TASCO?
The net profit margin of Tipco Asphalt Public Company is about 4.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tipco Asphalt Public Company pay a dividend?
Tipco Asphalt Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.30% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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