TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $2.3B
TAV Havalimanlari Holding
TAVHY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $24.05 to $15.99 (−33.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.37 – $36.59 · fair‑value band $11.99 – $19.99 · the $23.50 price screens above the $15.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHY) currently trades at $23.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.99, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, TAV Havalimanlari Holding generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 27.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. Net debt stands at $1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.99 (bear case) to $19.99 (bull case); at $23.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -32%, TAVHY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($25.00) versus Dividend Discount ($0.5500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TAV Havalimanlari Holding A.S., together with its subsidiaries, constructs terminal buildings, and manages and operates terminals or airports in Turkey, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Macedonia, Tunisia, Croatia, Oman, Latvia, Spain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and internationally.
Full company description
TAV Havalimanlari Holding A.S., together with its subsidiaries, constructs terminal buildings, and manages and operates terminals or airports in Turkey, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Macedonia, Tunisia, Croatia, Oman, Latvia, Spain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through Terminal Operations, Catering Operations, Duty Free Operations, Ground Handling and Bus Operations, and Other segments. The Terminal Operations segment engages in the operation of terminal buildings, car parks, general aviation terminals, and parking-apron-taxi way, as well as ground handling operations. Its Catering Operations segment manages food and beverage operations of the terminal for passengers and the terminal personnel. The Duty Free Operations segment sells duty free goods for the international arriving and departing passengers. Its Ground Handling and Bus Operations segment is involved in the provision of traffic, ramp, flight operations, cargo, and other ground handling services for domestic and international flights, as well as the operation of buses. The Other segment provides lounge, IT, security and education, and airline taxi services, as well as software and system services. The company was formerly known as Tepe Akfen Vie Yatirim Yapim ve Isletme A.S. and changed its name to TAV Havalimanlari Holding A.S. in August 2006. TAV Havalimanlari Holding A.S. was founded in 1997 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TAV Havalimanlari Holding reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $522M in FY2021, a compound +35.2%/yr. Reported net income was $60.6M in FY2025, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2021.
TAVHY screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →
Peer Group
Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 25/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA | €26.24 | €28.41 | +8% |
| Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD | 2.44 SGD | 1.25 SGD | -49% |
| Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC | $220.91 | $246.06 | +11% |
| GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA | ₹112.80 | ₹22.29 | -80% |
| Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN | CHF 237.20 | CHF 121.30 | -49% |
| Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 | ¥24.08 | ¥17.09 | -29% |
| Auckland International Airport Limited AIA | A$7.11 | A$2.80 | -61% |
| Fraport AG FRA | €69.35 | €49.83 | -28% |
| Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL | kr 5,660 | kr 1,821 | -68% |
| SATS Ltd S58 | 4.82 SGD | 4.03 SGD | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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