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Transwarranty Finance Limited (TFL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹655M

TF Transwarranty Finance Limited TFL · NSE
Price₹10.92
Fair Value₹2.22
Upside-79.7%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -34.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹0.4440 – ₹4.96 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ₹5.34 to ₹2.22 (−58.4%) since Jul 3, 2026. Share price −5.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹4.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (₹0.4440 to ₹4.96). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹38.68 ₹2.25 Fair Value ₹2.22 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹2.25 – ₹38.68 · fair‑value band ₹0.4440 – ₹4.96 · the ₹10.92 price screens above the ₹2.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Transwarranty Finance Limited (TFL) currently trades at ₹10.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.22, implying the stock looks roughly 79.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Transwarranty Finance Limited generated revenue of ₹128M at a net margin of -34.5%. Revenue grew 94.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.9%. Net debt stands at ₹290M. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹0.4440 (bear case) to ₹4.96 (bull case); at ₹10.92, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -80%, TFL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹0.6700 ₹3.50 ₹7.28 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹2.03 ₹5.12 74
NCAV (Graham) ₹2.60 ₹3.48 ₹5.20 50
All 3 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹2.60 ₹3.48 ₹5.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹0.6700 ₹3.50 ₹7.28 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹2.03 ₹5.12 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹3.48) versus Growth DCF (₹2.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹128M
Revenue growth (YoY) +94.2%
Net margin -34.5%
Return on equity -13.9%
Free cash flow ₹33.6M FY2026
Operating margin -15.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-0.8100
Net debt ₹290M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 15
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Transwarranty Finance Limited, a non-banking finance company, provides financial services in India. The company offers investment banking services, including private equity syndication, mergers and acquisitions, restructuring and structured funding; and corporate finance services, such as financial advice and execution to raise external commercial …

Full company description

Transwarranty Finance Limited, a non-banking finance company, provides financial services in India. The company offers investment banking services, including private equity syndication, mergers and acquisitions, restructuring and structured funding; and corporate finance services, such as financial advice and execution to raise external commercial borrowings, rupee term loan, fund based, and non-fund based working capital finance, project finance, and structured finance. It also provides trade finance services comprising letter of credit and clean bills discounting, factoring, inter corporate deposits, loans against property, loans against shares/promoter funding, import and export finance services; small and medium enterprise loans; margin funding; and personal finance for holiday, education, and other specific end use. In addition, the company involved in retail stock broking, depository participation, institutional broking, arbitrage, distribution of mutual funds, IPO, and other financial products; manages initial public offers/follow on offers/rights issues and debt issues, placement of equity shares with QIP/private equity funds and preference shares, corporate restructuring, valuations of companies/enterprises/share, listing services on National Stock Exchange and Bombay Stock Exchange, buy back of shares, take over and offer for sale, ESOPs, and certifications. It serves small, medium, and large companies, as well as retail clients. Transwarranty Finance Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Transwarranty Finance Limited reported revenue of ₹162M in FY2026 versus ₹127M in FY2022, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −₹44.2M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 42/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹162M
Latest YoY
+28.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Revenue +6.2%/yr
FY22 ₹127M
FY23 ₹94.1M
FY24 ₹111M
FY25 ₹126M
FY26 ₹162M
Net income
FY22 −₹22.8M
FY23 −₹90.0M
FY24 ₹5.8M
FY25 −₹50.8M
FY26 −₹44.2M

TFL screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Transwarranty Finance Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TFL

Peer Group

Mortgage Finance · 90 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -34% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -15% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 94% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 79
PAST 0 · sector 55
HEALTH 47 · sector 0
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Transwarranty Finance Limited (TFL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.22 versus a price of ₹10.92, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TFL?
Our model-based fair value for Transwarranty Finance Limited is ₹2.22 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹10.92.
What is the quality score of TFL?
Transwarranty Finance Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Transwarranty Finance Limited (TFL)?
Transwarranty Finance Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹128M (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TFL?
The net profit margin of Transwarranty Finance Limited is about -34.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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