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Cornish Metals plc (TIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Cornish Metals plc £0.12, price £1.05, upside -88.6%, quality 20 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · GB

CM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Cornish Metals plc

TIN · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value £0.1200 · Strongly overvalued (−88.6%)
!Quality 20/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +45.3 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/7)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£2.85 £0.5300 Fair Value £0.1200 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.5300 – £2.85 · fair‑value band £0.0800 – £0.1500 · the £1.05 price screens above the £0.1200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Cornish Metals plc engages in the acquisition, evaluation, exploration, and development of mineral properties in the United Kingdom. The company primarily explores for tin, tungsten, zinc, silver, nickel, lithium, and copper deposits.

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Cornish Metals plc engages in the acquisition, evaluation, exploration, and development of mineral properties in the United Kingdom. The company primarily explores for tin, tungsten, zinc, silver, nickel, lithium, and copper deposits. Its flagship project is the South Crofty project comprising an underground mine permission area that covers 1,490 hectares located in the Central Mining District of Cornwall, United Kingdom. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Truro, United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Cornish Metals plc (TIN) currently trades at £1.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.1200, 88.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: £0.0800 (bear) to £0.1500 (bull), the price of £1.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Cornish Metals plc reported revenue of £0 in FY2025 versus £0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −£7.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 132M GBX · EPS (TTM) £−0.0700 · Return on equity −10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.6% · Free cash flow −31.3M GBX · Net cash 41.3M GBX.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −89%, TIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.0800 Fair Value £0.1200 Bull £0.1500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) £0.4000 £0.5400 £0.8000 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.4000 £0.5400 £0.8000 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TIN screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

Compare Cornish Metals plc with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 435 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.73× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 61.10 SAR 67.21 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.08 ¥19.15 +12%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹588.95 ₹647.85 +10%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥57.18 ¥29.56 −48%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Boliden AB BOL kr 521.00 kr 464.45 −11%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥35.19 ¥38.71 +10%
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$12.06 C$4.46 −63%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥46.90 ¥23.62 −50%
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹266.35 ₹655.92 +146%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cornish Metals plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TIN

Frequently asked questions

Is Cornish Metals plc (TIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.1200 versus a price of £1.05, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TIN?
Our model-based fair value for Cornish Metals plc is £0.1200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.05.
What is the quality score of TIN?
Cornish Metals plc has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cornish Metals plc (TIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.1200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.0800, optimistic scenario £0.1500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cornish Metals plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.1200, about −89% upside versus a price of £1.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.0800, optimistic scenario £0.1500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Cornish Metals plc (TIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cornish Metals plc it is £0.1200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £1.05. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cornish Metals plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TIN trades above its calculated fair value: price £1.05, fair value £0.1200, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.1200). For Cornish Metals plc the two are £0.9300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cornish Metals plc worth?
The market values Cornish Metals plc at about 132M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £1.05; our models calculate a fair value of £0.1200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TIN?
Our models span a range for Cornish Metals plc: cautious scenario £0.0800, base £0.1200, optimistic £0.1500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £1.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cornish Metals plc (TIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cornish Metals plc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −10.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TIN from its 52-week high?
Cornish Metals plc trades at £1.05, about 28% below its 52-week high of £1.46 and 39% above the low of £0.7550 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.1200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cornish Metals plc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cornish Metals plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £1.05, calculated fair value £0.1200 (−89%), Quality Score 20/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TIN calculated?
We run Cornish Metals plc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.1200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Cornish Metals plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cornish Metals plc (TIN)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £1.05. Our model-based fair value is £0.1200, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cornish Metals plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.1500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (£0.0800 to £0.1500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Cornish Metals plc

How large is the market capitalisation of Cornish Metals plc (TIN)?
The market capitalisation of Cornish Metals plc is 132M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Cornish Metals plc (TIN)?
Earnings per share at Cornish Metals plc are £−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Cornish Metals plc (TIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cornish Metals plc is −10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cornish Metals plc (TIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cornish Metals plc is −6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Cornish Metals plc (TIN) generate?
The free cash flow of Cornish Metals plc is −31.3M GBX (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cornish Metals plc (TIN) hold?
Cornish Metals plc holds more cash than debt, 41.3M GBX net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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