Teads Holding (TEAD) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $111M

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

• The model range is unusually wide ($0.2210 to $2.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5862 – $20.05 · fair‑value band $0.2210 – $2.07 · the $0.6901 price screens below the $0.7310 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Teads Holding (TEAD) currently trades at $0.6901, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7310, implying the stock looks roughly 5.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Teads Holding generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of -39.1%. Revenue declined 7.1% year over year. Net debt stands at $525M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2210 (bear case) to $2.07 (bull case); at $0.6901, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 6%, TEAD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.36) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3700). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Teads Holding Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates a technology platform that connects media owners and advertisers with engaged audiences to drive business outcomes in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia.

Full company description

Teads Holding Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates a technology platform that connects media owners and advertisers with engaged audiences to drive business outcomes in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The company operates a two-sided marketplace, forming an end-to-end advertising platform with direct media owner and advertiser relationships. It also provides advertising solutions for advertisers, including a CPC performance platform and CPM-based managed and self-service platforms, and bespoke creative studio solutions that provide data-driven creative tailored to various environments and channels. In addition, the company offers budgets spanning video, display, native, native, vertical video, and other formats, as well as technology solutions that enable media owners to deeply engage their audiences, increasing the total revenue opportunity media owners can realize. Teads Holding Co. was formerly known as Outbrain Inc. and changed its name to Teads Holding Co. in June 2025. Teads Holding Co. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Teads Holding reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $1.0B in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$517M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.