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Terranor Group (TERNOR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 724M SEK

TG Terranor Group TERNOR · ST
Pricekr 36.20
Fair Valuekr 6.26
Upside-82.7%
Quality54/100
Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.21% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 11/100
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Evidence: Medium Range kr 5.87 – kr 7.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price +2.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but the price sits 83% above our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 7.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (13 months)

kr 37.00 kr 17.75 Fair Value kr 6.26 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

13‑month range kr 17.75 – kr 37.00 · fair‑value band kr 5.87 – kr 7.64 · the kr 36.20 price screens above the kr 6.26 fair value. As of Aug 2, 2026.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Terranor Group (TERNOR) currently trades at kr 36.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 6.26, implying the stock looks roughly 82.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Terranor Group generated revenue of 3.8B SEK at a net margin of -0.4%. Revenue grew 22.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.8%. Net debt stands at 37.2M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 5.87 (bear case) to kr 7.64 (bull case); at kr 36.20, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -83%, TERNOR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 113.22 kr 200.91 kr 321.90 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 45.57 kr 59.80 kr 79.38 74
ROIC Compounder kr 5.87 kr 6.26 kr 6.58 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 116.95 kr 198.27 kr 378.70 38
Owner Earnings kr 73.01 kr 132.85 kr 233.77 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 45.57 kr 58.17 kr 71.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 93.26 kr 163.49 kr 254.32 41
10Y Revenue Exit kr 70.61 kr 93.09 kr 121.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 100.51 kr 166.49 kr 271.75 37
Earnings-Based
EPV kr 5.87 kr 6.26 kr 6.58 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT kr 9.08 kr 11.10 kr 13.11 53
EV/EBITDA kr 85.98 kr 113.63 kr 141.27 54
EV/Revenue kr 7.12 kr 8.86 kr 10.60 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 4.71 kr 6.31 kr 9.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 113.22 kr 200.91 kr 321.90 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 45.57 kr 59.80 kr 79.38 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder kr 5.87 kr 6.26 kr 6.58 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 132.85) versus Earnings-Based (kr 6.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.8B SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.9%
Net margin -0.4%
Return on equity -7.8%
Free cash flow 196M SEK FY2025
Operating margin 1.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -0.7900
Dividend yield 4.2%
Net debt 37.2M SEK FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 93
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Terranor Group AB (publ) operates as infrastructure and road maintenance company in Sweden, Denmark, and Finland. The company involved in the operation and maintenance of roads together with light road works; construction and maintenance of green areas; and standalone temporary road safety services.

Full company description

Terranor Group AB (publ) operates as infrastructure and road maintenance company in Sweden, Denmark, and Finland. The company involved in the operation and maintenance of roads together with light road works; construction and maintenance of green areas; and standalone temporary road safety services. It serves government authorities, municipalities, and private operators. Terranor Group AB (publ) was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Terranor Group reported revenue of kr 3.6B in FY2025 versus kr 2.2B in FY2022, a compound +18.7%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 23.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.6B SEK
Latest YoY
+14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.7%
Revenue +18.7%/yr
FY22 kr 2.2B
FY23 kr 2.8B
FY24 kr 3.1B
FY25 kr 3.6B
Net income
FY22 kr 69.1M
FY23 kr 57.6M
FY24 kr 62.1M
FY25 −kr 23.1M

TERNOR sits 83% above fair value. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Terranor Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TERNOR

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 854 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.40× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 14
FUTURE 100 / 14
PAST 0 / 25
HEALTH 96 / 94
DIVIDEND 84 / 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹102.36 ₹48.22 -53%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,431 ₹730.69 -49%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Terranor Group (TERNOR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 6.26 versus a price of kr 36.20, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TERNOR?
Our model-based fair value for Terranor Group is kr 6.26 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 36.20.
What is the quality score of TERNOR?
Terranor Group has a Quality Score of 54/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Terranor Group (TERNOR)?
Terranor Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8B SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TERNOR?
The net profit margin of Terranor Group is about -0.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Terranor Group pay a dividend?
Terranor Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.21% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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