Teads B.V. (TEAD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Teads B.V. $0.73, price $0.45, upside +62.0%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4513 – $20.05 · the $0.4513 price screens below the $0.7310 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Teads Holding Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates a technology platform that connects media owners and advertisers with engaged audiences to drive business outcomes in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia.
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Teads Holding Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates a technology platform that connects media owners and advertisers with engaged audiences to drive business outcomes in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The company operates a two-sided marketplace, forming an end-to-end advertising platform with direct media owner and advertiser relationships. It also provides advertising solutions for advertisers, including a CPC performance platform and CPM-based managed and self-service platforms, and bespoke creative studio solutions that provide data-driven creative tailored to various environments and channels. In addition, the company offers budgets spanning video, display, native, native, vertical video, and other formats, as well as technology solutions that enable media owners to deeply engage their audiences, increasing the total revenue opportunity media owners can realize. Teads Holding Co. was formerly known as Outbrain Inc. and changed its name to Teads Holding Co. in June 2025. Teads Holding Co. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Teads B.V. (TEAD) currently trades at $0.4513, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7310, implying the stock looks roughly 38.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Teads B.V. reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $1.0B in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$517M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $111M · P/S ratio 0.09 · EPS (TTM) $−5.39 · Net margin −39.8% · Return on equity −191% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% · Operating margin −7.1% · Revenue (TTM) $1.3B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 62%, TEAD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+46.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.3% (2020) → −1.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 150 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+62% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−39% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity6.34× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.16× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Teads B.V. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TEAD
Frequently asked questions
Is Teads B.V. (TEAD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7310 versus a price of $0.4513, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TEAD?
Our model-based fair value for Teads B.V. is $0.7310 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4513.
What is the quality score of TEAD?
Teads B.V. has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7310 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Teads B.V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7310, about +62% upside versus a price of $0.4513 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
Teads B.V. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Teads B.V. it is $0.7310 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.4513. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Teads B.V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TEAD trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.4513, fair value $0.7310, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TEAD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4513); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7310). For Teads B.V. the two are $0.2797 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Teads B.V. worth?
The market values Teads B.V. at about $111M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.4513; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7310 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Teads B.V. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −190.9%, debt of 6.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TEAD from its 52-week high?
Teads B.V. trades at $0.4513, about 74% below its 52-week high of $1.72 and at the low of $0.4513 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7310 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Teads B.V.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Teads B.V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.4513, calculated fair value $0.7310 (+62%), Quality Score 21/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TEAD calculated?
We run Teads B.V. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7310, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Teads B.V. currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.4513. Our model-based fair value is $0.7310, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Teads B.V. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (21/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Teads B.V.
How large is the market capitalisation of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
The market capitalisation of Teads B.V. is $111M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Teads B.V. is 0.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
Earnings per share at Teads B.V. are $−5.39. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
The net margin of Teads B.V. is −39.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Teads B.V. is −191% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Teads B.V. is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
The operating margin of Teads B.V. is −7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
Revenue at Teads B.V. is growing −7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Teads B.V. (TEAD)?
Earnings per share at Teads B.V. are growing −2.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Teads B.V. (TEAD) generate?
The free cash flow of Teads B.V. is −$15.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Teads B.V. (TEAD) carry?
The net debt of Teads B.V. is $525M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026