Tsingtao Brewery Company (TSGTY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $9.1B
Tsingtao Brewery Company
TSGTY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026 — revised from $97.37 to $40.81 (−58.1%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price −16.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $27.86 – $36.69 · fair‑value band $28.17 – $55.21 · the $29.00 price screens below the $40.81 fair value. As of Jul 5, 2026.
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Tsingtao Brewery Company (TSGTY) currently trades at $29.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.81 — implying the stock looks roughly 40.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tsingtao Brewery Company generated revenue of $32.3B at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue declined 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $12.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $28.17 (bear case) to $55.21 (bull case); at $29.00, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside — at 41%, TSGTY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of beer products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and internationally. It operates in seven segments: Shandong Region; South China Region; North China Region; East China Region; Southeast China Region; Hong Kong, Macau and Other Overseas Regions; and Finance Company. The company sells its beer products primarily under the Tsingtao Beer, Laoshan Beer, Hans Beer, Tsingtao Beer Museum, TSINGTAO 1903 Pubs, and Tsingtao Prince brand names. It also provides wealth management, agency collection, real estate, software and IT, and payment services, as well as technology promotion and application services. In addition, the company is involved in industrial engineering; technology promotion and application; and industrial investment activities. Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Qingdao, the People's Republic of China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tsingtao Brewery Company reported revenue of ¥29.5B in FY2025 versus ¥30.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.5B in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Centric Confirmed as Dassault Systèmes' PLM Standard for Consumer Goods & Retail (CPGR)
- Asian Dividend Stocks: Tsingtao Brewery And 2 Elite Yield Payers
- Top Asian Dividend Stocks For March 2025
- Top Dividend Stocks To Enhance Your Portfolio
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 4,275 ARS | -70% |
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA BUDFF | $79.94 | $74.38 | -7% |
| 1NBA 1NBA | €71.18 | €60.88 | -14% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 213.28 MXN | 429.71 MXN | +101% |
| Heineken N.V HINKF | $81.18 | $61.75 | -24% |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $143.38 | $177.43 | +24% |
| CARLA CARLA | kr 1,085 | kr 646.55 | -40% |
| Heineken Holding HKHHF | $73.60 | $68.42 | -7% |
| CARLB CARLB | kr 848.40 | kr 819.83 | -3% |
| CABGY CABGY | $25.88 | $26.12 | +1% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.