Tessin Nordic Holding (TESSIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SE · Market cap 14.6M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from kr 1.85 to kr 1.82 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −15.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 2.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 0.0500 – kr 8.40 · fair‑value band kr 1.73 – kr 2.11 · the kr 3.00 price screens above the kr 1.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Tessin Nordic Holding (TESSIN) currently trades at kr 3.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.82, implying the stock looks roughly 39.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 14.8M SEK. Revenue grew 35.5% year over year. Net debt stands at 56.2M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 1.73 (bear case) to kr 2.11 (bull case); at kr 3.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -39%, TESSIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tessin Nordic Holding AB (publ) owns and operates a digital investment platform for property financing. The company provides crowdfunding services for real estate projects, enabling both lenders and borrowers to participate in property financing.
Full company description
Tessin Nordic Holding AB (publ) owns and operates a digital investment platform for property financing. The company provides crowdfunding services for real estate projects, enabling both lenders and borrowers to participate in property financing. It offers complementary services and products related to real estate financing, aiming to use technology to broaden access to investment opportunities previously reserved for professional investors. It serves property developers, investors, and borrowers in Sweden and the wider Nordic market. The company primarily offers construction and bridge loans to property companies and property developers. Tessin Nordic Holding AB (publ) was founded in 2014 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tessin Nordic Holding reported revenue of kr 14.8M in FY2025 versus kr 44.2M in FY2021, a compound −23.9%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 59.7M in FY2025.
TESSIN screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →
Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 520 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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