THK Co Ltd ADR (THKLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what THK Co Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
THK Co Ltd ADR
THKLY · US
A solid business, but trading 133% above our fair value of $8.66.
As of Sep 1, 2026, the fair value of THK Co Ltd ADR is $8.66 per share against a price of $20.20, so the fair value sits 57% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price −10.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.79 – $25.37 · fair‑value band $6.63 – $10.68 · the $20.20 price screens above the $8.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
THK Co Ltd ADR (THKLY) currently trades at $20.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.66, implying the stock looks roughly 133.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $9.53 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the $20.20 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.97, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, THK Co Ltd ADR generated revenue of $255B at a net margin of −25.7%. Revenue declined 18.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at $13.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Scenario range: $6.63 (bear) to $10.68 (bull), the price of $20.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −57%, THKLY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($9.53) versus Earnings-Based ($3.97). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
THK Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of mechanical components in Japan, the Americas, Europe, China, and intentionally.
Full company description
THK Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of mechanical components in Japan, the Americas, Europe, China, and intentionally. The company provides linear motion (LM) guides, ball screws, ball splines, LM guide actuators, cross roller rings/ double row angular contact ring, electric and linear actuators, cam and roller followers, linear bushes, LM strokes, slide packs, slide rails, cross-roller guides and tables, linear ball slides, LM and flat rollers, spline nuts, screw nuts, change nuts, precision linear packs, link balls, rod ends, spherical plain bearings, lubrication accessories, and seismic isolation products. Its products are used in various applications, including machine tools, general industrial machinery, precision instruments, semiconductor and LCD manufacturing equipment, industrial robots, electronic devices, and transport systems, as well as in construction, aerospace, medical and assistive, and other manufacturing industries. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
THK Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥252B in FY2025 versus ¥318B in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥73.3B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +4.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
THKLY screens 133% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 794 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $941.84 | $131.95 | −86% |
| SIE SIE | €272.65 | €139.77 | −49% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $410.85 | $168.65 | −59% |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $962.59 | $398.69 | −59% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 206.60 | kr 112.59 | −46% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $564.40 | $348.94 | −38% |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $270.12 | $145.84 | −46% |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $152.82 | $58.44 | −62% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $236.25 | $125.80 | −47% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $417.53 | $125.76 | −70% |
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