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Technical Publications Service S.p.A (TPS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IT · Market cap €59.6M

TP Technical Publications Service S.p.A TPS · MI
Price€7.80
Fair Value€12.63
Upside+61.9%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.07% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range €9.47 – €15.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from €15.41 to €12.63 (−18.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 62% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€9.47). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€9.00 €4.24 Fair Value €12.63 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €4.24 – €9.00 · fair‑value band €9.47 – €15.79 · the €7.80 price screens below the €12.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Technical Publications Service S.p.A (TPS) currently trades at €7.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.63, implying the stock looks roughly 61.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Technical Publications Service S.p.A generated revenue of €51.7M at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 14.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €9.47 (bear case) to €15.79 (bull case); at €7.80, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at 62%, TPS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €6.26 €8.03 €10.39 80
Residual Income €4.33 €4.73 €5.81 76
Rev-Margin DCF €9.26 €14.60 €21.40 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €6.32 €8.37 €11.29 38
Owner Earnings €7.02 €9.48 €12.97 31
5Y Revenue Exit €9.26 €14.80 €22.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €11.52 €19.40 €29.34 41
5Y P/E Exit €9.25 €14.76 €21.06 38
10Y Revenue Exit €7.70 €12.02 €18.70 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €9.20 €14.89 €23.64 37
10Y P/E Exit €7.91 €12.00 €17.77 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €4.09 €18.47 €25.32 54
Lynch FV €4.82 €6.89 €8.95 50
PEG = 1.0 €4.82 €6.89 €8.95 46
EPV €8.74 €9.46 €10.04 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €9.47 €12.63 €15.79 63
P/S Multiple €7.67 €10.22 €12.78 58
P/B Multiple €7.67 €10.22 €12.78 55
EV/EBIT €16.08 €20.53 €24.97 53
EV/EBITDA €16.47 €21.05 €25.63 54
EV/Revenue €11.61 €15.41 €19.21 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.64 €3.54 €5.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €6.26 €8.03 €10.39 80
Rev-Margin DCF €9.26 €14.60 €21.40 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €4.33 €4.73 €5.81 76
ROIC Compounder €9.27 €10.70 €12.28 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €7.82 €11.17 €14.52 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€12.63) versus Asset-Based (€3.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €51.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.3%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 12.3%
Free cash flow €2.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.0
More key figures
Operating margin 12.5%
EPS (TTM) €0.6000
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Technical Publications Service S.p.A. engages in the provision of engineering and digital services in Italy, EU Countries, and internationally.

Full company description

Technical Publications Service S.p.A. engages in the provision of engineering and digital services in Italy, EU Countries, and internationally. The company offers aviation mission equipment including medical, aerial work, avionic, and customization kit; and technical publishing and training services, such as integrated logistic support, process and standards, technical regulations and standards, and technical training and services. It also provides design and cost engineering services comprising design engineering, analysis and stimulations services, cost engineering, and gearbox products; and information technologies and avionic services, including software development and testing, test program set, avionics systems integration, and applications design and development services. In addition, the company offers additive manufacturing, manufacturing and assembly, harness engineering, ground support equipment, and part 145 and avionics; and digital content management services, such as marketing and communication, augmented reality and virtual reality, 3D software for product design, multimedia learning, and certified immersive simulator. It serves aeronautics and space, defence, automotive, truck and buses, special vehicles, energy, railways, machinery and industrial automation, and ropeways system sectors. The company was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Gallarate, Italy. Technical Publications Service S.p.A. is a subsidiary of G&D S.R.L.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Technical Publications Service S.p.A reported revenue of €50.0M in FY2025 versus €36.9M in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was €4.3M in FY2025, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€50.0M
Latest YoY
−1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.9%
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 €36.9M
FY22 €36.8M
FY23 €46.8M
FY24 €50.8M
FY25 €50.0M
Net income +5.5%/yr
FY21 €3.4M
FY22 €3.6M
FY23 €3.3M
FY24 €4.2M
FY25 €4.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Technical Publications Service S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TPS

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +62% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.84× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.33× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 25.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 36
FUTURE 7 · sector 31
PAST 49 · sector 45
HEALTH 98 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 46

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.24 €28.41 +8%
Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD 2.44 SGD 1.25 SGD -49%
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC $220.91 $246.06 +11%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹112.80 ₹22.29 -80%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 237.20 CHF 121.30 -49%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥24.08 ¥17.09 -29%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.11 A$2.80 -61%
Fraport AG FRA €69.35 €49.83 -28%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,660 kr 1,821 -68%
SATS Ltd S58 4.82 SGD 4.03 SGD -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Technical Publications Service S.p.A (TPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.63 versus a price of €7.80, about +62% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TPS?
Our model-based fair value for Technical Publications Service S.p.A is €12.63 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €7.80.
What is the quality score of TPS?
Technical Publications Service S.p.A has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Technical Publications Service S.p.A (TPS)?
Technical Publications Service S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €51.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TPS?
The net profit margin of Technical Publications Service S.p.A is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Technical Publications Service S.p.A pay a dividend?
Technical Publications Service S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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