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Taisei Corporation (TISCF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $19.8B

TC Taisei Corporation logo Taisei Corporation TISCF · US
Price$121.60
Fair Value$81.08
Upside-33.3%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.98% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range $50.20 – $138.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($50.20 to $138.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$128.05 $17.44 Fair Value $81.08 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $17.44 – $128.05 · fair‑value band $50.20 – $138.27 · the $121.60 price screens above the $81.08 fair value. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Taisei Corporation (TISCF) currently trades at $121.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $81.08, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Taisei Corporation generated revenue of $2.1T at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue declined 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at $189B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $50.20 (bear case) to $138.27 (bull case); at $121.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -33%, TISCF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $29.57 $40.79 $55.88 80
Rev-Margin DCF $50.30 $81.17 $113.07 74
ROIC Compounder $44.06 $53.64 $64.17 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $28.60 $40.46 $56.99 38
Owner Earnings $47.47 $67.03 $94.30 31
5Y Revenue Exit $50.30 $81.08 $118.97 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $55.13 $89.53 $127.63 41
5Y P/E Exit $69.09 $113.93 $158.05 38
10Y Revenue Exit $39.90 $65.76 $97.54 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $44.81 $71.43 $103.75 37
10Y P/E Exit $53.48 $87.77 $125.58 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $46.17 $96.53 $122.13 54
PEG = 1.0 $14.35 $20.51 $26.66 46
EPV $43.42 $50.74 $57.13 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $106.94 $142.59 $178.23 63
P/S Multiple $86.57 $115.43 $144.28 58
P/B Multiple $86.57 $115.43 $144.28 55
EV/EBIT $94.74 $126.47 $158.20 53
EV/EBITDA $81.13 $108.32 $135.52 54
EV/Revenue $67.49 $96.61 $125.73 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.93 $25.37 $37.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.57 $40.79 $55.88 80
Rev-Margin DCF $50.30 $81.17 $113.07 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $44.44 $58.46 $197.03 61
ROIC Compounder $44.06 $53.64 $64.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $78.39 $111.99 $145.59 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($115.43) versus Asset-Based ($25.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.1T
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.6%
Net margin 8.1%
Return on equity 15.7%
Free cash flow $70.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 18.9
More key figures
Operating margin 9.8%
EPS (TTM) $6.43
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.3%
Net debt $189B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Taisei Corporation engages in the civil engineering, building construction and development businesses in Japan. The company is involved in regional, urban, ocean, aerospace, and resources development, as well as energy supply, emissions trading, and development of infrastructure; and planning, designing, supervising, construction and installation, holding, …

Full company description

Taisei Corporation engages in the civil engineering, building construction and development businesses in Japan. The company is involved in regional, urban, ocean, aerospace, and resources development, as well as energy supply, emissions trading, and development of infrastructure; and planning, designing, supervising, construction and installation, holding, lease, transfer, maintenance, management, and operation of roads, railways, harbors, airports, river facilities, water supplies and sewerage, government buildings, waste disposal facilities, parking and other public facilities, and similar facilities. It also engages in holding, leasing, maintenance, and management of hotels, sports facilities, recreational facilities, commercial facilities, offices, medical facilities, logistics facilities, warehouses, and educational and cultural facilities; provision of soil cleanup, water cleanup of river, lake and harbor, collection, transportation, arrangement, disposal, and reuse of wastes and construction by-products; and manufacture, procurement, sale, lease, and repair of plant, tools, and materials and other item. In addition, the company provides examination, evaluation, security, and protection services for buildings, infrastructure, and civil engineering structure; purchase, sale, lease, brokerage, maintenance, management, appraisal services for real property; and invests in real-property-related SPCs and real-estate investment trust funds. Further, it engages in land, sea, and air transportation businesses; acquiring, licensing and sale of industrial property rights and copyrights; information processing, lending money, non-life and life insurance agency, temporary personnel placement agency, and trade businesses. The company was formerly known as Nippon Doboku Corporation and changed its name to Taisei Corporation in 1946. Taisei Corporation was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Shinjuku, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Taisei Corporation reported revenue of $2.1T in FY2026 versus $1.5T in FY2022, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was $171B in FY2026, compounding +24.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.1T
Latest YoY
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+1.0%
Revenue +8.0%/yr
FY22 $1.5T
FY23 $1.6T
FY24 $1.8T
FY25 $2.2T
FY26 $2.1T
Net income +24.4%/yr
FY22 $71.4B
FY23 $47.1B
FY24 $40.3B
FY25 $124B
FY26 $171B

TISCF screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taisei Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TISCF

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth -10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.9× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 63 · sector 26
HEALTH 85 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Taisei Corporation (TISCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $81.08 versus a price of $121.60, about −33% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TISCF?
Our model-based fair value for Taisei Corporation is $81.08 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $121.60.
What is the quality score of TISCF?
Taisei Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Taisei Corporation (TISCF)?
Taisei Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1T (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TISCF?
The net profit margin of Taisei Corporation is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Taisei Corporation pay a dividend?
Taisei Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.98% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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