Telkom SA (TKG) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · ZA · Market cap 28.6B ZAC
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from R152.29 to R83.83 (−45.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +2.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 45% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (R55.67 to R108.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R21.97 – R71.04 · fair‑value band R55.67 – R108.60 · the R57.89 price screens below the R83.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Telkom SA (TKG) currently trades at R57.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R83.83, implying the stock looks roughly 44.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Telkom SA generated revenue of 44.9B ZAR at a net margin of 17.9%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. Net debt stands at 6.5B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R55.67 (bear case) to R108.60 (bull case); at R57.89, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 45%, TKG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (R157.82) versus Dividend Discount (R0.1300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Telkom SA SOC Ltd operates as an integrated communications and information technology (IT) services provider in South Africa, the United States, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through Openserve, Telkom Consumer, and BCX segments.
Full company description
Telkom SA SOC Ltd operates as an integrated communications and information technology (IT) services provider in South Africa, the United States, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through Openserve, Telkom Consumer, and BCX segments. The company offers mobile and fixed-line telecommunication services, including broadband, optical and carrier, business-to-business connectivity, interconnect-based services, broadband data, voice, content, and gaming solutions; and small and medium entity information, communication, and technology solutions, as well as business mobility, global telecommunication, CPE-related services, converged communication, managed application-centric data networking, managed local area networking, unified collaboration as a service, and internet and value-added services. It also provides IT, advertising, digital and social media advertising, e-commerce, and omni-channel services; and printed directory and international maritime services. In addition, the company rents network equipment, property, and vehicles; and offers insurance products and services. It serves residential, business, government, wholesale, and corporate customers. Telkom SA SOC Ltd was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Centurion, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Telkom SA reported revenue of R44.5B in FY2026 versus R42.8B in FY2022, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was R3.5B in FY2026, compounding +7.7%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +1.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Telecom Services · 250 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥89.98 | ¥109.88 | +22% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $187.61 | $172.67 | -8% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,922 | ₹941.55 | -51% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.01 | ¥8.36 | +39% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 259.50 MXN | 507.27 MXN | +95% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 379.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -24% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 133.50 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -25% |
| China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 | HK$6.50 | HK$13.03 | +100% |
| Telefónica, S.A TEFN | 75.67 MXN | 111.01 MXN | +47% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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