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Teijin Ltd (TINLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Teijin Ltd $6.72, price $10.45, upside -35.7%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US8790632041

TL Teijin Ltd logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Teijin Ltd

TINLY · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $6.72 · Strongly overvalued (−36%)
!Quality 44/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -10.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·3.39% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$15.18 $7.38 Fair Value $6.72 Dec 2018 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.38 – $15.18 · fair‑value band $5.01 – $10.02 · the $10.45 price screens above the $6.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Teijin Limited engages in the fibers, films and sheets, composites, healthcare, and IT businesses in Japan and internationally.

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Teijin Limited engages in the fibers, films and sheets, composites, healthcare, and IT businesses in Japan and internationally. The company provides aramid fibers; glass and carbon fibers, composite materials, infusion resins, adhesives, fillers and resin films, and oxidized PAN fibers; polycarbonate sheets and films; high-density polyethylene porous films and materials; and microporous films. It also offers PC resins, polyphenylene sulfide resins, molded parts, flame retardant, and additives; lightweight glass and carbon fiber reinforced composites for automotive applications; and polytrimethylene telephthalate products, artificial leather materials, polyester nanofibers, and recycled polyester fibers. In addition, the company provides pharmaceuticals for bone and joint, respiratory, cardiovascular and metabolic, and other diseases; home oxygen therapy, non-invasive positive pressure ventilation, continuous positive airway pressure, respiratory support, and sleep disordered breathing related devices, as well as sonic accelerated fracture healing system and community-based integrated care system businesses. Further, the company provides implantable medical devices and regenerative medical products. Additionally, it develops and implements engineering solutions for various issues, such as environmental pollution, energy supply stability, and aging-related workforce population decline. Teijin Limited was incorporated in 1918 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Stock analysis

Teijin Ltd (TINLY) currently trades at $10.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.72, implying the stock looks roughly 55.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 9 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Scenario range: $5.01 (bear) to $10.02 (bull), the price of $10.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Teijin Ltd reported revenue of ¥926B in FY2026 versus ¥926B in FY2022, a compound 0.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥93.3B in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $2.0B · EPS (TTM) $−2.83 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin −10.1% · Return on equity −21.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.8% · Operating margin −8.0% · Revenue (TTM) ¥873B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 38% fair-value upside, at −36%, TINLY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.01 Fair Value $6.72 Bull $10.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2,049 $2,699 $3,746 79
Rev-Margin DCF $1,808 $2,773 $3,982 72
NCAV (Graham) $948.71 $1,271 $1,897 54
All 3 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $948.71 $1,271 $1,897 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2,049 $2,699 $3,746 79
Rev-Margin DCF $1,808 $2,773 $3,982 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 28/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.6% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.6% (2021) → −7.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.1% a year for the price and +0.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)−4.6%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+5.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.5%
Projected 2031 (sales)+4.0%

TINLY screens 55% overvalued. Compare with 3M Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 378 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.50× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 1.86× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)75 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)68 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Teijin Ltd · Fair Value
$6.72 −55%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Teijin Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TINLY

Frequently asked questions

Is Teijin Ltd (TINLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.72 versus a price of $10.45, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TINLY?
Our model-based fair value for Teijin Ltd is $6.72 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.45.
What is the quality score of TINLY?
Teijin Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.72 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.01, optimistic scenario $10.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Teijin Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.72, about −36% upside versus a price of $10.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.01, optimistic scenario $10.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
Teijin Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥873B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Teijin Ltd pay a dividend?
Teijin Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.39% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Teijin Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -1.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TINLY use?
Our models discount Teijin Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.30, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Teijin Ltd that is -1.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Teijin Ltd (TINLY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Teijin Ltd grew +2.1 % a year. The price currently implies -1.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Teijin Ltd (TINLY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Teijin Ltd (-1.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.99 %: that much free cash flow Teijin Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Teijin Ltd it is $6.72 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $10.45. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Teijin Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TINLY trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.45, fair value $6.72, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TINLY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.72). For Teijin Ltd the two are $3.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Teijin Ltd worth?
The market values Teijin Ltd at about $2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $10.45; our models calculate a fair value of $6.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TINLY?
Our models span a range for Teijin Ltd: cautious scenario $5.01, base $6.72, optimistic $10.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $10.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of TINLY?
The PEG ratio of Teijin Ltd is 1.86 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Teijin Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −21.8%, debt of 0.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TINLY from its 52-week high?
Teijin Ltd trades at $10.45, about 3% below its 52-week high of $10.74 and 35% above the low of $7.74 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Teijin Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Teijin Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $10.45, calculated fair value $6.72 (−36%), Quality Score 44/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TINLY calculated?
We run Teijin Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Teijin Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $10.45. Our model-based fair value is $6.72, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Teijin Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($5.01 to $10.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Teijin Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
The market capitalisation of Teijin Ltd is $2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
Earnings per share at Teijin Ltd are $−2.83. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
The dividend yield of Teijin Ltd is 3.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
The net margin of Teijin Ltd is −10.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Teijin Ltd is −21.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Teijin Ltd is −1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
The operating margin of Teijin Ltd is −8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
Revenue at Teijin Ltd is growing −14.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Teijin Ltd (TINLY)?
Earnings per share at Teijin Ltd are growing +140% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Teijin Ltd (TINLY) carry?
The net debt of Teijin Ltd is ¥233B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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