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Tasmea Limited (TEA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AU · Market cap A$2.6B

TL Tasmea Limited TEA · AU
PriceA$8.73
Fair ValueA$3.22
Upside-63.1%
Quality45/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.28% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range A$1.87 – A$8.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +2.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$8.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (A$1.87 to A$8.43). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

A$9.65 A$1.29 Fair Value A$3.22 Apr 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range A$1.29 – A$9.65 · fair‑value band A$1.87 – A$8.43 · the A$8.73 price screens above the A$3.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Tasmea Limited (TEA) currently trades at A$8.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.22, implying the stock looks roughly 63.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tasmea Limited generated revenue of A$702M at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 62.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.9%. Net debt stands at A$120M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$1.87 (bear case) to A$8.43 (bull case); at A$8.73, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 211% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -63%, TEA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$1.39 A$2.93 A$5.41 80
Residual Income A$1.30 A$1.79 A$12.43 76
Rev-Margin DCF A$2.38 A$4.86 A$9.96 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$1.50 A$2.48 A$5.54 38
Owner Earnings A$2.57 A$6.07 A$13.15 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$2.15 A$4.22 A$8.58 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$2.55 A$5.03 A$9.92 41
5Y P/E Exit A$2.44 A$6.13 A$11.22 38
10Y Revenue Exit A$1.88 A$5.12 A$7.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$2.28 A$5.97 A$12.57 37
10Y P/E Exit A$2.20 A$5.74 A$11.67 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$1.31 A$9.10 A$12.78 54
Lynch FV A$4.31 A$6.15 A$8.00 50
PEG = 1.0 A$4.31 A$6.15 A$8.00 46
EPV A$1.71 A$2.03 A$2.30 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$3.02 A$4.03 A$5.04 63
P/S Multiple A$2.45 A$3.26 A$4.08 58
P/B Multiple A$2.26 A$3.02 A$3.77 55
EV/EBIT A$3.12 A$4.27 A$5.41 53
EV/EBITDA A$2.86 A$3.92 A$4.98 54
EV/Revenue A$2.14 A$3.19 A$4.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.3400 A$0.4500 A$0.6700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$1.39 A$2.93 A$5.41 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$2.38 A$4.86 A$9.96 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$1.30 A$1.79 A$12.43 76
ROIC Compounder A$2.43 A$4.10 A$5.08 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$5.73 A$8.18 A$10.64 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$8.18) versus Asset-Based (A$0.4500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$702M
Revenue growth (YoY) +62.4%
Net margin 6.8%
Return on equity 21.9%
Free cash flow A$31.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 49.2
More key figures
Operating margin 10.0%
EPS (TTM) A$0.1900
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -27.5%
Net debt A$120M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 9
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tasmea Limited provides shutdown, maintenance, emergency breakdown, and capital upgrade services in Australia. It operates through four segments: Electrical, Mechanical, Civil, and Water & Fluid.

Full company description

Tasmea Limited provides shutdown, maintenance, emergency breakdown, and capital upgrade services in Australia. It operates through four segments: Electrical, Mechanical, Civil, and Water & Fluid. The Electrical segment offers remote area specialist services in industrial and commercial electrical and instrumentation services, maintenance and compliance of electrical assets, and indigenous trade services. The Mechanical segment provides remote area specialist services in industrial and commercial refurbishment and repairs, shutdown, and mechanical maintenance. The Civil segment offers remote area specialists in commercial earthworks, waste management, and civil maintenance. The Water & Fluid segment provides remote area specialist services in industrial and commercial geomembrane solutions, lubrication solutions and maintenance, and drainage solutions. It serves mining and resources, oil and gas, power and renewables, defense and infrastructure, and water industries. Tasmea Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Jandakot, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tasmea Limited reported revenue of A$548M in FY2025 versus A$171M in FY2021, a compound +33.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$53.1M in FY2025, compounding +52.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$548M
Latest YoY
+37.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+30.8%
Revenue +33.9%/yr
FY21 A$171M
FY22 A$245M
FY23 A$320M
FY24 A$400M
FY25 A$548M
Net income +52.6%/yr
FY21 A$9.8M
FY22 A$13.6M
FY23 A$19.5M
FY24 A$30.4M
FY25 A$53.1M

TEA screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tasmea Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TEA

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 62% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.57× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 49.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 9.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 57.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 22.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 88 · sector 26
HEALTH 71 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 26 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tasmea Limited (TEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$3.22 versus a price of A$8.73, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TEA?
Our model-based fair value for Tasmea Limited is A$3.22 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$8.73.
What is the quality score of TEA?
Tasmea Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tasmea Limited (TEA)?
Tasmea Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$702M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TEA?
The net profit margin of Tasmea Limited is about 6.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tasmea Limited pay a dividend?
Tasmea Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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