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Theravance Biopharma, Inc (TBPH) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $877M

TB Theravance Biopharma, Inc logo Theravance Biopharma, Inc TBPH · US
Price$16.93
Fair Value$28.83
Upside+70.3%
Quality77/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 104.3% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range $19.32 – $115.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 18 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $28.98 to $28.83 (−0.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 70% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($19.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($19.32 to $115.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$20.74 $6.77 Fair Value $28.83 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.77 – $20.74 · fair‑value band $19.32 – $115.32 · the $16.93 price screens below the $28.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Theravance Biopharma, Inc (TBPH) currently trades at $16.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.83, implying the stock looks roughly 70.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $110M. Revenue grew 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 50.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $92.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $19.32 (bear case) to $115.32 (bull case); at $16.93, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 70%, TBPH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $50.35 $93.10 $160.27 80
Residual Income $14.74 $24.61 $345.21 76
Gordon GGM $0.1200 $0.2200 $0.3000 70
All 18 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $54.31 $83.11 $169.18 38
Owner Earnings $19.09 $48.49 $103.05 31
5Y Revenue Exit $15.01 $21.82 $35.23 39
5Y P/E Exit $35.07 $78.80 $136.72 38
10Y Revenue Exit $28.24 $48.59 $54.55 36
10Y P/E Exit $41.79 $87.98 $160.08 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.89 $96.89 $135.97 54
Lynch FV $50.06 $71.51 $92.97 50
PEG = 1.0 $50.06 $71.51 $92.97 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1200 $0.2200 $0.3000 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1200 $0.2000 $0.2300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $33.71 $44.95 $56.19 63
P/S Multiple $5.44 $7.26 $9.07 58
P/B Multiple $19.32 $25.76 $32.20 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.86 $3.84 $5.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $50.35 $93.10 $160.27 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.74 $24.61 $345.21 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $66.45 $94.93 $123.40 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($94.93) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $110M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.0%
Net margin 104%
Return on equity 50.2%
Free cash flow $238M FY2025
P/E ratio 7.6
More key figures
Operating margin -33.1%
EPS (TTM) $2.23
Net cash $92.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States. It offers YUPELRI, an once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); and Ampreloxetine an investigational, once-daily norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, Which is in …

Full company description

Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States. It offers YUPELRI, an once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); and Ampreloxetine an investigational, once-daily norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, Which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for symptomatic neurogenic orthostatic hypotension (nOH) in patients with Multiple System Atrophy (MSA). It has a strategic collaboration agreement with Viatris Inc. for the development and commercialization of revefenacin, including YUPELRI inhalation solution. Theravance Biopharma, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in South San Francisco, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Theravance Biopharma, Inc reported revenue of $107M in FY2025 versus $55.3M in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was $106M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$107M
Latest YoY
+66.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+27.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+15.2%
Revenue +18.1%/yr
FY21 $55.3M
FY22 $51.3M
FY23 $57.4M
FY24 $64.4M
FY25 $107M
Net income
FY21 −$199M
FY22 $872M
FY23 −$55.2M
FY24 −$56.4M
FY25 $106M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Theravance Biopharma, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TBPH

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +70% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 50% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 104% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -33% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.02× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.96× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.99× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 75 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Theravance Biopharma, Inc (TBPH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.83 versus a price of $16.93, about +70% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TBPH?
Our model-based fair value for Theravance Biopharma, Inc is $28.83 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.93.
What is the quality score of TBPH?
Theravance Biopharma, Inc has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Theravance Biopharma, Inc (TBPH)?
Theravance Biopharma, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $110M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TBPH?
The net profit margin of Theravance Biopharma, Inc is about 104.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 104.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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