Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Tokyo Electric Power Co $4.37, price $3.30, upside +32.3%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Tokyo Electric Power Co for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.36 – $7.73 · fair‑value band $0.8745 – $4.37 · the $3.30 price screens below the $4.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
Follow Tokyo Electric Power Co in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Tokyo Electric Power Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and retail of electric power in Japan and internationally.
Show more
Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and retail of electric power in Japan and internationally. It generates power through nuclear, fuel, and thermal, as well as solar, geothermal, hydro, and offshore wind power plants; and engages in the procurement, transportation, and trading of fuel. The company is also involved in the gas sales business. In addition, it provides consulting services, including planning for ODA or development banks comprising national-level facilities and preliminary surveys, cost-reduction programs for individual companies, energy conservation support and other environmental initiatives, and human resource development support. The company was formerly known as Tokyo Electric Power Company, Incorporated and changed its name to Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated in April 2016. The company was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated is a subsidiary of Nuclear Damage Compensation And Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation.
Stock analysis
Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY) currently trades at $3.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.37, implying the stock looks roughly 24.4% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $12.01 per share, and 4 of the 6 models we run sit above the $3.30 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $2.94, and 2 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.8745 (bear) to $4.37 (bull), the price of $3.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Tokyo Electric Power Co reported revenue of ¥6.7T in FY2026 versus ¥5.3T in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥482B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $5.8B · EPS (TTM) $−1.76 · Net margin −7.2% · Return on equity −12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin 4.6% · Revenue (TTM) $6.3T · Revenue growth (YoY) −7.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 32%, TKECY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.8745Fair Value $4.37Bull $4.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.11/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.4% (2021) → 5.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Tokyo Electric Power Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 204 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Below median
Fair Value upside+32.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−7.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.97× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tokyo Electric Power Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TKECY
Frequently asked questions
Is Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.37 versus a price of $3.30, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TKECY?
Our model-based fair value for Tokyo Electric Power Co is $4.37 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.30.
What is the quality score of TKECY?
Tokyo Electric Power Co has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.37 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8745, optimistic scenario $4.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tokyo Electric Power Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.37, about +32% upside versus a price of $3.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8745, optimistic scenario $4.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
Tokyo Electric Power Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.3T (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tokyo Electric Power Co it is $4.37 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $3.30. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tokyo Electric Power Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, TKECY trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.30, fair value $4.37, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TKECY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.37). For Tokyo Electric Power Co the two are $1.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tokyo Electric Power Co worth?
The market values Tokyo Electric Power Co at about $5.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $3.30; our models calculate a fair value of $4.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TKECY?
Our models span a range for Tokyo Electric Power Co: cautious scenario $0.8745, base $4.37, optimistic $4.37 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $3.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tokyo Electric Power Co (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity −12.6%, debt of 0.97 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TKECY from its 52-week high?
Tokyo Electric Power Co trades at $3.30, about 43% below its 52-week high of $5.80 and 20% above the low of $2.76 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tokyo Electric Power Co?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tokyo Electric Power Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $3.30, calculated fair value $4.37 (+32%), Quality Score 34/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TKECY calculated?
We run Tokyo Electric Power Co through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Tokyo Electric Power Co currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $3.30. Our model-based fair value is $4.37, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tokyo Electric Power Co right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($0.8745 to $4.37). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY) come from?
Earnings per share at Tokyo Electric Power Co grew −1.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.4 %, EBIT margin −3.8 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Tokyo Electric Power Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
The market capitalisation of Tokyo Electric Power Co is $5.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
Earnings per share at Tokyo Electric Power Co are $−1.76. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
The net margin of Tokyo Electric Power Co is −7.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tokyo Electric Power Co is −12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tokyo Electric Power Co is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
The operating margin of Tokyo Electric Power Co is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
Revenue at Tokyo Electric Power Co is growing −7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY)?
Earnings per share at Tokyo Electric Power Co are growing +186% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY) generate?
The free cash flow of Tokyo Electric Power Co is −$331B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tokyo Electric Power Co (TKECY) carry?
The net debt of Tokyo Electric Power Co is $5.7T (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Tokyo Electric Power Co in the live analysis
One click puts Tokyo Electric Power Co on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 28, 2026