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Tscan Therapeutics Inc (TCRX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $50.9M · ISIN US89854M1018

What is Tscan Therapeutics Inc really worth?

TT Tscan Therapeutics Inc logo Tscan Therapeutics Inc TCRX · US
Price$0.6663
Fair Value$0.8400
Upside+26.1%
Quality31/100

Below-average quality, trading 21% below our fair value of $0.8400.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +56.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $0.5600 – $1.05

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Share price −10.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($0.5600 to $1.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$13.48 $0.6663 Fair Value $0.8400 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6663 – $13.48 · fair‑value band $0.5600 – $1.05 · the $0.6663 price screens below the $0.8400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Tscan Therapeutics Inc (TCRX) currently trades at $0.6663, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8400, implying the stock looks roughly 20.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $9.1M. Revenue declined 54.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −81.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $58.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.5600 (bear case) to $1.05 (bull case); at $0.6663, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at 26%, TCRX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $1.01 $1.35 $2.02 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $1.01 $1.35 $2.02 54

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 7.16 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.9000
Return on equity −95.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −37.9% avg 5y
Operating margin −2,901% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $7.1M TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) −65.8% 3y avg −8.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$140M FY2025
Net cash $58.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

TScan Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops T cell receptor-engineered T cell (TCR-T) therapies for the treatment of patients with cancer in the United States.

Full company description

TScan Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops T cell receptor-engineered T cell (TCR-T) therapies for the treatment of patients with cancer in the United States. The company's lead product is TSC-101, for the treatment of patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML), myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS), and acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in patients undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT), which is in Phase I clinical trial, as well as eliminates residual disease and promotes donor chimerism. It also develops TSC-102-A01 and TSC-102-A03, which are allogeneic and donor-derived TCR-T therapy candidates targeting epitopes. In addition, the company develops TSC-200, TSC-201, TSC-202, TSC-203, and TSC-204 for the treatment of solid tumors. It has a research collaboration and license agreement with Amgen Inc. to identify antigens recognized by T cells in patients with Crohn's disease. TScan Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tscan Therapeutics Inc reported revenue of $10.3M in FY2025 versus $10.1M in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$130M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 28/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$10.3M
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+56.9%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +0.5%/yr
FY21 $10.1M
FY22 $13.5M
FY23 $21.0M
FY24 $2.8M
FY25 $10.3M
Net income
FY21 −$48.6M
FY22 −$66.2M
FY23 −$89.2M
FY24 −$127M
FY25 −$130M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tscan Therapeutics Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TCRX

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 640 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Below median
Fair Value upside +26% · Top 25%
Return on assets −32% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth −66% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.16× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE68 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH87 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 26

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.55 $278.78 −49%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $807.71 $594.40 −26%
argenx SE ARGX €877.60 €292.84 −67%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,518,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW −30%
CSL Limited CSL A$173.88 A$142.22 −18%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $228.61 $51.70 −77%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $60.58 $24.22 −60%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 190,700 KRW 74,519 KRW −61%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $362.51 $111.35 −69%
BioNTech SE BNTX $111.40 $45.66 −59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tscan Therapeutics Inc (TCRX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8400 versus a price of $0.6663, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TCRX?
Our model-based fair value for Tscan Therapeutics Inc is $0.8400 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.6663.
What is the quality score of TCRX?
Tscan Therapeutics Inc has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tscan Therapeutics Inc (TCRX)?
Tscan Therapeutics Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.1M (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TCRX?
The net profit margin of Tscan Therapeutics Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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