Theravance Biopharma, Inc (TBPH) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $877M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 18 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $28.98 to $28.83 (−0.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 70% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($19.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($19.32 to $115.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.77 – $20.74 · fair‑value band $19.32 – $115.32 · the $16.93 price screens below the $28.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Theravance Biopharma, Inc (TBPH) currently trades at $16.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.83, implying the stock looks roughly 70.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $110M. Revenue grew 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 50.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $92.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $19.32 (bear case) to $115.32 (bull case); at $16.93, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 70%, TBPH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 18 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($94.93) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States. It offers YUPELRI, an once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); and Ampreloxetine an investigational, once-daily norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, Which is in …
Full company description
Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States. It offers YUPELRI, an once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); and Ampreloxetine an investigational, once-daily norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, Which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for symptomatic neurogenic orthostatic hypotension (nOH) in patients with Multiple System Atrophy (MSA). It has a strategic collaboration agreement with Viatris Inc. for the development and commercialization of revefenacin, including YUPELRI inhalation solution. Theravance Biopharma, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in South San Francisco, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Theravance Biopharma, Inc reported revenue of $107M in FY2025 versus $55.3M in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was $106M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Theravance Stock Down 3% After Zymeworks Announces Buyout
- Zymeworks agrees to buy Theravance Biopharma for $929m
- TBPH Q1 Earnings Beat Amid Strategic Restructuring & Pipeline Hurdle
- Laughing Water Capital’s New Position: Theravance Biopharma, Inc. (TBPH)
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 603 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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