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Tecnoglass Inc (TGLS) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $1.9B

TI Tecnoglass Inc logo Tecnoglass Inc TGLS · US
Price$44.14
Fair Value$57.51
Upside+30.3%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.37% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $24.46 – $83.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 30% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($24.46 to $83.04). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$87.49 $11.17 Fair Value $57.51 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.17 – $87.49 · fair‑value band $24.46 – $83.04 · the $44.14 price screens below the $57.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Tecnoglass Inc (TGLS) currently trades at $44.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $57.51, implying the stock looks roughly 30.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tecnoglass Inc generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 14.8%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.0%. Net debt stands at $70.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $24.46 (bear case) to $83.04 (bull case); at $44.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 30%, TGLS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $7.15 $14.14 $23.81 80
Residual Income $20.76 $28.68 $127.17 76
Rev-Margin DCF $16.74 $34.83 $60.05 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.45 $13.86 $28.38 38
Owner Earnings $23.32 $44.76 $81.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit $16.74 $35.87 $63.68 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $29.06 $63.15 $109.10 41
5Y P/E Exit $29.45 $64.00 $106.60 38
10Y Revenue Exit $12.39 $28.64 $56.94 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $20.82 $47.67 $94.18 37
10Y P/E Exit $21.06 $48.27 $92.13 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $24.46 $142.36 $198.11 54
Lynch FV $40.26 $57.51 $74.76 50
PEG = 1.0 $40.26 $57.51 $74.76 46
EPV $26.37 $30.18 $33.36 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.93 $8.88 $12.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.93 $8.11 $9.48 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $45.86 $61.14 $76.43 63
P/S Multiple $24.94 $33.26 $41.57 58
P/B Multiple $36.16 $48.22 $60.27 55
EV/EBIT $53.03 $71.23 $89.43 53
EV/EBITDA $43.64 $58.71 $73.79 54
EV/Revenue $21.69 $31.67 $41.65 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.04 $10.77 $16.07 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.15 $14.14 $23.81 80
Rev-Margin DCF $16.74 $34.83 $60.05 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.76 $28.68 $127.17 76
ROIC Compounder $30.41 $41.05 $54.84 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $54.00 $77.14 $100.28 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($77.14) versus Dividend Discount ($8.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net margin 14.8%
Return on equity 21.0%
Free cash flow $34.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.6
More key figures
Operating margin 18.1%
EPS (TTM) $3.23
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -20.9%
Net debt $70.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 18
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tecnoglass Inc. manufactures, supplies, and installs architectural glass, windows, and aluminum and vinyl products for commercial and residential construction markets in Colombia, the United States, Panama, and internationally.

Full company description

Tecnoglass Inc. manufactures, supplies, and installs architectural glass, windows, and aluminum and vinyl products for commercial and residential construction markets in Colombia, the United States, Panama, and internationally. The company offers low emissivity, laminated/thermo-laminated, thermo-acoustic, tempered, silk-screened, curved, and digital print glass products. It also provides aluminum products, including bars, plates, profiles, rods, and tubes for use in the manufacturing of architectural glass settings, such as windows, doors, spatial separators, and related products under the Alutions brand name. In addition, the company offers curtain wall/floating facades, stick facade systems, windows and doors, interior dividers and commercial display windows, and hurricane-proof windows; StormArmour, that are attachment for sliding doors, and other products, such as awnings, structures, and automatic doors; and other components of architectural systems. It markets and sells its products primarily under the Tecnoglass, ESWindows, Alutions, Energia Solar S.A, ES, ES Imagine Extraordinary, Eswindows, Tecnobend, Tecnoair, Tecnosmart, ECOMAX by ESWINDOWS, ESWINDOWS Interiors, ESW Windows and Walls, Solartec by Tecnoglass, Solar Windows, Componenti, ES Metals, and E-skin, Prestige by ESWINDOWS, Eli by ESWINDOWS, Alessia by ESWINDOWS, Elite Line by ESWindows, ULTRAVIEW by Tecnoglass, and MULTIMAX by ESWIDOWS brand names through internal and independent sales representatives, as well as directly to distributors. It serves developers, general contractors or installers for hotels, office buildings, shopping centers, airports, universities, hospitals, and multifamily and residential buildings. Tecnoglass Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Miami, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tecnoglass Inc reported revenue of $984M in FY2025 versus $497M in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was $160M in FY2025, compounding +23.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$984M
Latest YoY
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+16.8%
Revenue +18.6%/yr
FY21 $497M
FY22 $717M
FY23 $833M
FY24 $890M
FY25 $984M
Net income +23.7%/yr
FY21 $68.2M
FY22 $156M
FY23 $183M
FY24 $161M
FY25 $160M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tecnoglass Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TGLS

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Building Materials · 254 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +30% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 56.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.73× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 74 · sector 28
FUTURE 60 · sector 2
PAST 84 · sector 15
HEALTH 88 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 42

Insider activity: 78/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tecnoglass Inc (TGLS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $57.51 versus a price of $44.14, about +30% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TGLS?
Our model-based fair value for Tecnoglass Inc is $57.51 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $44.14.
What is the quality score of TGLS?
Tecnoglass Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tecnoglass Inc (TGLS)?
Tecnoglass Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TGLS?
The net profit margin of Tecnoglass Inc is about 14.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tecnoglass Inc pay a dividend?
Tecnoglass Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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