TOPPAN Holdings (TOPPY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $8.6B
TOPPAN Holdings
TOPPY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $12.86 to $12.65 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −10.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from $9.49 (bear) to $15.81 (bull), base $12.65. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.36 – $17.72 · fair‑value band $9.49 – $15.81 · the $14.96 price screens above the $12.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
TOPPAN Holdings (TOPPY) currently trades at $14.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.65, implying the stock looks roughly 15.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, TOPPAN Holdings generated revenue of $1.8T at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. Net debt stands at $83.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.49 (bear case) to $15.81 (bull case); at $14.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -15%, TOPPY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($2,074) versus DCF Models ($1,132). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TOPPAN Holdings Inc. develops solutions based on its printing technologies in Japan, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Information & Communication, Lifestyle & Industry, and Electronics.
Full company description
TOPPAN Holdings Inc. develops solutions based on its printing technologies in Japan, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Information & Communication, Lifestyle & Industry, and Electronics. The Information & Communication segment offers securities in general, bankbooks, cards, business forms, catalogs and other advertising and promotional printed materials, magazines, books, outsourcing, and other publications services. The Lifestyle & Industry segment provides soft packaging materials, paper containers and other packaging, plastic molded products, inks, transparent barrier films, decorative sheets, wallpaper, and other building materials. The Electronics segment offers LCD color filters, TFT LCDs, anti-reflection films, photomasks, and semiconductor package products. The company was formerly known as Toppan Inc. and changed its name to TOPPAN Holdings Inc. in October 2023. TOPPAN Holdings Inc. was founded in 1900 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
TOPPAN Holdings reported revenue of $1.9T in FY2026 versus $1.5T in FY2022, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was $68.7B in FY2026, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2022.
TOPPY screens 15% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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