Taisei Corporation (TISCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Taisei Corporation $82.08, price $122, upside -32.5%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.44 – $128.05 · fair‑value band $50.98 – $120.37 · the $121.60 price screens above the $82.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Taisei Corporation engages in the civil engineering, building construction and development businesses in Japan.
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Taisei Corporation engages in the civil engineering, building construction and development businesses in Japan. The company is involved in regional, urban, ocean, aerospace, and resources development, as well as energy supply, emissions trading, and development of infrastructure; and planning, designing, supervising, construction and installation, holding, lease, transfer, maintenance, management, and operation of roads, railways, harbors, airports, river facilities, water supplies and sewerage, government buildings, waste disposal facilities, parking and other public facilities, and similar facilities. It also engages in holding, leasing, maintenance, and management of hotels, sports facilities, recreational facilities, commercial facilities, offices, medical facilities, logistics facilities, warehouses, and educational and cultural facilities; provision of soil cleanup, water cleanup of river, lake and harbor, collection, transportation, arrangement, disposal, and reuse of wastes and construction by-products; and manufacture, procurement, sale, lease, and repair of plant, tools, and materials and other item. In addition, the company provides examination, evaluation, security, and protection services for buildings, infrastructure, and civil engineering structure; purchase, sale, lease, brokerage, maintenance, management, appraisal services for real property; and invests in real-property-related SPCs and real-estate investment trust funds. Further, it engages in land, sea, and air transportation businesses; acquiring, licensing and sale of industrial property rights and copyrights; information processing, lending money, non-life and life insurance agency, temporary personnel placement agency, and trade businesses. The company was formerly known as Nippon Doboku Corporation and changed its name to Taisei Corporation in 1946. Taisei Corporation was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Shinjuku, Japan.
Stock analysis
Taisei Corporation (TISCF) currently trades at $121.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $82.08, implying the stock looks roughly 48.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $116.23 per share, and 2 of the 23 models we run sit above the $121.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $25.55, and 21 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $50.98 (bear) to $120.37 (bull), the price of $121.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Taisei Corporation reported revenue of ¥2.1T in FY2026 versus ¥1.5T in FY2022, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥171B in FY2026, compounding +24.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $20.2B · P/E ratio 18.9 · P/S ratio 1.54 · EPS (TTM) $6.43 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 8.1% · Return on equity 15.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −33%, TISCF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $50.98Fair Value $82.08Bull $120.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.13 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.4% vs 12.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 9%
2026 sits 328% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.8% a year for the price and +2.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 835 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−32.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)9.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−9.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)18.9× · Pricier than median
P/B3.32× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.52× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA15.2× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)63· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)35· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taisei Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TISCF
Frequently asked questions
Is Taisei Corporation (TISCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $82.08 versus a price of $121.60, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TISCF?
Our model-based fair value for Taisei Corporation is $82.08 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $121.60.
What is the quality score of TISCF?
Taisei Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $82.08 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $50.98, optimistic scenario $120.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Taisei Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $82.08, about −33% upside versus a price of $121.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $50.98, optimistic scenario $120.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
Taisei Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥2.1T (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Taisei Corporation pay a dividend?
Taisei Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Taisei Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +21.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TISCF use?
Our models discount Taisei Corporation at 8.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.57, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Taisei Corporation that is +21.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Taisei Corporation (TISCF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Taisei Corporation grew +7.3 % a year. The price currently implies +21.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Taisei Corporation (TISCF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Taisei Corporation (+21.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.21 %: that much free cash flow Taisei Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Taisei Corporation it is $82.08 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $121.60. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Taisei Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TISCF trades above its calculated fair value: price $121.60, fair value $82.08, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TISCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($121.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($82.08). For Taisei Corporation the two are $39.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Taisei Corporation worth?
The market values Taisei Corporation at about $20.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $121.60; our models calculate a fair value of $82.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TISCF?
Our models span a range for Taisei Corporation: cautious scenario $50.98, base $82.08, optimistic $120.37 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $121.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TISCF?
Taisei Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $82.08 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.3, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 15.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Taisei Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.7%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Taisei Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Taisei Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $121.60, calculated fair value $82.08 (−33%), Quality Score 57/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TISCF calculated?
We run Taisei Corporation through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $82.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Taisei Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $121.60. Our model-based fair value is $82.08, about −33% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Taisei Corporation right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($50.98 to $120.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Taisei Corporation (TISCF) come from?
Earnings per share at Taisei Corporation grew +8.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.0 %, EBIT margin −2.7 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Taisei Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
The market capitalisation of Taisei Corporation is $20.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Taisei Corporation is 1.54 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
Earnings per share at Taisei Corporation are $6.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
The dividend yield of Taisei Corporation is 1.7% (payout 33.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
The net margin of Taisei Corporation is 8.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Taisei Corporation is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Taisei Corporation is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
The operating margin of Taisei Corporation is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
Revenue at Taisei Corporation is growing −9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
Earnings per share at Taisei Corporation are growing +11.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Taisei Corporation (TISCF) carry?
The net debt of Taisei Corporation is ¥189B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026