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Thai Union Group (THFRF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.9B

TU Thai Union Group logo Thai Union Group THFRF · US
Price$0.4300
Fair Value$0.5400
Upside+25.6%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
5.00% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range $0.3800 – $0.7000 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $0.4700 to $0.5400 (+14.9%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, screening 26% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.3800 to $0.7000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.5198 $0.3518 Fair Value $0.5400 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.3518 – $0.5198 · fair‑value band $0.3800 – $0.7000 · the $0.4300 price screens below the $0.5400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Thai Union Group (THFRF) currently trades at $0.4300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5400, implying the stock looks roughly 25.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thai Union Group generated revenue of $135B at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. Net debt stands at $65.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3800 (bear case) to $0.7000 (bull case); at $0.4300, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 26%, THFRF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $1.01 $2.32 $3.41 72
Growth-Adj P/E $11.07 $15.81 $20.55 68
P/E Multiple $15.64 $20.86 $26.07 63
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.6500 $3.46 $8.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit $4.43 $12.08 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.65 $12.15 $23.40 41
5Y P/E Exit $5.11 $11.68 38
10Y Revenue Exit $3.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.80 $9.26 37
10Y P/E Exit $2.98 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.09 $8.67 $9.75 54
EPV $1.01 $2.32 $3.41 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.64 $20.86 $26.07 63
P/S Multiple $13.30 $17.73 $22.16 58
P/B Multiple $13.30 $17.73 $22.16 55
EV/EBIT $11.93 $18.77 $25.61 53
EV/EBITDA $15.51 $23.55 $31.58 54
EV/Revenue $5.24 $11.17 $17.10 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.89 $7.89 $11.78 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.44 $10.03 $10.99 61
ROIC Compounder $1.01 $2.32 $3.41 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $11.07 $15.81 $20.55 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($17.73) versus Earnings-Based ($2.32). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $135B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 10.6%
Free cash flow $811M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.8
More key figures
Operating margin 3.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.0400
Dividend yield 5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.0%
Net debt $65.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thai Union Group Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells frozen, chilled, and canned seafood in Thailand and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Ambient Seafood; Frozen and Chilled Seafood and Related Businesses; Pet food; and Value-Added and Other Businesses.

Full company description

Thai Union Group Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells frozen, chilled, and canned seafood in Thailand and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Ambient Seafood; Frozen and Chilled Seafood and Related Businesses; Pet food; and Value-Added and Other Businesses. It provides ambient seafood products, including tuna, sardines, mackerel, herring, and salmon for retail and wholesale customers; frozen and chilled seafood products, such as shrimp, lobster, and crab that are sold directly to restaurants, hotels, caterers, and retail customers; ready-to-cook or ready-to-serve products, and bakery treats; marine ingredients for use in consumer goods, such as infant formula, cosmetics, dietary supplements, and clinical nutrition; and pet care products comprising wet-based food and treats. The company offers its products under the Chicken of the Sea, Genova, John West, Petit Navire, Parmentier, King Oscar, Mareblu, Rügen Fisch, Sealect, Fisho, QFresh, MONORI, Bellotta, Marvo, ChangeTer, Calico Bay, Paramount, and Zeavita brand names. It also manufactures and distributes animal feeds, frozen food, aquatic animals, ingredient products, canned tuna, seafood, and smoked salmon products, as well as distributes shrimp feeds. In addition, the company offers packaging, printing, training and management, e-commerce, consultancy, and property rental services. Further, it is involved in the tuna oil refinery, shrimp farming, and shrimp breeding and hatchery businesses; import and distribution of pet food and pet related products; import of seafood; and operation of seafood restaurant outlets. The company was formerly known as Thai Union Frozen Products Public Company Limited and changed its name to Thai Union Group Public Company Limited in September 2015. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Mueang Samut Sakhon, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thai Union Group reported revenue of $133B in FY2025 versus $141B in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was $4.6B in FY2025, compounding −12.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 31/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$133B
Latest YoY
−4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.0%
Revenue −1.5%/yr
FY21 $141B
FY22 $156B
FY23 $136B
FY24 $138B
FY25 $133B
Net income −12.9%/yr
FY21 $8.0B
FY22 $7.1B
FY23 −$13.9B
FY24 $5.0B
FY25 $4.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thai Union Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THFRF

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +26% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.89× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 67 · sector 29
FUTURE 38 · sector 19
PAST 42 · sector 27
HEALTH 55 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thai Union Group (THFRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5400 versus a price of $0.4300, about +26% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of THFRF?
Our model-based fair value for Thai Union Group is $0.5400 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.4300.
What is the quality score of THFRF?
Thai Union Group has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thai Union Group (THFRF)?
Thai Union Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $135B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THFRF?
The net profit margin of Thai Union Group is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thai Union Group pay a dividend?
Thai Union Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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