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CP All PCL (TCPD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of CP All PCL S$2.54, price S$1.61, upside +57.8%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · SG

CA CP All PCL logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

CP All PCL

TCPD · SG

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 2.54 SGD · Strongly undervalued (+57.8%)
!Quality 51/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +6.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.9% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 29 out of 100
!Weak on balance sheet: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

2.49 SGD 1.60 SGD Fair Value 2.54 SGD May 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range 1.60 SGD – 2.49 SGD · fair‑value band 1.58 SGD – 4.11 SGD · the 1.61 SGD price screens below the 2.54 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

CP ALL Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores under the 7-Eleven name to other retailers primarily in Thailand, Malaysia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Convenience stores, Wholesale, Retail and Mall, and Other.

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CP ALL Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores under the 7-Eleven name to other retailers primarily in Thailand, Malaysia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Convenience stores, Wholesale, Retail and Mall, and Other. It also operates frozen food plants and bakeries; distributes various commercial cards and tickets, and hardware and equipment; manufactures, imports, exports, distributes, and trades in food products. In addition, the company designs and develops IT system; and offers bill payment, training and seminar, digital technology, marketing activity, electronic payment agent, asset counting, logistics and distribution of merchandise, technical and supporting services, warehouse management, consulting, building rental, and freight, delivery, and rental services. Further, the company engages in e-commerce, catalog, insurance broker, and telecommunication businesses; commercial trading; investing in retail business and mall, and commercial space management; and distribution, installation, repair, and maintenance of retail equipment, as well as production of roasted coffee beans. Additionally, it operates food and beverages stores, restaurant, and educational institutions; provides educational development fund; produces ready-to-eat meals, raw materials, and dairy products; and distributes goods and equipment for convenience stores. It is also involved in retail and related business operation under the Lotus's brand name; operation of stores under Makro name; and production of raw and cooked protein products. The company was formerly known as C.P. Seven Eleven Public Company Limited. CP ALL Public Company Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Nonthaburi, Thailand.

Stock analysis

CP All PCL (TCPD) currently trades at 1.61 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.54 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 36.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 2.42 SGD per share, and 18 of the 23 models we run sit above the 1.61 SGD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.3900 SGD, and 5 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 1.58 SGD (bear) to 4.11 SGD (bull), the price of 1.61 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

CP All PCL reported revenue of 991B THB in FY2025 versus 829B THB in FY2022, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 28.2B THB in FY2025, compounding +28.6%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 16.8B SGD (≈ $13.2B) · P/E ratio 12.4 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) 0.1300 SGD · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 5.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 58%, TCPD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.58 SGD Fair Value 2.54 SGD Bull 4.11 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 1.81 SGD 3.09 SGD 4.95 SGD 75
Growth DCF 1.88 SGD 3.05 SGD 4.67 SGD 74
Residual Income 0.7400 SGD 0.9100 SGD 1.37 SGD 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.81 SGD 3.09 SGD 4.95 SGD 75
Owner Earnings 1.43 SGD 2.52 SGD 4.12 SGD 71
5Y Revenue Exit 1.31 SGD 2.40 SGD 3.73 SGD 68
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.19 SGD 3.99 SGD 6.02 SGD 71
5Y P/E Exit 1.14 SGD 2.09 SGD 3.04 SGD 67
10Y Revenue Exit 1.41 SGD 2.42 SGD 3.68 SGD 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.03 SGD 3.51 SGD 5.37 SGD 64
10Y P/E Exit 1.36 SGD 2.22 SGD 3.17 SGD 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.8200 SGD 2.09 SGD 2.72 SGD 62
PEG = 1.0 0.3900 SGD 0.5600 SGD 0.7300 SGD 55
EPV 0.8000 SGD 1.08 SGD 1.33 SGD 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.89 SGD 2.52 SGD 3.15 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 1.53 SGD 2.04 SGD 2.55 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 1.53 SGD 2.04 SGD 2.55 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 1.97 SGD 2.92 SGD 3.88 SGD 65
EV/EBITDA 2.86 SGD 4.11 SGD 5.37 SGD 67
EV/Revenue 1.15 SGD 2.03 SGD 2.90 SGD 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2900 SGD 0.3900 SGD 0.5900 SGD 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.88 SGD 3.05 SGD 4.67 SGD 74
Rev-Margin DCF 1.31 SGD 2.42 SGD 3.65 SGD 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.7400 SGD 0.9100 SGD 1.37 SGD 72
ROIC Compounder 0.8400 SGD 1.25 SGD 1.74 SGD 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.47 SGD 2.09 SGD 2.72 SGD 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 66/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +11.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 5%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 53% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in THB, Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.9% a year for the price and +3.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+5.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.6%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Grocery Stores · 71 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +35.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.0% · Below median
Return on assets 3.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 90.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.90× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 3.20× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.54× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)81 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)29 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)40 · sector 53
HEALTH (low debt)5 · sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Loblaw Companies Limited L C$62.71 C$44.76 −29%
The Kroger Co KR $60.79 $30.42 −50%
Woolworths Group WOW A$38.35 A$19.56 −49%
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD €31.50 €53.98 +71%
George Weston Limited WN C$101.21 C$155.86 +54%
Metro Inc MRU C$89.95 C$96.77 +8%
Carrefour SA CA €15.33 €20.64 +35%
CP ALL Public Company CPALL 43.00 THB 58.21 THB +35%
Kesko Oyj KESKOB €22.94 €12.99 −43%
BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS 424.75 TRY 247.71 TRY −42%

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CP All PCL · Fair Value
2.54 SGD +37%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CP All PCL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TCPD

Frequently asked questions

Is CP All PCL (TCPD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.54 SGD versus a price of 1.61 SGD, about +58% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TCPD?
Our model-based fair value for CP All PCL is 2.54 SGD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.61 SGD.
What is the quality score of TCPD?
CP All PCL has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CP All PCL (TCPD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.54 SGD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.58 SGD, optimistic scenario 4.11 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CP All PCL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.54 SGD, about +58% upside versus a price of 1.61 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1.58 SGD, optimistic scenario 4.11 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
CP All PCL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0T THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into CP All PCL (TCPD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CP All PCL would have to grow free cash flow by -1.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 7.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +6.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TCPD use?
Our models discount CP All PCL at 7.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CP All PCL that is -1.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (7.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CP All PCL (TCPD) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at CP All PCL grew +6.1 % a year. The price currently implies -1.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CP All PCL (TCPD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CP All PCL (-1.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.31 %: that much free cash flow CP All PCL produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (7.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CP All PCL it is 2.54 SGD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.61 SGD. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CP All PCL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TCPD trades below its calculated fair value: price 1.61 SGD, fair value 2.54 SGD, a gap of about +58% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TCPD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.61 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.54 SGD). For CP All PCL the two are 0.9300 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CP All PCL worth?
The market values CP All PCL at about 16.8B SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.61 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 2.54 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TCPD?
Our models span a range for CP All PCL: cautious scenario 1.58 SGD, base 2.54 SGD, optimistic 4.11 SGD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.61 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TCPD?
CP All PCL trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.54 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 3.2, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
What is the PEG ratio of TCPD?
The PEG ratio of CP All PCL is 1.54 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
Balance-sheet figures for CP All PCL (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 1.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TCPD from its 52-week high?
CP All PCL trades at 1.61 SGD, about 24% below its 52-week high of 2.13 SGD and at the low of 1.61 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.54 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CP All PCL?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Loblaw Companies Limited, The Kroger Co, Woolworths Group, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CP All PCL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.61 SGD, calculated fair value 2.54 SGD (+58%), Quality Score 51/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TCPD calculated?
We run CP All PCL through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.54 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CP All PCL currently trades 37 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 1.61 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 2.54 SGD, about +58% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CP All PCL right now?
The model range is unusually wide (1.58 SGD to 4.11 SGD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of CP All PCL

How large is the market capitalisation of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
The market capitalisation of CP All PCL is 16.8B SGD (≈ $13.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CP All PCL is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
Earnings per share at CP All PCL are 0.1300 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
The net margin of CP All PCL is 2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CP All PCL is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CP All PCL is 4.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CP All PCL (TCPD)?
The operating margin of CP All PCL is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CP All PCL (TCPD)?
Revenue at CP All PCL is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CP All PCL (TCPD)?
Earnings per share at CP All PCL are growing +21.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CP All PCL (TCPD) carry?
The net debt of CP All PCL is 273B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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