Tasmea Ltd (TEA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tasmea Ltd stock A$4.97, price A$8.90, that is 44.1% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
30‑month range A$1.28 – A$11.31 · fair‑value band A$2.83 – A$8.34 · the A$8.90 price screens above the A$4.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Tasmea Limited provides shutdown, maintenance, emergency breakdown, and capital upgrade services in Australia. It operates through four segments: Electrical, Mechanical, Civil, and Water & Fluid.
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The Electrical segment offers remote area specialist services in industrial and commercial electrical and instrumentation services, maintenance and compliance of electrical assets, and indigenous trade services.
The Mechanical segment provides remote area specialist services in industrial and commercial refurbishment and repairs, shutdown, and mechanical maintenance. The Civil segment offers remote area specialists in commercial earthworks, waste management, and civil maintenance.
The Water & Fluid segment provides remote area specialist services in industrial and commercial geomembrane solutions, lubrication solutions and maintenance, and drainage solutions. It serves mining and resources, oil and gas, power and renewables, defense and infrastructure, and water industries.
Tasmea Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Jandakot, Australia.
Stock analysis
Tasmea Ltd (TEA) currently trades at A$8.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.97, 44% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$11.63 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the A$8.90 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$1.27, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$2.83 (bear) to A$8.34 (bull), the price of A$8.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Tasmea Ltd reported revenue of A$1.3B in FY2026 versus A$245M in FY2022, a compound +51.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$71.3M in FY2026, compounding +51.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$2.4B (≈ $1.7B) Small · P/E ratio 31.8 · P/S ratio 1.89 · EPS (TTM) A$0.2800 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 29.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 160% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −44%, TEA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$2.83Fair Value A$4.97BullA$8.34
Price A$8.90 · Downside -44.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0126 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFA$3.56A$5.26A$10.3474
EPVA$1.99A$2.28A$2.5274
Growth DCFA$3.33A$5.85A$9.8174
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFA$3.56A$5.26A$10.3474
Owner EarningsA$3.66A$7.73A$15.2869
5Y Revenue ExitA$3.51A$6.23A$11.9267
5Y EBITDA ExitA$4.08A$7.37A$13.8469
5Y P/E ExitA$3.81A$8.57A$15.0365
10Y Revenue ExitA$3.42A$7.68A$10.4164
10Y EBITDA ExitA$3.92A$8.80A$17.2662
10Y P/E ExitA$3.75A$8.27A$15.6558
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddA$1.73A$12.05A$16.9161
Lynch FVA$6.22A$8.89A$11.5659
PEG = 1.0A$6.22A$8.89A$11.5655
EPVA$1.99A$2.28A$2.5274
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGMA$0.7400A$1.33A$1.8266
DDM Multi-StageA$0.7400A$1.21A$1.4265
Multiples
P/E MultipleA$4.00A$5.34A$6.6763
P/S MultipleA$3.24A$4.32A$5.4058
P/B MultipleA$0.1200A$0.1500A$0.190055
EV/EBITA$4.35A$5.90A$7.4666
EV/EBITDAA$4.07A$5.53A$7.0067
EV/RevenueA$3.01A$4.44A$5.8753
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)A$0.0200A$0.0200A$0.030055
Growth DCF
Growth DCFA$3.33A$5.85A$9.8174
Rev-Margin DCFA$3.89A$7.14A$13.9366
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeA$1.43A$1.91A$3.3471
ROIC CompounderA$2.60A$3.98A$4.6970
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EA$8.14A$11.63A$15.1265
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+136.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+59.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +23.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
’13
’14
’15
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’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+45.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+42.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 8%
2026 sits 80% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+21.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.1% a year for the price and +17.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 791 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−44.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)29.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)5.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)7.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)196.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tasmea Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TEA
Frequently asked questions
Is Tasmea Ltd (TEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$4.97 versus a price of A$8.90, about 44% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TEA?
Our model-based fair value for Tasmea Ltd is A$4.97 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$8.90.
What is the quality score of TEA?
Tasmea Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$4.97 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$2.83, optimistic scenario A$8.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tasmea Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$4.97, about 44% lower versus a price of A$8.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$2.83, optimistic scenario A$8.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
Tasmea Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Tasmea Ltd pay a dividend?
Tasmea Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.75% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Tasmea Ltd (TEA) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Tasmea Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.245 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 29, 2026. The payout ratio is 87.5% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.94 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tasmea Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +24.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +49.9 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TEA use?
Our models discount Tasmea Ltd at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tasmea Ltd that is +24.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tasmea Ltd (TEA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tasmea Ltd grew +49.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +24.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tasmea Ltd (TEA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tasmea Ltd (+24.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.77 %: that much free cash flow Tasmea Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tasmea Ltd it is A$4.97 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of A$8.90. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Tasmea Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, TEA trades above its calculated fair value: price A$8.90, fair value A$4.97, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TEA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$8.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$4.97). For Tasmea Ltd the two are A$3.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tasmea Ltd worth?
The market values Tasmea Ltd at about A$2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is A$8.90; our models calculate a fair value of A$4.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TEA?
Our models span a range for Tasmea Ltd: cautious scenario A$2.83, base A$4.97, optimistic A$8.34 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price A$8.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TEA?
Tasmea Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.8 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$4.97 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 8.1, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 20.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tasmea Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 29.3%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TEA from its 52-week high?
Tasmea Ltd trades at A$8.90, about 21% below its 52-week high of A$11.31 and 160% above the low of A$3.42 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$4.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tasmea Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tasmea Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price A$8.90, calculated fair value A$4.97 (−44%), Quality Score 45/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TEA calculated?
We run Tasmea Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$4.97 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Tasmea Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$8.90. Our model-based fair value is A$4.97, about 44% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tasmea Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$8.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (A$2.83 to A$8.34). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Tasmea Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
The market capitalisation of Tasmea Ltd is A$2.4B (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tasmea Ltd is 1.89 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
Earnings per share at Tasmea Ltd are A$0.2800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
The dividend yield of Tasmea Ltd is 2.8% (payout 87.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
The net margin of Tasmea Ltd is 5.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tasmea Ltd is 29.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tasmea Ltd is 13.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
The operating margin of Tasmea Ltd is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
Revenue at Tasmea Ltd is growing +196% versus a year earlier (3y avg +59.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tasmea Ltd (TEA)?
Earnings per share at Tasmea Ltd are growing +71.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Tasmea Ltd (TEA) carry?
The net debt of Tasmea Ltd is A$88.5M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026