Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Theravance Biopharma Inc $51.09, price $17.03, upside +200.0%, quality 81 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Theravance Biopharma Inc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.77 – $20.74 · fair‑value band $22.79 – $88.61 · the $17.03 price screens below the $51.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow Theravance Biopharma in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Theravance Biopharma is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States.
Show more
Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States. It offers YUPELRI, an once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); and Ampreloxetine an investigational, once-daily norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, Which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for symptomatic neurogenic orthostatic hypotension (nOH) in patients with Multiple System Atrophy (MSA). It has a strategic collaboration agreement with Viatris Inc. for the development and commercialization of revefenacin, including YUPELRI inhalation solution. Theravance Biopharma, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in South San Francisco, California.
Stock analysis
Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH) currently trades at $17.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $51.09, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $94.76 per share, and 14 of the 16 models we run sit above the $17.03 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $18.37, and 2 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $22.79 (bear) to $88.61 (bull), the price of $17.03 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Theravance Biopharma Inc reported revenue of $107M in FY2025 versus $55.3M in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was $106M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $880M · P/E ratio 16.4 · P/S ratio 16.1 · EPS (TTM) $1.04 · Net margin 98.5% · Return on equity 20.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.9% · Operating margin 8.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 200%, TBPH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $22.79Fair Value $51.09Bull $88.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7608 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+66.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.8% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
’12
’14
’15
’16
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−38.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−38.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−414% → −12%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−15.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −17.5% a year for the price and +2.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Theravance Biopharma Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 651 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)52% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−21% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.02× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $51.09 versus a price of $17.03, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TBPH?
Our model-based fair value for Theravance Biopharma Inc is $51.09 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.03.
What is the quality score of TBPH?
Theravance Biopharma Inc has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $51.09 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $22.79, optimistic scenario $88.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Theravance Biopharma Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $51.09, about +200% upside versus a price of $17.03 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $22.79, optimistic scenario $88.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
Theravance Biopharma Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $104M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Theravance Biopharma Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -15.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TBPH use?
Our models discount Theravance Biopharma Inc at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Theravance Biopharma Inc that is -15.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Theravance Biopharma Inc grew +8.4 % a year. The price currently implies -15.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Theravance Biopharma Inc (-15.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 27.11 %: that much free cash flow Theravance Biopharma Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Theravance Biopharma Inc it is $51.09 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $17.03. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Theravance Biopharma Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TBPH trades below its calculated fair value: price $17.03, fair value $51.09, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TBPH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($51.09). For Theravance Biopharma Inc the two are $34.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Theravance Biopharma Inc worth?
The market values Theravance Biopharma Inc at about $880M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $17.03; our models calculate a fair value of $51.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TBPH?
Our models span a range for Theravance Biopharma Inc: cautious scenario $22.79, base $51.09, optimistic $88.61 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $17.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TBPH?
Theravance Biopharma Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $51.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 8.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Theravance Biopharma Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 20.9%, debt of 2.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 81/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TBPH from its 52-week high?
Theravance Biopharma Inc trades at $17.03, about 18% below its 52-week high of $20.74 and 25% above the low of $13.57 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $51.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Theravance Biopharma Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, Samsung Biologics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Theravance Biopharma Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $17.03, calculated fair value $51.09 (+200%), Quality Score 81/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TBPH calculated?
We run Theravance Biopharma Inc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $51.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Theravance Biopharma Inc currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $17.03. Our model-based fair value is $51.09, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Theravance Biopharma Inc right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (81/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($22.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($22.79 to $88.61). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Theravance Biopharma Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
The market capitalisation of Theravance Biopharma Inc is $880M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Theravance Biopharma Inc is 16.1 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
Earnings per share at Theravance Biopharma Inc are $1.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
The net margin of Theravance Biopharma Inc is 98.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Theravance Biopharma Inc is 20.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Theravance Biopharma Inc is −22.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
The operating margin of Theravance Biopharma Inc is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH)?
Revenue at Theravance Biopharma Inc is growing −20.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH) hold?
Theravance Biopharma Inc holds more cash than debt, $92.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Theravance Biopharma Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Theravance Biopharma Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 23, 2026