THK Co (THKLY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $5.7B
THK Co
THKLY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $10.04 to $8.52 (−15.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $11.29 – $25.37 · fair‑value band $6.53 – $10.51 · the $21.13 price screens above the $8.52 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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THK Co (THKLY) currently trades at $21.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.52, implying the stock looks roughly 59.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, THK Co generated revenue of $255B at a net margin of -25.7%. Revenue declined 18.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at $13.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.53 (bear case) to $10.51 (bull case); at $21.13, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -60%, THKLY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
THK Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of mechanical components in Japan, the Americas, Europe, China, and intentionally. The company provides linear motion (LM) guides, ball screws, ball splines, LM guide actuators, cross roller rings/ double row angular contact ring, electric and linear actuators, cam and roller followers, linear bushes, LM strokes, slide packs, slide rails, cross-roller guides and tables, linear ball slides, LM and flat rollers, spline nuts, screw nuts, change nuts, precision linear packs, link balls, rod ends, spherical plain bearings, lubrication accessories, and seismic isolation products. Its products are used in various applications, including machine tools, general industrial machinery, precision instruments, semiconductor and LCD manufacturing equipment, industrial robots, electronic devices, and transport systems, as well as in construction, aerospace, medical and assistive, and other manufacturing industries. The company was incorporated in …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
THK Co reported revenue of $252B in FY2025 versus $318B in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$73.3B in FY2025.
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10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €967.60 | €212.97 | -78% |
| SIEGY SIEGY | $154.09 | $89.55 | -42% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €284.30 | €122.46 | -57% |
| SMAWF SMAWF | $307.12 | $176.28 | -43% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$23.45 | -26% |
| SIE SIE | €258.40 | €144.67 | -44% |
| Schneider Electric S.E. SBGSF | $315.58 | $148.47 | -53% |
| Siemens Energy AG SMEGF | $164.50 | $46.76 | -72% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $418.61 | $207.98 | -50% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.80 | kr 157.09 | -20% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.