TCM Group (TCM) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · DK · Market cap 723M DKK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from kr 84.02 to kr 83.46 (−0.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 18% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 52.95 to kr 140.84). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from kr 52.95 (bear) to kr 140.84 (bull), base kr 83.46. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 32.59 – kr 146.42 · fair‑value band kr 52.95 – kr 140.84 · the kr 71.00 price screens below the kr 83.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
TCM Group (TCM) currently trades at kr 71.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 83.46, implying the stock looks roughly 17.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, TCM Group generated revenue of 1.3B DKK at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue grew 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at 414M DKK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 52.95 (bear case) to kr 140.84 (bull case); at kr 71.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 18%, TCM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 152.53) versus Economic Profit (kr 35.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TCM Group A/S manufactures and sells kitchen and furniture products for bathrooms and storage in Denmark, Norway, and internationally. The company offers kitchen, bathroom and utility room fixtures, and sliding door cabinets under the Svane Køkkenet, Tvis køkken, Nettoline, AUBO, and private label brands.
Full company description
TCM Group A/S manufactures and sells kitchen and furniture products for bathrooms and storage in Denmark, Norway, and internationally. The company offers kitchen, bathroom and utility room fixtures, and sliding door cabinets under the Svane Køkkenet, Tvis køkken, Nettoline, AUBO, and private label brands. It also manufactures do-it-yourself solutions for private label and independent kitchen stores. In addition, the company supplies e-commerce kitchen business Celebert, which operates under the brands kitchn.dk, billigskabe. dk, Celebert, and Just Wood. TCM Group A/S was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Holstebro, Denmark.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TCM Group reported revenue of kr 1.3B in FY2025 versus kr 1.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was kr 77.8M in FY2025, compounding −8.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥82.71 | ¥107.22 | +30% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥38.25 | ¥88.02 | +130% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.46 | ¥36.04 | +68% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 8,655 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -78% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥155.59 | ¥38.95 | -75% |
| SharkNinja, Inc SN | $154.53 | $89.07 | -42% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥26.33 | ¥48.03 | +82% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥43.85 | ¥44.84 | +2% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥58.97 | ¥54.14 | -8% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 96,700 KRW | 112,530 KRW | +16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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