Tiger Brands Limited (TBS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ZA · Market cap 41.1B ZAC
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +0.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (R222.84 to R471.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from R222.84 (bear) to R471.01 (bull), base R325.38. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R125.66 – R377.96 · fair‑value band R222.84 – R471.01 · the R280.14 price screens below the R325.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Tiger Brands Limited (TBS) currently trades at R280.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R325.38, implying the stock looks roughly 16.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tiger Brands Limited generated revenue of 34.6B ZAR at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.7B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R222.84 (bear case) to R471.01 (bull case); at R280.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 16%, TBS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (R437.96) versus Asset-Based (R77.84). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tiger Brands Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of fast-moving consumer goods in South Africa and internationally. It operates through Milling and Baking; Culinary; Snacks, Treats, and Beverages; and Home and Personal Care segments. The company offers wheat milling and baking; and culinary, Davita, and baby nutrition products.
Full company description
Tiger Brands Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of fast-moving consumer goods in South Africa and internationally. It operates through Milling and Baking; Culinary; Snacks, Treats, and Beverages; and Home and Personal Care segments. The company offers wheat milling and baking; and culinary, Davita, and baby nutrition products. It operates under the Albany, All Gold, Black Cat, Crosse & Blackwell, DOOM, Energade, Fatti's & Moni's, Ingrams, Jungle Oats, KOO, Maynards, Mrs H.S Balls, Oros, PURITY, Tastic, and Benny brands. The company also exports its products to approximately 22 countries. Tiger Brands Limited was founded in 1921 and is based in Midrand, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tiger Brands Limited reported revenue of R34.4B in FY2025 versus R31.0B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was R3.8B in FY2025, compounding +19.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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