Molson Coors Canada Inc (TPX-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CA · Market cap C$11.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from C$82.41 to C$74.42 (−9.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.1% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range C$49.25 – C$95.26 · fair‑value band C$57.12 – C$133.24 · the C$63.10 price screens below the C$74.42 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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Molson Coors Canada Inc (TPX-A) currently trades at C$63.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$74.42, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Molson Coors Canada Inc generated revenue of C$2.2B at a net margin of -9.2%. Revenue declined 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.2%. Net debt stands at C$5.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$57.12 (bear case) to C$133.24 (bull case); at C$63.10, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 18%, TPX-A screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Molson Coors Canada Inc. brews, markets, sells, and distributes various beer brands in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company sells its products under the Aguila, Apantinsko, AriZona Hard, Arnold Palmer Spiked, Aspall, Astika, Bergenbier, Bergenbier Non-Alcoholic, Black Horse, Black Ice, Blue Moon, Blue Run Spirits, Bohemian, Borsodi, Branik, Brasseur de Montréal, Burgasko, Caffrey's, Carling, Carling Cider, Cobra, Cool, Coors, Coors Banquet, Coors Edge, Coors Light, Coors Original, Coors Seltzer, Coors Whiskey Company, Creemore Springs, Cristal, Cusqueña, Fine Company, Foster's, Franciscan Well, Fresh, George Killian's Irish Red, Golden Wing, Granville Island Brewing, Grif, Grolsch, Hamm's, Happy Thursday, Henry Weinhard's Gourmet Sodas, Hop Valley, Icehouse, India Beer, Jelen, Kamenitza, Kamenitza Non-Alcoholic, Keystone Light, Laurentide, Lech, and Leinenkugel's brands. It also offers its products under the Madrí Excepcional, Mickey's, …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Molson Coors Canada Inc reported revenue of C$11.1B in FY2025 versus C$10.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −C$2.1B in FY2025.
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Recent news
- Molson Coors Beverage Company to Webcast 2026 Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call
- Molson Coors Beverage Company Announces Regular Quarterly Dividend
- Molson Coors Beverage Company Reports 2026 First Quarter Results
- Simply Spiked® Enters Its Bolder Era With the Launch of Simply Spiked® Bolder™, Featuring Strawberry Lemonade Flavor
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 6,060 ARS | -57% |
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA BUDFF | $81.40 | $58.28 | -28% |
| 1NBA 1NBA | €71.18 | €60.88 | -14% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 213.28 MXN | 429.71 MXN | +101% |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €67.06 | €44.97 | -33% |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $135.72 | $177.43 | +31% |
| Carlsberg A/S CARLA | kr 1,080 | kr 643.58 | -40% |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €71.20 | €72.67 | +2% |
| Kirin Holdings KNBWF | $18.56 | $11.87 | -36% |
| Asahi Group ASBRF | $9.75 | $15.42 | +58% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.