Times China Holdings (TMPPF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $149M

Below-average quality, screening 53% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The model range is unusually wide ($0.0319 to $0.1250). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $1.38 · fair‑value band $0.0319 – $0.1250 · the $0.0500 price screens below the $0.0765 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Times China Holdings (TMPPF) currently trades at $0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0765, implying the stock looks roughly 53.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Times China Holdings generated revenue of $3.4B at a net margin of -6.1%. Revenue declined 84.6% year over year. Net debt stands at $29.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0319 (bear case) to $0.1250 (bull case); at $0.0500, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 53%, TMPPF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.38) versus Growth DCF ($0.1500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Times China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a property developer in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Urban Redevelopment Business, and Property Leasing segments. The Property Development segment develops and sells residential and commercial properties.

Full company description

Times China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a property developer in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Urban Redevelopment Business, and Property Leasing segments. The Property Development segment develops and sells residential and commercial properties. Its Urban Redevelopment Business segment is involved in the sale of land held for development and other related activities, as well as redevelopment of old towns, factories, and villages. The Property Leasing segment engages in the development, leasing, and sub-leasing of commercial properties owned by the company or independent third parties. It also provides money lending, property management, and consulting management services. The company was formerly known as Times Property (Holdings) Co., Limited and changed its name to Times China Holdings Limited in February 2018. Times China Holdings Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Times China Holdings reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $43.6B in FY2021, a compound −47.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$206M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.