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Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A (TGNO4) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · AR · Market cap 1.8T ARS

TD Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A TGNO4 · BA
Price4,038 ARS
Fair Value4,450 ARS
Upside+10.2%
Quality74/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 28.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 78/100
Evidence: High Range 3,558 ARS – 13,829 ARS Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +3.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 10% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (3,558 ARS to 13,829 ARS). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from 3,558 ARS (bear) to 13,829 ARS (bull), base 4,450 ARS. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

5,030 ARS 31.70 ARS Fair Value 4,450 ARS Feb 2021 Jun 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 31.70 ARS – 5,030 ARS · fair‑value band 3,558 ARS – 13,829 ARS · the 4,038 ARS price screens below the 4,450 ARS fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A (TGNO4) currently trades at 4,038 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4,450 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 10.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A generated revenue of 599B ARS at a net margin of 28.9%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.3%. Net debt stands at 84.3B ARS. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3,558 ARS (bear case) to 13,829 ARS (bull case); at 4,038 ARS, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 10%, TGNO4 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 13,657 ARS 28,422 ARS 53,217 ARS 80
Residual Income 3,238 ARS 3,872 ARS 10,806 ARS 76
Rev-Margin DCF 5,151 ARS 7,108 ARS 11,137 ARS 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 14,488 ARS 23,337 ARS 52,269 ARS 38
Owner Earnings 7,486 ARS 17,487 ARS 39,421 ARS 31
5Y Revenue Exit 4,768 ARS 6,416 ARS 9,715 ARS 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 6,507 ARS 9,935 ARS 16,597 ARS 41
5Y P/E Exit 7,861 ARS 15,606 ARS 25,832 ARS 38
10Y Revenue Exit 7,508 ARS 12,231 ARS 13,900 ARS 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 8,861 ARS 16,065 ARS 27,447 ARS 37
10Y P/E Exit 9,872 ARS 19,050 ARS 33,373 ARS 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3,390 ARS 23,641 ARS 33,177 ARS 54
Lynch FV 12,214 ARS 17,448 ARS 22,683 ARS 50
PEG = 1.0 12,214 ARS 17,448 ARS 22,683 ARS 46
EPV 5,596 ARS 6,577 ARS 7,448 ARS 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 6,196 ARS 13,527 ARS 22,760 ARS 70
DDM Multi-Stage 6,196 ARS 11,081 ARS 14,098 ARS 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 5,234 ARS 6,979 ARS 8,724 ARS 63
P/S Multiple 1,230 ARS 1,640 ARS 2,050 ARS 58
P/B Multiple 3,137 ARS 4,183 ARS 5,229 ARS 55
EV/EBIT 4,670 ARS 6,214 ARS 7,757 ARS 53
EV/EBITDA 3,521 ARS 4,682 ARS 5,842 ARS 54
EV/Revenue 1,188 ARS 1,680 ARS 2,172 ARS 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,162 ARS 1,557 ARS 2,324 ARS 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 13,657 ARS 28,422 ARS 53,217 ARS 80
Rev-Margin DCF 5,151 ARS 7,108 ARS 11,137 ARS 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3,238 ARS 3,872 ARS 10,806 ARS 76
ROIC Compounder 7,838 ARS 13,181 ARS 17,331 ARS 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 14,315 ARS 20,449 ARS 26,584 ARS 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (20,449 ARS) versus Asset-Based (1,557 ARS). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 599B ARS
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.8%
Net margin 28.9%
Return on equity 16.3%
Free cash flow 355B ARS FY2025
P/E ratio 10.3
More key figures
Operating margin 54.6%
EPS (TTM) 393.53 ARS
EPS growth (YoY) -53.4%
Net debt 84.3B ARS FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 94
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 9
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A. engages in the natural gas transportation in the north and central west regions of Argentina. The company operates and maintains approximately 11,222 km of both own and third party pipelines.

Full company description

Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A. engages in the natural gas transportation in the north and central west regions of Argentina. The company operates and maintains approximately 11,222 km of both own and third party pipelines. It also provides operation, maintenance, integrity, pipeline connection and hot taps, engineering, pipeline works management, consulting, training, SCADA and communications, community, damage prevention, and special projects services to third-party pipelines in Argentina, Chile, Mexico, Peru, and Uruguay. Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A. was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. The company operates as a subsidiary of Gasinvest S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A reported revenue of 601B ARS in FY2025 versus 20.0B ARS in FY2021, a compound +134.0%/yr. Reported net income was 219B ARS in FY2025.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
601B ARS
Latest YoY
+19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+144.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+99.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+95.1%
Revenue +134.0%/yr
FY21 20.0B ARS
FY22 40.9B ARS
FY23 217B ARS
FY24 501B ARS
FY25 601B ARS
Net income
FY21 −9.3B ARS
FY22 −7.2B ARS
FY23 133B ARS
FY24 48.5B ARS
FY25 219B ARS

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TGNO4

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Above median
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 55% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.96× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 41
PAST 65 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 99

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A (TGNO4) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4,450 ARS versus a price of 4,038 ARS, about +10% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TGNO4?
Our model-based fair value for Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A is 4,450 ARS (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 4,038 ARS.
What is the quality score of TGNO4?
Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A (TGNO4)?
Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 599B ARS (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TGNO4?
The net profit margin of Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A is about 28.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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