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Thesis Gold Inc (TAU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Thesis Gold Inc stock C$2.01, price C$2.46, that is 18.3% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA · ISIN CA8839301097

TG Thesis Gold Inc logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Thesis Gold Inc

TAU · V
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 18% below what the stock costs today.

Ranks above peers (5/7)
Quality 45/100
Fair value C$2.01 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 6/100
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$3.94 C$0.2250 Fair Value C$2.01 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.2250 – C$3.94 · fair‑value band C$1.51 – C$2.51 · the C$2.46 price screens above the C$2.01 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Thesis Gold & Silver Inc., a resource development company, engages in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral properties in Canada. The company explores for gold, silver, and precious metals deposits.

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It holds 100% interest in the Lawyers-Ranch project covering 495 square kilometers in the Toodoggone mining district of northern central British Columbia. The company was formerly known as Thesis Gold Inc. and changed its name to Thesis Gold & Silver Inc. in February 2026.

Thesis Gold & Silver Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Thesis Gold Inc (TAU) currently trades at C$2.46, while our estimate is C$2.01, 18% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: C$1.51 (bear) to C$2.51 (bull), the price of C$2.46 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Thesis Gold Inc reported revenue of C$0 in FY2026 versus C$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −C$5.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap C$682M (≈ $481M) Small · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0400 · Return on equity −4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.4% (5-year average) · Free cash flow −C$6.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −18%, TAU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear C$1.51 Fair Value C$2.01 Bull C$2.51
Price C$2.46 · Downside -18.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 70
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 96
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 3
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 39
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 68
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 26
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TAU screens overvalued: fair value 18% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/6 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Above median
Fair Value upside −18.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.0% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.76× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)9 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs TAU
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs TAU
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs TAU
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs TAU
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs TAU
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs TAU
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs TAU
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs TAU
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs TAU
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs TAU

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Thesis Gold Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thesis Gold Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TAU

Frequently asked questions

Is Thesis Gold Inc (TAU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is C$2.01 versus a price of C$2.46, about 18% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TAU?
Our estimate for Thesis Gold Inc is C$2.01 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$2.46.
What is the quality score of TAU?
Thesis Gold Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Thesis Gold Inc (TAU)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of C$2.01 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario C$1.51, optimistic scenario C$2.51. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Thesis Gold Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at C$2.01, about 18% lower versus a price of C$2.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$1.51, optimistic scenario C$2.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Thesis Gold Inc (TAU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Thesis Gold Inc it is C$2.01 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of C$2.46.
Is Thesis Gold Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, TAU trades above its calculated fair value: price C$2.46, fair value C$2.01, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TAU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$2.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$2.01). For Thesis Gold Inc the two are C$0.4500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Thesis Gold Inc worth?
The market values Thesis Gold Inc at about C$682M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is C$2.46; our models calculate a fair value of C$2.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TAU?
Our models span a range for Thesis Gold Inc: cautious scenario C$1.51, base C$2.01, optimistic C$2.51 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price C$2.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Thesis Gold Inc (TAU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Thesis Gold Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −4.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TAU from its 52-week high?
Thesis Gold Inc trades at C$2.46, about 38% below its 52-week high of C$3.94 and 57% above the low of C$1.57 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$2.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Thesis Gold Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Thesis Gold Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price C$2.46, calculated fair value C$2.01 (−18%), Quality Score 45/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Thesis Gold Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Thesis Gold Inc (TAU)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was C$2.46. Our estimate is C$2.01, about 18% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Thesis Gold Inc right now?
Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Thesis Gold Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Thesis Gold Inc (TAU)?
The market capitalisation of Thesis Gold Inc is C$682M (≈ $481M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Thesis Gold Inc (TAU)?
Earnings per share at Thesis Gold Inc are C$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Thesis Gold Inc (TAU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Thesis Gold Inc is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Thesis Gold Inc (TAU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Thesis Gold Inc is −10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Thesis Gold Inc (TAU) generate?
The free cash flow of Thesis Gold Inc is −C$6.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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