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Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Times China Holdings Limited $0.04, price $0.05, upside -16.8%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · US

TC Times China Holdings Limited logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Times China Holdings Limited

TMPPF · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $0.0416 · Overvalued (−17%)
!Quality 36/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −38.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 11 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1.38 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0416 Jun 2017 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $1.38 · fair‑value band $0.0346 – $0.0556 · the $0.0500 price screens above the $0.0416 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Times China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a property developer in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Urban Redevelopment Business, and Property Leasing segments. The Property Development segment develops and sells residential and commercial properties.

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Times China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a property developer in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Urban Redevelopment Business, and Property Leasing segments. The Property Development segment develops and sells residential and commercial properties. Its Urban Redevelopment Business segment is involved in the sale of land held for development and other related activities, as well as redevelopment of old towns, factories, and villages. The Property Leasing segment engages in the development, leasing, and sub-leasing of commercial properties owned by the company or independent third parties. It also provides money lending, property management, and consulting management services. The company was formerly known as Times Property (Holdings) Co., Limited and changed its name to Times China Holdings Limited in February 2018. Times China Holdings Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF) currently trades at $0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0416, implying the stock looks roughly 20.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0346 (bear) to $0.0556 (bull), the price of $0.0500 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Times China Holdings Limited reported revenue of 3.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 43.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −47.4%/yr. Reported net income was −206M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $149M · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3800 · Net margin −6.1% · Return on equity −1,209% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin −1,354% · Revenue (TTM) 3.4B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −17%, TMPPF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0346 Fair Value $0.0416 Bull $0.0556
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $2.72 $4.16 $6.47 79
Growth DCF $2.86 $4.21 $6.21 78
5Y Revenue Exit $1.24 $2.44 $4.17 70
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.72 $4.16 $6.47 79
5Y Revenue Exit $1.24 $2.44 $4.17 70
10Y Revenue Exit $1.86 $2.72 $3.58 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.1300 $1.38 $2.64 47
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.86 $4.21 $6.21 78
Rev-Margin DCF $1.06 $2.25 $3.68 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 3
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−74.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−48.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−38.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.1% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.8% (2020) → −39.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TMPPF screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −85% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)11 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$109.10 HK$147.78 +35%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$29.62 HK$74.05 +150%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 68,200 VND 112,796 VND +65%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.44 HK$71.69 +54%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.74 $1.52 −83%
DLF Limited DLF ₹675.00 ₹167.21 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.43 HK$22.35 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,163 ₹275.95 −76%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 5,075 IDR 1,325 IDR −74%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.64 ¥14.10 +150%

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Times China Holdings Limited · Fair Value
$0.0416 −20%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Times China Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TMPPF

Frequently asked questions

Is Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0416 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.0500, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TMPPF?
Our model-based fair value for Times China Holdings Limited is $0.0416 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $0.0500.
What is the quality score of TMPPF?
Times China Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0416 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0346, optimistic scenario $0.0556. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Times China Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0416, about −17% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.0500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0346, optimistic scenario $0.0556. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
Times China Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Times China Holdings Limited it is $0.0416 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0500. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Times China Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TMPPF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0500, fair value $0.0416, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TMPPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0416). For Times China Holdings Limited the two are $0.0084 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Times China Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Times China Holdings Limited at about $149M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0416 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TMPPF?
Our models span a range for Times China Holdings Limited: cautious scenario $0.0346, base $0.0416, optimistic $0.0556 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Times China Holdings Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TMPPF from its 52-week high?
Times China Holdings Limited trades at $0.0500, at its 52-week high of $0.0500 and at the low of $0.0500 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0416 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Times China Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Times China Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0500, calculated fair value $0.0416 (−17%), Quality Score 36/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TMPPF calculated?
We run Times China Holdings Limited through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0416, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Times China Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $0.0500. Our model-based fair value is $0.0416, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Times China Holdings Limited right now?
Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Times China Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
The market capitalisation of Times China Holdings Limited is $149M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Times China Holdings Limited is 0.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
Earnings per share at Times China Holdings Limited are $−0.3800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
The net margin of Times China Holdings Limited is −6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Times China Holdings Limited is −1,209% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Times China Holdings Limited is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
The operating margin of Times China Holdings Limited is −1,354% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
Revenue at Times China Holdings Limited is growing −84.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −48.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF)?
Earnings per share at Times China Holdings Limited are growing −98.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF) generate?
The free cash flow of Times China Holdings Limited is 962M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Times China Holdings Limited (TMPPF) carry?
The net debt of Times China Holdings Limited is 29.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 30.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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